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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 51.93 AUD | +1.37% |
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-6.74% | +14.15% |
| 07:39am | ASX Midday Sector Update: Materials Stocks Advance, Health Care Sector Struggles | MT |
| 06:07am | Australian shares extend recovery as miners rally on strong metal prices | RE |
Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 60,817 | 65,098 | 53,817 | 55,658 | 51,262 | 56,641 | 54,882 | 54,381 |
| Change | - | 7.04% | -17.33% | 3.42% | -7.9% | 10.49% | -3.1% | -0.91% |
| EBITDA 1 | 37,379 | 40,634 | 27,956 | 29,016 | 26,000 | 31,938 | 30,106 | 29,422 |
| Change | - | 8.71% | -31.2% | 3.79% | -10.39% | 22.84% | -5.74% | -2.27% |
| EBIT 1 | 30,291 | 34,400 | 22,820 | 23,631 | 20,240 | 26,007 | 24,039 | 23,032 |
| Change | - | 13.57% | -33.66% | 3.55% | -14.35% | 28.49% | -7.57% | -4.19% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -1,305 | -969 | -1,531 | -1,489 | -1,111 | -1,412 | -1,454 | -1,449 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 24,601 | 33,137 | 21,401 | 16,048 | 18,353 | 24,849 | 22,974 | 22,270 |
| Change | - | 34.7% | -35.42% | -25.01% | 14.36% | 35.39% | -7.55% | -3.07% |
| Net income 1 | 11,304 | 30,900 | 12,921 | 7,897 | 9,019 | 12,531 | 13,038 | 12,776 |
| Change | - | 173.35% | -58.18% | -38.88% | 14.21% | 38.94% | 4.05% | -2.01% |
| Announcement Date | 17/08/21 | 15/08/22 | 21/08/23 | 26/08/24 | 18/08/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 5,507 | 333 | 11,166 | 9,120 | 12,924 | 10,908 | 11,641 | 10,710 |
| Change | - | -93.95% | 3,253.15% | -18.32% | 41.71% | -15.6% | 6.72% | -8% |
| Announcement Date | 17/08/21 | 15/08/22 | 21/08/23 | 26/08/24 | 18/08/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 6,606 | 5,855 | 6,733 | 8,816 | 9,398 | 10,679 | 10,839 | 10,244 |
| Change | - | -11.37% | 15% | 30.94% | 6.6% | 13.63% | 1.5% | -5.48% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 20,114 | 25,215 | 11,968 | 11,849 | 9,294 | 10,847 | 12,398 | 12,447 |
| Change | - | 25.36% | -52.54% | -0.99% | -21.56% | 16.71% | 14.3% | 0.39% |
| Announcement Date | 17/08/21 | 15/08/22 | 21/08/23 | 26/08/24 | 18/08/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 61.46% | 62.42% | 51.95% | 52.13% | 50.72% | 56.39% | 54.85% | 54.1% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 49.81% | 52.84% | 42.4% | 42.46% | 39.48% | 45.92% | 43.8% | 42.35% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 40.45% | 50.9% | 39.77% | 28.83% | 35.8% | 43.87% | 41.86% | 40.95% |
| Net margin (%) | 18.59% | 47.47% | 24.01% | 14.19% | 17.59% | 22.12% | 23.76% | 23.49% |
| FCF margin (%) | 33.07% | 38.73% | 22.24% | 21.29% | 18.13% | 19.15% | 22.59% | 22.89% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 177.94% | 81.6% | 92.62% | 150.04% | 103.05% | 86.56% | 95.09% | 97.42% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 15.91% | 30.28% | 13.15% | 13.41% | 9.62% | 11.34% | 10.42% | 10.06% |
| ROE | 31.69% | 49.5% | 28.89% | 30.59% | 21.97% | 24.91% | 21.52% | 18.96% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.15x | 0.01x | 0.4x | 0.31x | 0.5x | 0.34x | 0.39x | 0.36x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.27x | 0.01x | 0.93x | 0.77x | 1.39x | 1.01x | 0.94x | 0.86x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 10.86% | 8.99% | 12.51% | 15.84% | 18.33% | 18.85% | 19.75% | 18.84% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 17.67% | 14.41% | 24.08% | 30.38% | 36.15% | 33.44% | 36% | 34.82% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 32.84% | 23.22% | 56.26% | 74.4% | 101.12% | 98.45% | 87.42% | 82.31% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 5.374 | 5.775 | 3.686 | 4.07 | 3.677 | 4.231 | 4.618 | 4.386 |
| Change | - | 7.47% | -36.17% | 10.41% | -9.65% | 15.05% | 9.15% | -5.03% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 3.01 | 3.25 | 1.7 | 1.46 | 1.1 | 1.466 | 1.4 | 1.236 |
| Change | - | 7.97% | -47.69% | -14.12% | -24.66% | 33.3% | -4.55% | -11.7% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 10.14 | 8.882 | 8.786 | 8.838 | 9.392 | 10.81 | 12 | 13.11 |
| Change | - | -12.38% | -1.09% | 0.59% | 6.26% | 15.07% | 11.01% | 9.29% |
| EPS 1 | 2.235 | 6.093 | 2.547 | 1.555 | 1.774 | 2.626 | 2.718 | 2.625 |
| Change | - | 172.62% | -58.2% | -38.95% | 14.08% | 48.05% | 3.49% | -3.41% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 50,57,690 | 50,61,151 | 50,64,466 | 50,69,816 | 50,75,992 | 50,77,908 | 50,77,908 | 50,77,908 |
| Announcement Date | 17/08/21 | 15/08/22 | 21/08/23 | 26/08/24 | 18/08/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 13.9x | 13.5x |
| PBR | 3.39x | 3.05x |
| EV / Sales | 3.47x | 3.6x |
| Yield | 4.01% | 3.83% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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