Projected Income Statement: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -30,368 -50,823 -51,580 -63,689 -62,977 -58,022 -68,130 -74,193
Change - -67.36% -1.49% -23.48% 1.12% 7.87% -17.42% -8.9%
Announcement Date 09/04/21 27/04/22 17/04/23 17/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,360 1,925 1,405 2,528 3,293 6,493 5,893 5,758
Change - -18.46% -27% 79.93% 30.26% 97.19% -9.24% -2.3%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,316 21,047 4,871 17,333 1,556 24,639 12,024 8,784
Change - 153.1% -76.86% 255.83% -91.02% 1,482.98% -51.2% -26.94%
Announcement Date 09/04/21 27/04/22 17/04/23 17/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.28% 7.35% 9.5% 7% 4.31% 5.64% 6.06% 6.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.1% 3.55% 6.3% 6.91% 4.15% 2.42% 4.09% 4.73%
EBT Margin (%) 3.07% 3.63% 6.36% 7% 4.23% 2.86% 3.98% 4.4%
Net margin (%) 3.93% 3.38% 6.43% 7.49% 4.58% 2.82% 3.62% 3.86%
FCF margin (%) 9.83% 20.02% 4.02% 11.46% 0.97% 13.77% 5.91% 3.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 250.15% 592.46% 62.46% 153.02% 21.26% 488.56% 163.22% 102.93%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.04% 2.8% 5.54% 6.74% 3.68% 2.19% 3.28% 3.04%
ROE 7.13% 6.53% 13.07% 16.55% 9.69% 6.27% 8.43% 9.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.79% 1.83% 1.16% 1.67% 2.06% 3.63% 2.9% 2.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.72% 24.9% 12.2% 23.87% 47.84% 64.38% 47.83% 42.51%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.38% 9.14% 28.84% 14.58% 211.56% 26.35% 49.01% 65.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.094 2.315 0.5711 2.003 0.4891 1.366 1.557 1.879
Change - 111.7% -75.33% 250.67% -75.58% 179.29% 13.95% 20.71%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1681 0.1792 0.236 0.343 0.295 0.1944 0.2283 0.2532
Change - 6.6% 31.67% 45.34% -13.99% -34.11% 17.42% 10.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.473 5.617 6.335 7.245 7.724 8.011 8.703 9.387
Change - 2.64% 12.79% 14.36% 6.61% 3.71% 8.65% 7.86%
EPS 1 0.3736 0.3538 0.7799 1.13 0.74 0.5068 0.743 0.8602
Change - -5.29% 120.4% 44.89% -34.51% -31.51% 46.59% 15.78%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 97,61,381 99,21,799 99,21,799 99,17,289 99,14,086 99,12,924 99,12,924 99,12,924
Announcement Date 09/04/21 27/04/22 17/04/23 17/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 22.1x 15x
PBR 1.4x 1.28x
EV / Sales 0.23x 0.15x
Yield 1.74% 2.04%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
11.18CNY
Average target price
14.78CNY
Spread / Average Target
+32.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 000625 Stock
  4. Financials Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited