Projected Income Statement: Emaar Properties

Forecast Balance Sheet: Emaar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 15,090 9,922 -3,791 -21,584 -40,370 -47,412 -58,152 -65,282
Change - -34.25% -138.21% -469.35% -87.04% -17.44% -22.65% -12.26%
Announcement Date 14/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Emaar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,156 2,469 1,403 1,173 1,281 1,631 1,591 1,578
Change - 14.51% -43.17% -16.41% 9.17% 27.34% -2.46% -0.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,389 9,448 17,539 18,658 23,201 32,532 27,118 26,355
Change - 580.23% 85.64% 6.38% 24.35% 40.22% -16.64% -2.81%
Announcement Date 14/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Emaar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.41% 28.5% 39.38% 59.94% 54.29% 47.4% 49.87% 46.99%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.09% 23.52% 29% 47.37% 44.28% 42.6% 44.59% 44.02%
EBT Margin (%) 16.71% 21.66% 34.01% 56.31% 53.23% 47.49% 51.91% 50.98%
Net margin (%) 13.28% 13.44% 27.41% 43.48% 38.06% 33.79% 35.27% 35.2%
FCF margin (%) 7.05% 33.42% 70.36% 69.75% 65.35% 73.88% 54.33% 44.86%
FCF / Net Income (%) 53.07% 248.62% 256.72% 160.43% 171.68% 218.61% 154.03% 127.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.7% 3.17% 5.4% 8.56% 9.02% 8% 8.3% 8.7%
ROE 5.68% 6.48% 10.45% 15.85% 16.57% 16.95% 18.24% 19.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.75x 1.23x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 10.86x 1.05x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.94% 8.73% 5.63% 4.38% 3.61% 3.7% 3.19% 2.68%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 53.6% 30.64% 14.29% 7.32% 6.64% 7.81% 6.39% 5.71%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 155.24% 26.13% 8% 6.29% 5.52% 5.01% 5.87% 5.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2985 1.479 2.304 2.244 2.77 2.539 2.991 3.762
Change - 395.51% 55.77% -2.62% 23.45% -8.33% 17.78% 25.81%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1 0.15 0.25 0.5 1 1.011 1.025 0.9714
Change - 50% 66.67% 100% 100% 1.11% 1.37% -5.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.927 7.542 7.81 8.794 9.665 10.41 10.96 12.11
Change - -4.85% 3.55% 12.59% 9.91% 7.71% 5.24% 10.57%
EPS 1 0.37 0.52 0.83 1.32 1.53 1.688 2.017 2.396
Change - 40.54% 59.62% 59.04% 15.91% 10.31% 19.52% 18.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 71,59,739 81,79,739 88,38,790 88,38,790 88,38,790 88,38,790 88,38,790 88,38,790
Announcement Date 14/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1AED
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 8.3x 6.94x
PBR 1.34x 1.28x
EV / Sales 1.73x 1.31x
Yield 7.22% 7.32%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
14.00AED
Average target price
16.89AED
Spread / Average Target
+20.62%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EMAAR Stock
  4. Financials Emaar Properties