Projected Income Statement: Danone

Forecast Balance Sheet: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 11,941 10,500 10,107 10,221 8,601 7,932 7,078 6,217
Change - -12.07% -3.74% 1.13% -15.85% -7.78% -10.77% -12.16%
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 962 1,043 873 847 923 1,010 1,073 1,126
Change - 8.42% -16.3% -2.98% 8.97% 9.44% 6.19% 5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,052 2,431 2,091 2,633 3,003 2,504 2,679 2,829
Change - 18.47% -13.99% 25.92% 14.05% -16.62% 6.99% 5.58%
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.19% 18.95% 18.94% 18.44% 17.26% 17.36% 17.72% 17.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.04% 13.74% 12.21% 12.6% 13% 13.39% 13.76% 14.07%
EBT Margin (%) 10.53% 8.22% 6.62% 6.1% 10.95% 11.51% 12.37% 12.78%
Net margin (%) 8.28% 7.92% 3.47% 3.19% 7.38% 8.02% 8.68% 8.96%
FCF margin (%) 8.69% 10.01% 7.56% 9.53% 10.97% 9.16% 9.52% 9.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 104.91% 126.35% 218.04% 298.86% 148.59% 114.21% 109.7% 107.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.44% 4.96% 4.86% 5.09% 4.5% 4.99% 5.42% 5.72%
ROE 11.7% 11.49% 12.53% 13.39% 13.81% 13.35% 13.62% 13.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.5x 2.28x 1.93x 2.01x 1.82x 1.67x 1.42x 1.18x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.82x 4.32x 4.83x 3.88x 2.86x 3.17x 2.64x 2.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.07% 4.3% 3.16% 3.07% 3.37% 3.69% 3.81% 3.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.17% 22.66% 16.66% 16.63% 19.53% 21.28% 21.52% 21.44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 46.88% 42.9% 41.75% 32.17% 30.74% 40.34% 40.04% 39.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.565 5.374 4.635 5.364 5.945 5.393 5.67 5.99
Change - 17.73% -13.75% 15.72% 10.83% -9.27% 5.13% 5.65%
Dividend per Share 1 1.94 1.94 2 2.1 2.15 2.234 2.378 2.549
Change - 0% 3.09% 5% 2.38% 3.9% 6.44% 7.19%
Book Value Per Share 1 24.94 27.07 28.02 25.2 25.1 28.7 30.23 31.94
Change - 8.54% 3.52% -10.07% -0.4% 14.35% 5.33% 5.66%
EPS 1 2.99 2.94 1.48 1.3 3.13 3.477 3.828 4.117
Change - -1.67% -49.66% -12.16% 140.77% 11.08% 10.1% 7.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,49,380 6,50,849 6,26,246 6,41,543 6,43,653 6,40,218 6,40,218 6,40,218
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 20.1x 18.3x
PBR 2.44x 2.32x
EV / Sales 1.93x 1.84x
Yield 3.19% 3.4%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
70.00EUR
Average target price
79.47EUR
Spread / Average Target
+13.53%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise