Projected Income Statement: FirstService Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: FirstService Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - FirstService Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - 598 994 1,055 928 1,382 1,272 1,183
Change - - 66.22% 6.14% -12.04% 48.88% -7.96% -7%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: FirstService Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 58.2 77.61 92.73 112.8 127.7 123.6 136.3 144.5
Change - 33.34% 19.49% 21.64% 13.22% -3.24% 10.27% 6.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 109.1 28.28 187.6 172.9 318.2 291.8 297.7 344.3
Change - -74.07% 563.36% -7.86% 84.08% -8.32% 2.05% 15.62%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: FirstService Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.08% 9.39% 9.59% 9.85% 10.24% 10.17% 10.3% 10.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.21% 5.85% 5.65% 6.47% 6.15% 5.97% 6.44% 6.9%
EBT Margin (%) 6.43% 5.18% 4.69% 4.94% 4.85% 4.73% 5% 5.56%
Net margin (%) 4.16% 3.23% 2.32% 2.58% 2.64% 2.69% 2.98% 3.25%
FCF margin (%) 3.36% 0.76% 4.33% 3.31% 5.79% 5.06% 4.88% 5.37%
FCF / Net Income (%) 80.66% 23.36% 186.9% 128.65% 219.4% 188.39% 163.9% 165.15%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.58% 3.13% 3.44% 3.42% 3.12% 3.03% 3.6%
ROE 18.52% 14.18% 10.39% 12.15% 11.32% 15.72% 21.32% 22.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.7x 2.39x 2.05x 1.65x 2.36x 2.03x 1.76x
Debt / Free cash flow - 21.15x 5.3x 6.1x 2.92x 4.74x 4.27x 3.44x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.79% 2.07% 2.14% 2.16% 2.32% 2.14% 2.24% 2.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.78% 22.06% 22.31% 21.96% 22.69% 21.08% 21.7% 21.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 53.37% 274.39% 49.42% 65.25% 40.13% 42.35% 45.76% 41.97%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.826 2.38 6.481 7.616 8.824 9.697 10.15 10.16
Change - -59.15% 172.33% 17.51% 15.86% 9.89% 4.67% 0.1%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.81 0.9 1 1.1 1.209 1.386 1.546
Change - - 11.11% 11.11% 10% 9.95% 14.61% 11.55%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 20.52 22.92 26.23 30.07 20.82 24.07 26.57
Change - - 11.7% 14.44% 14.65% -30.78% 15.6% 10.41%
EPS 1 3.05 2.72 2.24 2.97 3.17 3.323 4.171 4.979
Change - -10.82% -17.65% 32.59% 6.73% 4.82% 25.52% 19.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 43,930 44,214 44,633 45,262 45,712 43,923 43,923 43,923
Announcement Date 15/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 41.7x 33.2x
PBR 6.65x 5.75x
EV / Sales 1.3x 1.21x
Yield 0.87% 1%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - FirstService Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - FirstService Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - FirstService Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - FirstService Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
138.48USD
Average target price
168.86USD
Spread / Average Target
+21.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - FirstService Corporation
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