2020 full year results
Jos Baeten, CEO
Annemiek van Melick, CFO
ANALYST CONFERENCE CALL
18 February 2021
Strong operational performance and robust solvency in 2020
• Operating result of € 885m up € 27m, driven primarily by higher Life investment margin and strong Non-life performance
• Impact COVID-19 limited due to diversification of business activities
• Combined ratio1at 93.6%. Non-life organic GWP growth of 4.6%
• Efficiency ratios improved in all business segments, despite higher operating expenses, mainly driven by growth and acquisitions
• Operating RoEof 15.3% exceeds target range
• IFRS net result down to € 657m due to COVID- 19 impact on financial markets and one-offs
• Robust Solvency II ratio on standard formula, up 5%-ptto 199% after proposed dividend
• OCC stable at € 500m, higher business capital generation offset by higher UFR drag
• FY20 dividend2up 7.4% to € 2.04 per share.
Final dividend equals € 1.28, share buyback of € 75m announced
1 P&C and Disability
2 FY19 dividend includes special dividend of €1.20 to make up for final dividend 2019
3 After proposed FY20 dividend
4 OCC 2019 restated for new OCC definition
2
Delivering on sustainable value creation for all stakeholders
Overall limited impact of COVID-19
Customers
• First focus was a seamless transition to providing full customer support from home and efficiently dealing with increased client contact requests in specific business lines
• In the 1st half of the year, clients in need were offered client solutions, including payment arrangements. In the 2nd half of the year, there was less demand for these solutions
• Rent arrears in real estate portfolio reverted in the 2nd half of the year from c. €16m at HY20 to c. € 7m at FY20
• Excellent customer satisfaction illustrated by further increase in NPS to 49 from 44
Employees
• From one day to the next, some 4,000 colleagues switched seamlessly to fully working from home
• Mood monitor (HR tool), which measures the employees' wellbeing, motivation and vitality, scored 7.3 out of 10 on average
• Further focus on mood monitor scores to improve sense of involvement of our employees
• Frequent all-company meetings to update employees on latest trends and situation
Financial results
• COVID-19 impact on operating result limited at c. € -1m. Negative impact on Life
(c. € -22m) was offset by Non-life (c. € 21m)
• Due to underlying increasing trend in claims (particularly sickness leave) Disability provisions further strengthened in 2nd half of the year, re-integration processes reverted to normal
• Within P&C, a higher traffic intensity was observed in the 2nd half of the year
• Life COVID-19 impact mainly due to lower (equity) dividends and rental income
• IFRS net result considerably lower due to impact on financial markets, goodwill impairments and the reported purchase gain from Loyalis in 2019
Solid progress in executing our strategy in 2020
Portfolio matrix
BRobust and predictable service books
• Successful IT costs reduction due to system rationalisations within Ind. Life and Pensions DB and a reduction of the number of applications
• All systems within Individual Life were converted to a SaaS solution, including Loyalis and VvAA portfolios
• Ongoing focus on cost efficiency illustrated by decrease in Life operating expenses, supported by acquisition of VvAA Life. Life operating expenses decreased from 62 bps in 2016 to 45 bps in 2020
ANon-life business domains with growth potential
• Combination of Loyalis, Veherex and Vitality partnership strengthens client proposition in the business domain of sustainable employability. Vitality helpful in further improvement of customer relevance and loyalty1
• In-house execution of reintegration activities strengthens customer connection
• Expense ratio decreases from 8.4% to 8.1%
Asset management related growth business
• Assets under Management ("AuM") for third parties increased by € 3.4bn to € 25.4bn, mainly driven by growth in the mortgage and DC funds
• Brand New Day IORP2 supports growth in DC business and Asset Management
• Mortgage origination ended up at € 4.6bn in FY20
• 3rd party AuM increased from € 12.4bn in 2016 to € 25.4bn in 2020, operating result increased from € 4m in 2016 to €31m in 2020
Divestments
• Remaining investment accounts of a.s.r. bank were transferred to Van Lanschot Kempen
• Banking license of a.s.r. bank was withdrawn in December 2020
1 At FY20 50k participants and 10k employers participated in a.s.r. Vitality programme 2 Institution for Occupational Retirement Provision refers to Dutch abbreviation "PPI"
5
Non-life: strong organic and inorganic GWP growth
• Non-life operating result increased to € 241m, including a € 21m positive COVID-19 effect
• In Disability, COVID-19 resulted in reserve strengthening and higher claims. In the 2nd half of the year reintegration processes reverted to normal
• P&C benefitted from lower claims in motor and fire due to COVID-19, offset by reserve strengthening, primarily on account of bodily injury
• Combined ratio1 of 93.6% including c. 0.6%-pt (positive) effect of COVID-19
• Improvement in expense ratio from 8.4% to 8.1% reflects realised cost synergies from Generali NL and Loyalis IT migration and increase in GWP
• Organic growth of P&C and Disability combined 4.6%, at upper end of target of 3-5% growth p.a.
