Projected Income Statement: Emaar Properties

Forecast Balance Sheet: Emaar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 15,090 9,922 -3,791 -21,584 -40,370 -57,015 -72,688 -84,825
Change - -34.25% -138.21% -469.35% -87.04% -41.23% -27.49% -16.7%
Announcement Date 14/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Emaar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,156 2,469 1,403 1,173 1,281 1,593 1,952 2,144
Change - 14.51% -43.17% -16.41% 9.17% 24.42% 22.52% 9.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,389 9,448 17,539 18,658 23,201 25,351 27,301 28,189
Change - 580.23% 85.64% 6.38% 24.35% 9.27% 7.69% 3.25%
Announcement Date 14/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Emaar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.41% 28.5% 39.38% 59.94% 54.29% 49.52% 48.31% 48.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.09% 23.52% 29% 47.37% 44.28% 44.62% 45.34% 44%
EBT Margin (%) 16.71% 21.66% 34.01% 56.31% 53.23% 49.59% 48.55% 50.12%
Net margin (%) 13.28% 13.44% 27.41% 43.48% 38.06% 34.24% 34.11% 35.17%
FCF margin (%) 7.05% 33.42% 70.36% 69.75% 65.35% 55.86% 49.82% 43.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 53.07% 248.62% 256.72% 160.43% 171.68% 163.14% 146.05% 124.97%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.7% 3.17% 5.4% 8.56% 9.02% 9.3% 9.12% 9.56%
ROE 5.68% 6.48% 10.45% 15.85% 16.57% 18.15% 19.01% 19.86%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.75x 1.23x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 10.86x 1.05x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.94% 8.73% 5.63% 4.38% 3.61% 3.51% 3.56% 3.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 53.6% 30.64% 14.29% 7.32% 6.64% 7.09% 7.37% 6.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 155.24% 26.13% 8% 6.29% 5.52% 6.28% 7.15% 7.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2985 1.479 2.304 2.244 2.77 2.539 2.991 3.762
Change - 395.51% 55.77% -2.62% 23.45% -8.33% 17.78% 25.81%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1 0.15 0.25 0.5 1 1.02 1.056 1.095
Change - 50% 66.67% 100% 100% 2% 3.49% 3.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.927 7.542 7.81 8.794 9.665 10.6 11.3 12.87
Change - -4.85% 3.55% 12.59% 9.91% 9.64% 6.66% 13.88%
EPS 1 0.37 0.52 0.83 1.32 1.53 1.76 2.116 2.553
Change - 40.54% 59.62% 59.04% 15.91% 15.01% 20.23% 20.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 71,59,739 81,79,739 88,38,790 88,38,790 88,38,790 88,38,790 88,38,790 88,38,790
Announcement Date 14/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1AED
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 8.21x 6.83x
PBR 1.36x 1.28x
EV / Sales 1.56x 1x
Yield 7.06% 7.3%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
14.45AED
Average target price
18.40AED
Spread / Average Target
+27.31%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EMAAR Stock
  4. Financials Emaar Properties