Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 23,002 19,255 21,253
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% 3.7% -16.29% 10.38%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,725 13,924 14,302
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -5.56% 1.44% 2.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 11,862 11,420 12,870
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 19.1% -3.73% 12.7%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 20.29% 19.37% 18.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 10.36% 9.99% 9.97%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 7.25% 7.66% 7.74%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 3.89% 4.05% 4.41%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 6.75% 6.29% 6.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 173.75% 155.29% 152.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 2.69% 2.89% 2.93%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 11.36% 12.32% 14.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.65x 0.55x 0.59x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 1.94x 1.69x 1.65x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 7.82% 7.67% 7.46%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 38.52% 39.62% 39.71%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 115.7% 121.92% 111.13%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 1.552 1.625 1.667
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 0.86% 4.66% 2.58%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3403 0.3555 0.3696
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.24% 4.48% 3.97%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 3.593 3.68 3.738
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 4.14% 2.42% 1.58%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 0.4515 0.4904 0.5752
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 13,180.59% 8.61% 17.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,95,93,397 1,81,57,212 1,69,30,452 1,58,28,940 1,52,97,154 1,53,69,775 1,53,69,775 1,53,69,775
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.1x 13.9x
PBR 1.9x 1.86x
EV / Sales 0.73x 0.68x
Yield 4.98% 5.2%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
6.832USD
Average target price
6.534USD
Spread / Average Target
-4.35%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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