• Significant inorganic growth in Disability GWP due to Loyalis + Veherex (€ 158m)
• Increase in Health GWP reflects strong interest in the newly introduced benefit-in-kind insurance product
Life: investment margin drives higher operating result
Operating result (in €m)
Investment marginResult on costsTechnical result and Other
+4.9%
+13.3%
696
730
369
16
98
32
78
326
50
6
49
583
620
271
18 302
FY 2019
FY 2020
H2 2019
H2 2020
Gross written premiums
(in €m)
RecurringSingle
+11.8%
1,810
1,619
FY 2019
FY 2020
283
405
1,336
1,405
Investment margin (in €m)
Direct investment incomeAmortised realised gainsRequired interest
+6.3%
583
620
FY 2019
FY 2020
298
1,063
-778
New business (APE) (in €m)
RecurringSingle
-22.1%
159 18
124
141
108
FY 2019
FY 2020
16
277
1,090
-747
Life operating expenses (in bps of basic Life provision)
bps Life opex
UL provision in €bnNominal provision in €bn
53
37
38
45
FY 2019
FY 2020
12 | 13 |
25 | 25 |
• Operating result of Life segment increased by € 34m, to € 730m, despite a € 22m negative impact due to COVID-19
• Investment margin rose by € 37m despite € -20m COVID-19 impact on direct investment income
• Result on costs rose to € 32m due to a partly one-off decline in cost level, supported by ongoing cost efficiency and realisation of cost synergies from acquisitions
• Decrease in technical result of € 20m, mainly driven by relatively strong mortality result in 2019. Limited positive impact of COVID-19 on mortality result
• Higher investment margin mainly driven by:
• Positive effect from derivatives portfolio (swaptions)
• Optimisation of illiquidity (mortgages) and credit risk premium and additional contribution of acquisitions
• Required interest decreased due to maturing Individual life book
• GWP increased by 11.8%, driven by strong growth in Pensions DC and acquisitions (Loyalis and VvAA), partly offset by a decline in Pensions DB and Individual life
• New Business (APE) lower due to positive one-offs in 2019
• Expenses dropped to 45bps, which is at the lower end of target range of 45-55bps
Operating result fee-based businesses delivering on ambitious targets
• Fee-based business operating result amounts to € 57m for 2020 (2019: € 48m). Increase of 19% exceeds the target of 5% growth per annum
• Operating result of Asset Management increased by € 7m, driven by an increase in fee income from external mandates (primarily mortgage fund and DC funds). COVID-19 impact in 2020 neutral
• Third-party assets increased to € 25.4bn (FY19: € 22.0bn1)
• Operating result of Distribution and Services increased by c. € 2m, mainly due to small acquisitions and organic growth
• Decrease in operating result of Holding and Other is mainly driven by the increase in current net service costs (pension plan) due to lower interest rates (€ 20m), the additional interest expenses from the € 500m Tier 2 subordinated liability placed in April 2019 (€ 6m) and higher indirect costs
• As from 2021 a.s.r. has shifted from DB to DC pension plan for future accrual, leading to an expected positive impact on operating result (c. €20m) and OCC (c. €7m). Accrued rights of a.s.r. employees remain in DB account
1 Reclassified figure
8
Solid track record in rational capital management
• 2020 regular full year dividend amounts to € 2.04 per share, equal to 7.4% DPS growth. Final dividend amounts to € 1.28 per share
• Dividend policy: pay-out ratio of 45% to 55% of the net operating result attributable to shareholders (i.e. net of hybrid costs and after tax)
• Dividend threshold at 140% SII. Above 180% room for additional capital returns. Rational allocation OCC towards organic growth, bolt-on M&A and/or rerisking, regular dividend and additional capital returns
• € 75m share buyback announced for 2021, starting 19 February until 18 May 2021 at the latest
• Total capital return since IPO in 2016 amounts to € 1.6bn (36% of current market cap1)
Ample capital return since IPO (in €m)
DPS (in €)
1.27
1.63
1.74
485
FY 2016
FY 2017
FY 2018
FY 2019
FY 2020
SBBInterim DividendFinal Dividend
1 Market capitalisation as at 31 December 2020
2 SBB announced at FY19, FY20 results and to be executed in 2020, 2021 respectively
9
3 Special dividend of €1.20 per share equals the postponed final dividend for FY19
Solvency and capital position
Annemiek van Melick, CFO
Solvency II: high quality balance sheet
• Solvency II ratio is 199% based on standard formula (FY 2019: 194%)
• Unrestricted Tier 1 capital increased by € 425m, to € 6,213m: 75% of total own funds and 149% of SCR, absorbing the reduction of the UFR to 3.75% (-4%-pts)
• Ample headroom available within SII framework:
- RT1: € 1,019m
- T2 & T3: € 554m
• No use of Tier 3 capacity
• Market risk at 44%, well under the soft limit of 50% of required capital (pre-diversification and LAC DT), leaving room for asset optimisation
• An increase in insurance and market risk was partially mitigated by increased positive impact of diversification and the LAC DT
• Both market and insurance SCR increased due inorganic and organic growth of Non-life segment, lower interest rates partly offset by maturing Individual life book
Solvency II ratio movements in 2020
1 Includes the closing of the Veherex and VvAA acquisitions
• Solvency II ratio increased 5%-pts to 199%, on standard formula and after capital distributions, 208% before capital distributions
• Robust organic capital creation of € 500m or 12.2%-pts of required capital. Higher business capital generation as well as release of capital make up for € 79m higher UFR drag
• Market & operational developments are positive, mainly due to higher LAC DT benefit2 and adjustment of mortality assumptions, partially mitigated by the reduction of the UFR
• Capital distributions reflect € 282m FY20 dividend (€ 105m interim dividend, € 177m proposed final dividend) and € 75m share buyback executed in 2020
2 Reversal of previously expected corporate tax lowering incorporated in LACDT and DTA/DTL positions, as corporate tax rate remains 25%
OCC development
Business Capital Generation (+€ 42m)
• Excess returns higher due to spread widening and shift to higher yielding assets
• Higher income from fee-based business
Release of capital (+€ 42m)
• Higher contribution from Loyalis(acquisition 2019)
• Lower interest rates lead to higher release of capital
Technical movements (-€ 85m)
• Decreasing interest rates led amongst others to an increase of the UFR drag of € 79m
• For 2021 an echo of UFR drag of € 37m is starting point for 2021 due to the averaging methodology, leaving ample ambition in 2021 target of € 500m
1 UFR drag contains averaging methodology, i.e. taking avarage of € 161m UFR drag at rates at 1/1/2020 and € 247m UFR drag at rates at 31/12/20.
This results in a UFR drag echo of € 37m in 2021 if rates would remain unchanged in 2021 (half of the impact of interest rate movements in 2020, taking into account lowering of UFR to 3.6% as of 1/1/2021).
