Projected Income Statement: Danone

Forecast Balance Sheet: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 11,941 10,500 10,107 10,221 8,601 7,739 6,873 6,086
Change - -12.07% -3.74% 1.13% -15.85% -10.02% -11.19% -11.45%
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 962 1,043 873 847 923 1,018 1,069 1,128
Change - 8.42% -16.3% -2.98% 8.97% 10.26% 5.01% 5.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,052 2,431 2,091 2,633 3,003 2,571 2,668 2,769
Change - 18.47% -13.99% 25.92% 14.05% -14.38% 3.77% 3.8%
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.19% 18.95% 18.94% 18.44% 17.26% 17.29% 17.54% 17.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.04% 13.74% 12.21% 12.6% 13% 13.33% 13.63% 13.88%
EBT Margin (%) 10.53% 8.22% 6.62% 6.1% 10.95% 11.9% 12.3% 12.49%
Net margin (%) 8.28% 7.92% 3.47% 3.19% 7.38% 8.27% 8.6% 8.77%
FCF margin (%) 8.69% 10.01% 7.56% 9.53% 10.97% 9.35% 9.43% 9.44%
FCF / Net Income (%) 104.91% 126.35% 218.04% 298.86% 148.59% 113.12% 109.72% 107.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.44% 4.96% 4.86% 5.09% 4.5% 5% 5.27% 5.56%
ROE 11.7% 11.49% 12.53% 13.39% 13.81% 13.12% 13.34% 13.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.5x 2.28x 1.93x 2.01x 1.82x 1.63x 1.39x 1.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.82x 4.32x 4.83x 3.88x 2.86x 3.01x 2.58x 2.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.07% 4.3% 3.16% 3.07% 3.37% 3.7% 3.78% 3.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.17% 22.66% 16.66% 16.63% 19.53% 21.41% 21.54% 21.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 46.88% 42.9% 41.75% 32.17% 30.74% 39.58% 40.06% 40.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.565 5.374 4.635 5.364 5.945 5.482 5.598 5.918
Change - 17.73% -13.75% 15.72% 10.83% -7.78% 2.11% 5.71%
Dividend per Share 1 1.94 1.94 2 2.1 2.15 2.213 2.324 2.466
Change - 0% 3.09% 5% 2.38% 2.92% 5.01% 6.13%
Book Value Per Share 1 24.94 27.07 28.02 25.2 25.1 28.92 30.43 32.1
Change - 8.54% 3.52% -10.07% -0.4% 15.23% 5.2% 5.47%
EPS 1 2.99 2.94 1.48 1.3 3.13 3.643 3.877 4.114
Change - -1.67% -49.66% -12.16% 140.77% 16.39% 6.41% 6.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,49,380 6,50,849 6,26,246 6,41,543 6,43,653 6,45,998 6,45,998 6,45,998
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 18.6x 17.5x
PBR 2.35x 2.23x
EV / Sales 1.88x 1.79x
Yield 3.26% 3.42%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
67.88EUR
Average target price
73.55EUR
Spread / Average Target
+8.36%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise