Projected Income Statement: BYD Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -16,091 -38,436 -78,213 -82,378 28,763 -43,167 -91,118 -1,60,079
Change - -138.87% -103.49% -5.33% 134.92% -250.08% -111.08% -75.68%
Announcement Date 29/03/22 28/03/23 26/03/24 24/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 37,344 97,457 1,22,094 97,360 1,54,710 90,083 91,298 91,983
Change - 160.97% 25.28% -20.26% 58.91% -41.77% 1.35% 0.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,123 43,381 47,632 36,094 -97,672 18,274 50,229 98,926
Change - 54.25% 9.8% -24.22% -370.6% 118.71% 174.87% 96.95%
Announcement Date 29/03/22 28/03/23 26/03/24 24/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.58% 9.86% 13.56% 14.77% 14.68% 13.86% 14.35% 15.2%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 5.08% 6.33% 6.5% 5% 4.8% 5.61% 6.19%
EBT Margin (%) 2.14% 4.97% 6.19% 6.39% 4.94% 5.3% 6.05% 6.52%
Net margin (%) 1.44% 3.92% 4.99% 5.18% 4.06% 4.35% 4.99% 5.38%
FCF margin (%) 13.31% 10.23% 7.91% 4.64% -12.15% 2% 5.65% 10.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 923.53% 260.98% 158.56% 89.67% -299.43% 45.87% 113.28% 196.1%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.23% 4.21% 5.12% 5.5% 3.91% 4.02% 4.72% 5%
ROE 4.01% 16.13% 24.05% 24.84% 15.31% 15.01% 16.59% 17.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.24x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -0.29x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.67% 22.98% 20.27% 12.53% 19.24% 10.85% 9.45% 8.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 184.54% 232.98% 149.52% 84.85% 131.05% 79.89% 67.23% 57.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 132.79% 224.65% 256.33% 269.74% -158.4% 543.71% 195.85% 82.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.596 16.13 19.45 15.29 6.552 13.99 15.85 18
Change - 112.3% 20.64% -21.38% -57.17% 113.6% 13.25% 13.6%
Dividend per Share 1 0.035 0.3807 1.032 1.325 0.358 0.4582 1.309 1.551
Change - 987.63% 171.1% 28.36% -72.97% 27.99% 185.8% 18.44%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.89 12.71 15.92 21.23 - 30.91 35.63 40.86
Change - 16.79% 25.23% 33.33% - - 15.26% 14.67%
EPS 1 0.3533 1.903 3.44 4.613 3.58 4.383 5.576 6.623
Change - 438.68% 80.74% 34.11% -22.4% 22.43% 27.22% 18.78%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 87,33,429 87,16,895 87,16,895 87,16,224 91,05,624 90,85,053 90,85,053 90,85,053
Announcement Date 29/03/22 28/03/23 26/03/24 24/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 17.1x 13.4x
PBR 2.42x 2.1x
EV / Sales 0.79x 0.65x
Yield 0.61% 1.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
74.74CNY
Average target price
107.58CNY
Spread / Average Target
+43.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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