Manageable Solvency sensitivities
1 Steepening of the curve of 10bps between 20Y and 30Y
2 Bars represent a period of 2 years
• Limited impact of parallel and non-parallel interest rate shocks on SII ratio
• a.s.r.uses a combination of cash flow hedging and duration hedging to manage interest rate risk
• For the longer maturities, a.s.r.applies duration hedging of the liabilities, including the risk margin, based on parallel as well as non-parallel interest rate shocks. This is done trough a combination of bonds and derivatives, which allows for accurate hedging of optionality in liabilities (e.g.profit sharing) as well as assets (e.g.mortgages)
• For its hedging strategy a.s.r.uses a limit of 100bps parallel shift on sensitivity of SII ratio to a maximum 15%-pts
• Impact non-parallel curve shocks managed by sensitivity of duration buckets
• Sovereign and corporate spread sensitivities are stated excluding VA impact3
3 Note that at FY20, a corporate spread widening of 75bps corresponded with c. 15bps of VA increase. A 50bps of sovereign spread widening corresponded with c. 10bps VA increase
Robust and diversified investment portfolio
1 Investment portfolio distinguishes different investment categories from an asset management perspective. Therefore, this breakdown differs from the financial statement presentation based on IFRS
2 Excluding the other (external) mortgage funds (€ 0.4bn), for which no LtMV data is provided
3 In % of required capital excl. LAC DT and diversification between Market, Life, Non-life and Health risks
4 For calculation of risky assets, see appendix P
Strong balance sheet with ample financial flexibility
Robust solvency and cash support our businesses and dividends
• HoldCo Liquidity at FY 2020 stood at € 502m, in line with a.s.r's policy of maintaining cash at operating companies and upstream cash to cover dividends, coupons and other Holding expenses for the current year
• Cash remittance mainly from the Life entity
Wrap-up
Jos Baeten, CEO
Key take-aways
Strong business performance in all segments
Solid progress in executing our strategy, on track to meet medium-term targets
Strong balance sheet, robust solvency with ample financial flexibility
Solid track record in rational capital management
Appendices
Appendices
A. Financial ratios
L. Details of Corporates and Financials bond portfolio
B. Combined ratio per product line
M. Fixed Income portfolio government credit rating
C. Calculation of operating ROE
D. IFRS profit vs. operating result per segment
E. IFRS equity and SII EOF multi-year development
N. Fixed Income portfolio Corporates and Financials credit rating
O. Details of equities and real estate portfolio
P. Calculation of asset leverage
F. SCR movement in 2020
Q. Life segment book development
G. Sensitivities Solvency II ratio
R. Life segment investment contribution
H. Sensitivities Solvency II ratio - UFR
S. Track record in stable investment margin
I. Investment portfolio
T. Medium-term group targets (2019 - 2021)
J. Details of fixed-income portfolio
U. Medium-term business targets (2019 - 2021)
K. Dutch mortgage portfolio, strong return with low risk
V. Medium-term non-financial objectives (2019 - 2021)
A. Financial ratios
B. Combined ratio per product line
FY 2019
FY 2020
Property & Casualty
Net earned premiums (in €m) Claims ratio
1,466 1,492
62.4% 58.2%
Expense ratio Commission ratio Combined ratio
8.2% 8.1%
26.3% 26.2%
96.9% 92.5%
Net earned premiums (in €m) Claims ratio
981 1,182
70.2% 77.4%
Disability
Expense ratioCommission ratio Combined ratio
8.6% 8.1%
9.5% 9.5%
88.3% 95.1%
P&C & Disability
Net earned premiums (in €m) Claims ratio
2,447 2,674
65.5% 66.7%
Expense ratio Commission ratio Combined ratio
8.4% 8.1%
19.6% 18.8%
93.5% 93.6%
Net earned premiums (in €m) Claims ratio
712 894
93.9% 92.7%
Health
1.6% 1.9%
99.0% 97.7%
Non-life segment1
Expense ratio Commission ratio Combined ratio
3.5% 3.1%
Net earned premiums (in €m) Claims ratio
3,159 3,568
72.1% 73.6%
Expense ratio Commission ratio Combined ratio
7.4% 7.0%
15.5% 14.6%
95.0% 95.2%
1 Note that the Non-life CoR calculation differs from the sum of the three product lines due to elements that affect the overall segment (i.e. amortisation of intangible assets)
C. Calculation of operating ROE
Average adjusted IFRS equity
(in €m) FY 2018 | FY 2019 FY 2020 |
Operating result (before tax, annualised) 749 | 858 885 |
