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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 978.14 USD | +0.71% |
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-0.02% | +13.43% |
| 11/02 | Levels®? Announces Regional Costco Expansion in the Pacific Northwest | CI |
| 10/02 | Evercore ISI Adjusts Price Target on Costco Wholesale to $1,050 From $1,025, Maintains Outperform Rating | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Costco Wholesale Corporation
| Fiscal Period: August | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,95,929 | 2,26,954 | 2,42,290 | 2,54,453 | 2,75,235 | 2,97,457 | 3,19,569 | 3,44,046 |
| Change | - | 15.83% | 6.76% | 5.02% | 8.17% | 8.07% | 7.43% | 7.66% |
| EBITDA 1 | 8,489 | 9,693 | 10,191 | 11,522 | 12,809 | 14,230 | 15,761 | 17,327 |
| Change | - | 14.18% | 5.14% | 13.06% | 11.17% | 11.09% | 10.76% | 9.93% |
| EBIT 1 | 6,708 | 7,793 | 8,114 | 9,285 | 10,383 | 11,563 | 12,800 | 14,104 |
| Change | - | 16.17% | 4.12% | 14.43% | 11.83% | 11.36% | 10.7% | 10.19% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -171 | -158 | -160 | -169 | -154 | -149 | -150.5 | -150.1 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 6,680 | 7,840 | 8,487 | 9,740 | 10,818 | 12,016 | 13,205 | 14,618 |
| Change | - | 17.37% | 8.25% | 14.76% | 11.07% | 11.08% | 9.89% | 10.71% |
| Net income 1 | 5,007 | 5,844 | 6,292 | 7,367 | 8,099 | 9,045 | 9,908 | 10,942 |
| Change | - | 16.72% | 7.67% | 17.09% | 9.94% | 11.69% | 9.53% | 10.44% |
| Announcement Date | 23/09/21 | 22/09/22 | 26/09/23 | 26/09/24 | 25/09/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Costco Wholesale Corporation
| Fiscal Period: August | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -3,767 | -3,646 | -7,242 | -4,009 | -8,448 | -11,168 | -14,808 | -19,726 |
| Change | - | 3.21% | -98.63% | 44.64% | -110.73% | -32.2% | -32.59% | -33.21% |
| Announcement Date | 23/09/21 | 22/09/22 | 26/09/23 | 26/09/24 | 25/09/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Costco Wholesale Corporation
| Fiscal Period: August | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 3,588 | 3,891 | 4,323 | 4,710 | 5,498 | 6,242 | 6,388 | 6,836 |
| Change | - | 8.44% | 11.1% | 8.95% | 16.73% | 13.54% | 2.34% | 7% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 5,370 | 3,501 | 6,745 | 6,629 | 7,837 | 7,340 | 8,655 | 10,017 |
| Change | - | -34.8% | 92.66% | -1.72% | 18.22% | -6.35% | 17.92% | 15.73% |
| Announcement Date | 23/09/21 | 22/09/22 | 26/09/23 | 26/09/24 | 25/09/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Costco Wholesale Corporation
| Fiscal Period: August | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 4.33% | 4.27% | 4.21% | 4.53% | 4.65% | 4.78% | 4.93% | 5.04% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 3.42% | 3.43% | 3.35% | 3.65% | 3.77% | 3.89% | 4.01% | 4.1% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 3.41% | 3.45% | 3.5% | 3.83% | 3.93% | 4.04% | 4.13% | 4.25% |
| Net margin (%) | 2.56% | 2.57% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.94% | 3.04% | 3.1% | 3.18% |
| FCF margin (%) | 2.74% | 1.54% | 2.78% | 2.61% | 2.85% | 2.47% | 2.71% | 2.91% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 107.25% | 59.91% | 107.2% | 89.98% | 96.77% | 81.14% | 87.36% | 91.55% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.72% | 9.47% | 9.45% | 10.61% | 11.02% | 10.73% | 10.73% | 10.64% |
| ROE | 27.93% | 30.59% | 27.54% | 30.27% | 30.69% | 27.99% | 25.95% | 23.56% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.83% | 1.71% | 1.78% | 1.85% | 2% | 2.1% | 2% | 1.99% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 42.27% | 40.14% | 42.42% | 40.88% | 42.92% | 43.87% | 40.53% | 39.45% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 66.82% | 111.14% | 64.09% | 71.05% | 70.15% | 85.05% | 73.81% | 68.24% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 20.16 | 16.62 | 24.9 | 25.49 | 29.98 | 24.99 | 29.12 | 30.57 |
| Change | - | -17.56% | 49.83% | 2.38% | 17.59% | -16.66% | 16.56% | 4.98% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.98 | 3.38 | 3.84 | 19.36 | 4.92 | 5.387 | 5.778 | 5.815 |
| Change | - | 13.42% | 13.61% | 404.17% | -74.59% | 9.49% | 7.26% | 0.63% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 39.75 | 46.63 | 56.61 | 53.31 | 65.8 | 80.36 | 96.59 | 115.6 |
| Change | - | 17.3% | 21.39% | -5.83% | 23.43% | 22.14% | 20.19% | 19.65% |
| EPS 1 | 11.27 | 13.14 | 14.16 | 16.56 | 18.21 | 20.35 | 22.31 | 24.66 |
| Change | - | 16.59% | 7.76% | 16.95% | 9.96% | 11.76% | 9.63% | 10.51% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,42,069 | 4,42,963 | 4,43,148 | 4,43,335 | 4,43,477 | 4,43,869 | 4,43,869 | 4,43,869 |
| Announcement Date | 23/09/21 | 22/09/22 | 26/09/23 | 26/09/24 | 25/09/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 48.1x | 43.8x |
| PBR | 12.2x | 10.1x |
| EV / Sales | 1.42x | 1.31x |
| Yield | 0.54% | 0.59% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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