Projected Income Statement: Chow Tai Seng Jewellery Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Chow Tai Seng Jewellery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,231 -1,667 -568 -1,078 -183 -2,031 -2,069 -2,536
Change - -35.42% 65.93% -89.79% 83.02% -1,007% -1.87% -22.57%
Announcement Date 11/03/22 28/04/23 25/04/24 28/04/25 28/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Chow Tai Seng Jewellery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 153 122.5 214.7 195.3 108.8 67.46 68.87 55.82
Change - -19.94% 75.22% -9% -44.32% -37.97% 2.09% -18.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 43.5 895.2 -76.04 1,661 355.2 2,510 1,113 1,183
Change - 1,958.18% -108.49% 2,283.72% -78.61% 606.55% -55.66% 6.29%
Announcement Date 11/03/22 28/04/23 25/04/24 28/04/25 28/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Chow Tai Seng Jewellery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.62% 13.01% 10.66% 10.38% 17.12% 19.26% 18.82% 19.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.32% 12.67% 10.41% 9.24% 15.28% 17.99% 18.25% 18.75%
EBT Margin (%) 17.45% 12.77% 10.49% 9.3% 15.23% 17.73% 17.73% 18.04%
Net margin (%) 13.42% 9.81% 8.08% 7.27% 12.52% 14.03% 14.18% 14.44%
FCF margin (%) 0.48% 8.05% -0.47% 11.95% 4.03% 28.27% 11.52% 11.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 3.54% 82.08% -5.78% 164.39% 32.2% 201.47% 81.24% 77.43%

Profitability

        
ROA 18% 14.92% 16.85% 12.75% 13.66% 14.95% 16.1% 17.8%
ROE 21.39% 18.28% 21.09% 15.72% 17.16% 18.71% 19.8% 21.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.67% 1.1% 1.32% 1.41% 1.23% 0.76% 0.71% 0.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.49% 8.47% 12.36% 13.54% 7.21% 3.94% 3.79% 2.78%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 351.82% 13.68% -282.28% 11.76% 30.62% 2.69% 6.19% 4.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1793 0.9286 0.1265 1.693 0.4275 1.425 1.305 1.13
Change - 417.9% -86.38% 1,238.66% -74.75% 233.33% -8.42% -13.41%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.6 0.65 0.65 0.9 0.995 1.068 1.14
Change - 20% 8.33% 0% 38.46% 10.56% 7.29% 6.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.27 5.513 5.823 5.8 5.972 6.168 6.398 6.658
Change - 4.62% 5.61% -0.4% 2.97% 3.28% 3.73% 4.06%
EPS 1 1.13 1.01 1.21 0.93 1.02 1.147 1.248 1.38
Change - -10.62% 19.8% -23.14% 9.68% 12.42% 8.87% 10.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,96,223 10,85,474 10,85,474 10,85,474 10,85,474 10,85,474 10,85,474 10,85,474
Announcement Date 11/03/22 28/04/23 25/04/24 28/04/25 28/04/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 10.4x 9.6x
PBR 1.94x 1.87x
EV / Sales 1.24x 1.13x
Yield 8.31% 8.91%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
11.98CNY
Average target price
14.33CNY
Spread / Average Target
+19.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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