Minus: Interest on hybrid instruments through equity1 59 | 60 48 |
Operating result after hybrid costs (before tax, annualised) 689 | 798 837 |
Tax effect (25% tax rate) 172 | 203 209 |
Operating result after hybrid costs (net of taxes) 517 | 595 628 |
(in €m) FY 2018 | FY 2019 FY 2020 |
Equity attributable to shareholders 4,478 | 5,089 5,309 |
Minus: Unrealised gains and losses reserve2 586 | 937 1,137 |
Minus: IFRS equity discontinued3 115 | 54 56 |
Adjusted IFRS equity 3,777 | 4,098 4,116 |
3,607
3,937
4,107
Operating ROE 14.3% | 15.1% 15.3% |
1 Interest on hybrid instruments is deducted to show the return to equity shareholders after hybrid costs
2 Unrealised revaluation reserves are excluded as the operating result adjusts all capital gains and losses
3 Discontinued equity (Real Estate development and Bank) is excluded from the calculation as it is also excluded from the operating result due to its "non on-going" classification
D. IFRS profit vs. operating result per segment
IFRS profit | |||
before tax | |||
FY 2019 (in €m) | |||
Non-life | 292 | 102 | -37 |
Life | 913 | 243 | -27 |
Asset Management | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Distribution and Services | 21 | 0 | -2 |
Holding and Other / Eliminations | -39 | -3 | 76 |
Total | 1,210 | 343 | 10 |
Investment | Operating | IFRS profit | Operating | |
related | result | before tax | result | |
FY 2020 (in €m) | ||||
226 | 261 | 38 | -18 | 241 |
696 | 747 | 139 | -122 | 730 |
24 | 30 | 0 | -1 | 31 |
23 | -6 | 0 | -31 | 25 |
-112 | -203 | 8 | -68 | -143 |
858 | 829 | 185 | -241 | 885 |
Investment related
Incidentals
Incidentals
E. IFRS equity and Solvency II EOF multi-year development
F. SCR movement in 2020 (in €m)
FY 20194,035
Market riskCounterparty default riskInsurance risk LifeInsurance risk HealthInsurance risk Non-lifeOperational riskDiversificationLAC DT
-168
FY 20204,159
-109
SCR increases inMarket risk:
• Interest rate risk
• Equity and real estate risk
Insurance risk Life:
• Longevity risk
Insurance risk Health:
• HSLT risk and HNSLT risk
Insurance risk Non-life:
• Premium reserve risk
Operational risk
G. Sensitivities Solvency II ratio
13
199%1
VA -10bps
Sovereign spread +50bpsCorporate credit spread +75bps
Interest +50bpsInterest -50bps
Equities -20%
Real estate -10%Mortgage spread +50bps
Total impact expressed as % of group solvency ratioImpact on required capital expressed as % of SCR ratioImpact on EOF expressed as % of SCR ratio
• The dominant interest rate scenario (down) does not change in these parallel interest rate sensitivities
• Sovereign and corporate spread sensitivities are stated excluding VA impact2. Corporate spread sensitivity includes impact of spread widening on IAS19 pension provision
• Limited impact of equity shocks due to dampening impact of equity dampener
• Current solvency level enables a.s.r. to potentially absorb multiple downward adjustments
1 Calculation based on standard model
2 Please note that spread widening will lead to a VA increase. At FY20, a corporate spread widening of 75bps corresponded with c. 15bps of VA increase. A 50bps of sovereign spread widening corresponded with c. 10bps
VA increase
H. Sensitivities Solvency II ratio - to UFR
• EIOPA intends to lower the UFR towards the current target1 of 3.5% in steps of max. 15bps per annum
• Lowering the UFR would lead to lower "stock" of capital but would increase organic capital creation ("flow") because of reduced UFR unwind
I. Investment portfolio
Assets (in €bn, fair value)1
FY 2019
• Increase in fixed income was mainly due to market effects
Fixed income2
• Solid fixed income portfolio with AAA/AA rating and corporates and financial with A rating
Equities
Real estate
• Acquisitions of VvAA and Veherex added € 0.4bn of assets to the portfolio
Mortgages / other loans
Cash (equivalents) for investments
• Increase in real estate portfolio was mainly the result of acquisitions in rural real estate portfolio and positive revaluations
Other3
• Mortgages also include exposure of € 2.1bn through (fixed income) mortgage funds
Total investments
Investments on behalf of policyholders
Other assets4
• Mortgage exposure further increased. High quality mortgage portfolio with stable credit performance, small arrears positions and foreclosure losses incurred < 0.1bps
Total balance sheet a.s.r.
