Projected Income Statement: CK Hutchison Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: CK Hutchison Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,85,103 1,68,169 1,48,808 1,31,810 1,29,614 1,23,904 1,19,084 1,08,831
Change - -9.15% -11.51% -11.42% -1.67% -4.41% -3.89% -8.61%
Announcement Date 18/03/21 17/03/22 16/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CK Hutchison Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 27,104 39,643 25,852 25,301 22,350 22,142 22,720 23,250
Change - 46.26% -34.79% -2.13% -11.66% -0.93% 2.61% 2.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 46,067 12,541 30,862 26,136 31,878 39,140 39,061 41,052
Change - -72.78% 146.09% -15.31% 21.97% 22.78% -0.2% 5.1%
Announcement Date 18/03/21 17/03/22 16/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CK Hutchison Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 30.3% 30.46% 31.09% 27.58% 10.99% 12.8% 13.75% 14.42%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.44% 15.45% 17.12% 13.6% 13.11% 6.38% 7.26% 7.53%
EBT Margin (%) 9.59% 11.22% 13.09% 8.36% 7.28% 8.48% 9.03% 9.37%
Net margin (%) 7.22% 7.52% 8.02% 5.09% 3.58% 4.4% 5.27% 6.12%
FCF margin (%) 11.41% 2.82% 6.75% 5.66% 6.69% 8.95% 8.66% 8.86%
FCF / Net Income (%) 158.07% 37.45% 84.14% 111.22% 186.55% 203.38% 164.39% 144.77%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.36% 2.71% 3.11% 2.04% 1.5% 2.12% 2.6% 2.76%
ROE 6.08% 6.49% 6.96% 4.37% 3.15% 4.04% 4.44% 4.62%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.51x 1.24x 1.05x 1.04x 2.47x 2.21x 1.92x 1.63x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.02x 13.41x 4.82x 5.04x 4.07x 3.17x 3.05x 2.65x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.71% 8.9% 5.65% 5.48% 4.69% 5.06% 5.04% 5.02%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.15% 29.22% 18.19% 19.87% 42.68% 39.53% 36.62% 34.8%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 58.84% 316.11% 83.77% 96.81% 70.11% 56.57% 58.17% 56.64%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 18.98 13.56 14.79 13.43 14.16 12.49 14.22 15.77
Change - -28.53% 9.07% -9.21% 5.43% -11.75% 13.77% 10.93%
Dividend per Share 1 2.314 2.66 2.926 2.531 2.202 2.363 2.51 2.724
Change - 14.95% 10% -13.5% -13% 7.33% 6.2% 8.54%
Book Value Per Share 1 128.2 137.1 299.8 143.2 139.6 144.5 146.8 150.4
Change - 6.92% 118.78% -52.23% -2.53% 3.53% 1.59% 2.45%
EPS 1 7.56 8.7 9.57 6.14 4.46 4.59 6.384 7.597
Change - 15.08% 10% -35.84% -27.36% 2.92% 39.09% 18.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 38,56,241 38,34,635 38,30,045 38,30,045 38,30,045 38,30,044 38,30,044 38,30,044
Announcement Date 18/03/21 17/03/22 16/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.4x 9.64x
PBR 0.43x 0.42x
EV / Sales 0.82x 0.79x
Yield 3.84% 4.08%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
61.55HKD
Average target price
69.32HKD
Spread / Average Target
+12.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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