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Delayed
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 22.54 AUD | +2.85% |
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+9.15% | +2.41% |
| 07:17am | Fortescue Shares Rise After Australian Federal Court Ruling on Native Title Claim | MT |
| 12/05 | Australian miner Fortescue to pay $108 million for damage to Indigenous group's land | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Fortescue Ltd
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 22,284 | 17,390 | 16,871 | 18,220 | 15,541 | 16,838 | 15,732 | 15,446 |
| Change | - | -21.96% | -2.98% | 8% | -14.7% | 8.35% | -6.57% | -1.82% |
| EBITDA 1 | 16,375 | 10,561 | 9,963 | 10,708 | 7,941 | 8,674 | 7,459 | 7,230 |
| Change | - | -35.51% | -5.66% | 7.48% | -25.84% | 9.23% | -14.01% | -3.07% |
| EBIT 1 | 14,946 | 9,000 | 7,020 | 8,489 | 5,208 | 5,762 | 4,385 | 4,256 |
| Change | - | -39.78% | -22% | 20.93% | -38.65% | 10.64% | -23.9% | -2.94% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -224 | -160 | -126 | -168 | -197 | -185.8 | -187.7 | -167.4 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 14,722 | 8,846 | 6,886 | 8,300 | 4,990 | 5,517 | 4,159 | 4,080 |
| Change | - | -39.91% | -22.16% | 20.53% | -39.88% | 10.56% | -24.61% | -1.9% |
| Net income 1 | 10,295 | 6,197 | 4,798 | 5,683 | 3,373 | 3,769 | 2,900 | 2,817 |
| Change | - | -39.81% | -22.58% | 18.45% | -40.65% | 11.73% | -23.04% | -2.87% |
| Announcement Date | 29/08/21 | 28/08/22 | 27/08/23 | 27/08/24 | 25/08/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Fortescue Ltd
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -2,678 | 879 | 1,034 | 497 | 1,111 | 1,076 | 1,640 | 1,092 |
| Change | - | 132.82% | 17.63% | -51.93% | 123.54% | -3.15% | 52.42% | -33.41% |
| Announcement Date | 29/08/21 | 28/08/22 | 27/08/23 | 27/08/24 | 25/08/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Fortescue Ltd
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 3,633 | 3,074 | 3,200 | 2,871 | 3,263 | 3,685 | 3,834 | 3,526 |
| Change | - | -15.39% | 4.1% | -10.28% | 13.65% | 12.92% | 4.04% | -8.03% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 8,961 | 3,572 | 4,300 | 5,108 | 2,555 | 3,157 | 2,304 | 2,314 |
| Change | - | -60.14% | 20.38% | 18.79% | -49.98% | 23.55% | -27% | 0.42% |
| Announcement Date | 29/08/21 | 28/08/22 | 27/08/23 | 27/08/24 | 25/08/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Fortescue Ltd
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 73.48% | 60.73% | 59.05% | 58.77% | 51.1% | 51.52% | 47.41% | 46.81% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 67.07% | 51.75% | 41.61% | 46.59% | 33.51% | 34.22% | 27.87% | 27.55% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 66.07% | 50.87% | 40.82% | 45.55% | 32.11% | 32.76% | 26.44% | 26.42% |
| Net margin (%) | 46.2% | 35.64% | 28.44% | 31.19% | 21.7% | 22.38% | 18.43% | 18.24% |
| FCF margin (%) | 40.21% | 20.54% | 25.49% | 28.04% | 16.44% | 18.75% | 14.65% | 14.98% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 87.04% | 57.64% | 89.62% | 89.88% | 75.75% | 83.76% | 79.46% | 82.16% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 39.76% | 21.84% | 19.52% | 19.5% | 11.14% | 12.09% | 9.57% | 9.24% |
| ROE | 66% | 35.35% | 31% | 30% | 17.06% | 18.14% | 13.22% | 12.53% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.08x | 0.1x | 0.05x | 0.14x | 0.12x | 0.22x | 0.15x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 0.25x | 0.24x | 0.1x | 0.43x | 0.34x | 0.71x | 0.47x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 16.3% | 17.68% | 18.97% | 15.76% | 21% | 21.88% | 24.37% | 22.83% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 22.19% | 29.11% | 32.12% | 26.81% | 41.09% | 42.48% | 51.4% | 48.77% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 40.54% | 86.06% | 74.42% | 56.21% | 127.71% | 116.73% | 166.36% | 152.37% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 4.078 | 2.156 | 2.412 | 2.57 | 2.106 | 2.238 | 1.959 | 1.901 |
| Change | - | -47.14% | 11.87% | 6.57% | -18.07% | 6.27% | -12.46% | -2.94% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.611 | 1.433 | 1.121 | 1.336 | 0.7153 | 0.8089 | 0.5835 | 0.5628 |
| Change | - | -45.11% | -21.81% | 19.17% | -46.44% | 13.09% | -27.87% | -3.55% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 5.761 | 5.635 | 5.848 | 6.356 | 6.5 | 6.925 | 7.251 | 7.586 |
| Change | - | -2.18% | 3.78% | 8.69% | 2.26% | 6.55% | 4.7% | 4.62% |
| EPS 1 | 3.35 | 2.01 | 1.557 | 1.844 | 1.095 | 1.223 | 0.9411 | 0.9144 |
| Change | - | -40% | -22.54% | 18.43% | -40.62% | 11.65% | -23.02% | -2.83% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 30,77,329 | 30,76,704 | 30,75,974 | 30,75,972 | 30,74,474 | 30,78,541 | 30,78,541 | 30,78,541 |
| Announcement Date | 29/08/21 | 28/08/22 | 27/08/23 | 27/08/24 | 25/08/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 12.9x | 16.8x |
| PBR | 2.28x | 2.18x |
| EV / Sales | 2.96x | 3.2x |
| Yield | 5.11% | 3.69% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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