Note: This table is on an investment portfolio basis and distinguishes different investment categories from an asset management perspective. Therefore, this table differs from the financial statement presentation based on IFRS
1 Rounding differences occur
2 Consists of Government, Corporates, Financials, Structured and Derivatives
3 "Other" represents mainly equity associates
4 'Other assets' mainly represents loans and receivables (mainly due from credit institutions), cash and cash equivalents
J. Details of fixed-income portfolio
• The core of the FI portfolio consists of AAA and AA government bonds, with selective peripheral sovereign exposure
• The increase in value of the fixed income portfolio was mainly due to revaluations of € 3.0bn. Increase in the credits portfolio driven by transactions and spreads tightening in 2nd half of the year
• Limited defaults and downgrades in actively managed credit portfolio
• Our mortgage portfolio is well protected as 33% is NHG (government guarantee) and the average loan-to-value improved to c. 73% due to increased value of collateral
• Also, mortgage portfolio is very stable, with <0.1bps credit losses
• Mortgages also include exposure of € 2.1bn through (fixed income) mortgage funds
Mortgages (€m) | FY 2019 FY 2020 Delta % of total |
NHG | 3,380 3,278 -3.0% 33% |
LtMV < 55% | 1,450 1,645 13.4% 17% |
LtMV < 65% | 434 625 43.8% 6% |
LtMV < 85% | 1,479 2,280 54.2% 23% |
LtMV < 95% | 705 1,072 52.2% 11% |
LtMV < 110% | 900 598 -33.5% 6% |
LtMV > 110% | 52 20 -60.9% 0% |
Subtotal | 8,401 9,519 13.3% 96% |
Other mortgage funds1 | 270 393 45.6% 4% |
Total | 8,671 9,912 14.3% 100% |
Governments (in €m) Netherlands Germany France
FY 2019 2,856 3,031 1,297
FY 2020 2,943 2,678 1,137
Delta
% of total
3.0% 21%
-11.7% 19%
-12.4% 8%
Belgium
1,432
1,392
-2.8% 10%
Supranationals Austria
865
1,429
65.2% 10%
988
1,083
9.6% 8%
Spain Ireland United States
788
787
-0.1% 6%
603
684
13.5% 5%
479
452
-5.7% 3%
Other
Total
1,332 13,671
1,580
18.7% 11%
14,166
3.6% 100%
K. Dutch mortgage portfolio, strong return with low risk
• Historic credit losses were very low. In general, there is a high payment morale and social security is usually enough to pay the mortgage4
• 3.8m households in the Netherlands with a mortgage loan, end of 2019 there were 39k arrears, which is c. 1.0%
• Total payment arrears for a.s.r. portfolio was 0.4% at FY20
• Number of market foreclosures in 2020 was 0.01%
• 72k clients in a.s.r. portfolio, of which c. 7% is self-employed
• 33% of total a.s.r. mortgage portfolio is backed by the state (NHG)
• Quality of the mortgages have improved over the last decade (i.e., cap on LTV, changes in dual income etc.)
1 Source: National Mortgage Guarantee
2 Source: Bureau of Credit Registration (BKR) Netherlands
3 a.s.r. mortgage rate versus swap rate (weighted average)
4 Source: National Institute for Family Finance Information (NIBUD)
L. Details of Corporates and Financials bond portfolio
Comments on Corporates portfolio
• The increase of € 325m in the Corporates and Financials portfolio was mainly due to transactions and positive revaluations
• Investments were made mostly in Retail and Consumer Goods
• The acquisition of Veherex added € 23m of Corporates to the portfolio
Portfolio quality
• > 97% of the Corporates and Financials portfolio, excluding fixed income funds and preferred shares, is rated investment grade
or higher
16%
• BBB category is skewed towards BBB+
BBB+BBBBBB-
• If 20% of the entire Corporates and Financials creditportfolio would experience a full letter downgrade (3 notches) it would result in approximately 4%-point impact on our Solvency II ratiodue to higher SCR.
