Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 17,039 10,491 8,678
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% -23.19% -38.43% -17.28%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,443 13,745 14,015
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -7.5% 2.25% 1.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 16,710 13,516 12,081
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 67.77% -19.12% -10.61%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 21.79% 20.35% 19.43%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 13.56% 11.44% 10.49%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 12.22% 9.87% 8.7%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 7.14% 5.61% 5.18%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 7.98% 6.99% 6.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 111.77% 124.69% 119.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 4.69% 3.82% 3.31%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 22.65% 14.77% 14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.37x 0.27x 0.23x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 1.02x 0.78x 0.72x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.42% 7.11% 7.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 29.44% 34.93% 37.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 80.45% 101.7% 116.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 2.195 1.85 1.763
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 42.59% -15.69% -4.73%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3425 0.3587 0.372
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.9% 4.73% 3.72%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 3.923 4.083 4.431
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 13.71% 4.09% 8.51%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 0.9029 0.6992 0.6843
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 26,456.47% -22.56% -2.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,95,93,397 1,81,57,212 1,69,30,452 1,58,28,940 1,52,97,154 1,54,50,744 1,54,50,744 1,54,50,744
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.76x 10x
PBR 1.79x 1.72x
EV / Sales 0.6x 0.61x
Yield 4.89% 5.12%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
7.004USD
Average target price
7.989USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise