Projected Income Statement: Barry Callebaut AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: Barry Callebaut AG

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,281 1,199 1,309 3,818 4,301 2,420 2,194 2,093
Change - -6.4% 9.17% 191.67% 12.65% -43.74% -9.34% -4.6%
Announcement Date 10/11/21 31/10/22 01/11/23 06/11/24 05/11/25 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Barry Callebaut AG

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 275.2 275.9 241 285.1 295 311.3 325.1 325.9
Change - 0.23% -12.65% 18.29% 3.47% 5.54% 4.43% 0.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 340.4 245.8 118.7 -2,349 -312 2,031 585.6 460.7
Change - -27.8% -51.69% -2,078.55% 86.72% 750.98% -71.17% -21.33%
Announcement Date 10/11/21 31/10/22 01/11/23 06/11/24 05/11/25 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Barry Callebaut AG

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.03% 10.64% 10.59% 9.15% 6.41% 6.54% 8.1% 8.34%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.86% 7.72% 7.78% 6.78% 4.76% 4.68% 5.86% 6.18%
EBT Margin (%) 6.45% 5.34% 6.32% 2.3% 1.75% 1.9% 3.67% 4%
Net margin (%) 5.33% 4.46% 5.25% 1.83% 1.26% 1.57% 2.87% 3.3%
FCF margin (%) 4.72% 3.04% 1.4% -22.62% -2.11% 15.96% 5.3% 4.05%
FCF / Net Income (%) 88.66% 68.13% 26.72% -1,237.76% -167.86% 1,013.27% 184.39% 122.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.34% 4.81% 5.49% 3.53% 1.78% 1.68% 2.81% 3.41%
ROE 14.3% 12.92% 15.3% 14.5% 9.5% 8.64% 11.78% 12.86%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.61x 1.39x 1.46x 4.02x 4.53x 2.91x 2.45x 2.21x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.76x 4.88x 11.03x -1.63x -13.79x 1.19x 3.75x 4.54x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.82% 3.41% 2.85% 2.74% 1.99% 2.45% 2.94% 2.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.61% 32.06% 26.86% 29.99% 31.09% 37.39% 36.32% 34.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 80.86% 112.26% 202.98% -12.14% -94.54% 15.33% 55.52% 70.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 112 94.96 60.19 -376.7 -7.754 441.4 301 270.2
Change - -15.21% -36.62% -725.89% 97.94% 5,792.54% -31.8% -10.24%
Dividend per Share 1 28 28 29 29 29 29.33 30.24 31.56
Change - 0% 3.57% 0% 0% 1.15% 3.09% 4.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 488 529.7 529.1 518.1 478.3 480.2 505.9 540.4
Change - 8.54% -0.12% -2.08% -7.68% 0.39% 5.36% 6.81%
EPS 1 69.84 65.66 80.9 34.58 33.83 36.15 58.94 68.36
Change - -5.99% 23.21% -57.26% -2.17% 6.84% 63.07% 15.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,476 5,481 5,479 5,474 5,481 5,483 5,483 5,483
Announcement Date 10/11/21 31/10/22 01/11/23 06/11/24 05/11/25 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 31.2x 19.1x
PBR 2.35x 2.23x
EV / Sales 0.68x 0.76x
Yield 2.6% 2.68%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
1,127.00CHF
Average target price
1,246.21CHF
Spread / Average Target
+10.58%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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