• Due to our strict ESG criteria, exposure to Oil & Gas (included in Energy) was limited. Exposure to other sectors heavily impacted by COVID-19 such as Leisure (& Travel) and Transportation was also limited
Corporates portfolio (in €m)
FY 2019
FY 2020
Delta
% of total
Automotive
482
488
6 4%
Basic industry
Capital goods
Consumer goods
564
705
141 5%
Energy
326
365
39 3%
Healthcare
531
618
87 5%
Leisure
0
0
0 0%
Media
Real estate
Retail
101
226
125 2%
Services
407
420
13 3%
Technology & electronics
Telecommunications
Transportation
263
358
95 3%
Utility
Other Corporates
Subtotal
5,694
6,262
568 49%
Financials
6,862
6,619
-243 51%
Total
12,556
12,881
325 100%
M. Fixed Income portfolio government credit rating
Market value governments (in €m) | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 5-10 | 10-20 | 20-30 | 30+ | Total | Delta1 | % of total |
AAA | 679 | 173 | 285 | 348 | 1,042 | 1,635 | 2,617 | 184 | 6,964 | 80 | 49% |
AA | 836 | 175 | 106 | 314 | 993 | 926 | 839 | 1,371 | 5,560 | 126 | 39% |
A | 130 | 15 | 44 | 141 | 198 | 37 | 0 | 17 | 582 | 270 | 4% |
BBB | 213 | 145 | 329 | 193 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,058 | 21 | 7% |
BB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
B or below | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% |
Not rated | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0% |
Total | 1,858 | 509 | 765 | 995 | 2,411 | 2,600 | 3,456 | 1,572 | 14,166 | 498 | 100% |
N. Fixed Income portfolio Corporates and Financials credit rating
Market value credits (in €m) | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 5-10 | 10-20 | 20-30 | 30+ | Total | Delta2 | % of total |
AAA | 368 | 55 | 47 | 46 | 131 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 705 | -410 | 6% |
AA | 85 | 184 | 174 | 176 | 370 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 1,116 | -248 | 9% |
A | 377 | 689 | 837 | 1,217 | 1,810 | 298 | 0 | 0 | 5,228 | 189 | 43% |
BBB | 635 | 563 | 706 | 1,461 | 1,279 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 4,848 | 497 | 40% |
BB | 143 | 3 | 37 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 37 | 2% |
B or below | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -2 | 0% |
Not rated | 23 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | -28 | 0% |
Total | 1,635 | 1,511 | 1,802 | 2,992 | 3,618 | 687 | 0 | 0 | 12,244 | 36 | 100% |
Table contains Financials, Structured and Corporates from slide J. Details of fixed-income portfolio totalling € 13,290m. Excluded are:
• Preference shares € 316m
• Fixed income funds € 729m
Fixed income funds contain, on a look through basis:
• Investment grade (>BB) € 267m
• Not rated
• High yield
€ 259m1 € 203m
O. Details of equities and real estate portfolio
Highlights
Equities
• During H1 2020, equity markets declined sharply due to COVID-19 and subsequently bounced back in H2, resulting in an overall increase in equity exposure
• Continuation of the active hedging policy for the illiquid part of the portfolio
Realestate
• Total increase of 2.8% in real estate portfolio mainly as a result of acquisitions in rural real estate portfolio and offices and as well as positive revaluations
• COVID-19 effects are mainly in the Retail portfolio. Vacancy rates remain low and relatively stable. In H2 vacancy rates for offices and residential improved
ASR Dutch Core Residential Fund ASR Dutch Mobility Office Fund Other Funds
Total real estate (excluding own use)
Offices in own use
Total real estate
4,350
4,473
2.8%
9.6%
Equities (in €m) FY 2019 FY 2020 | Delta |
Equities 2,059 2,288 | 11.1% |
Private equities 99 147 | 48.2% |
Hedge funds 0 0 | -98.3% |
Other funds 443 288 | -35.0% |
Derivatives 5 13 | 162.7% |
Total 2,607 2,736 | 5.0% |
Real estate vacancy rates (%)1
7.7%
3.5%
3.7%
1.4%
1.7%Offices
Residential
Retail
FY 2019FY 2020
P. Calculation of asset leverage
Risky assets (€m) | FY 2019 | FY 2020 |
Equities | 2,607 | 2,736 |
Real estate1 | 2,615 | 2,601 |
BB bonds or below | 341 | 350 |
Preference shares | 320 | 316 |
Fixed income funds (not rated & high yield) | 265 | 333 |
Mortgages with LtMV >110% | 52 | 20 |
Total risky assets | 6,200 | 6,357 |
Unrestricted Tier 1 | 5,789 | 6,326 |
Asset leverage | 107% | 100% |
Q. Life segment book development
R. Life segment investment contribution
(in €m) | H1 2018 | H2 2018 | H1 2019 | H2 2019 | H1 2020 | H2 2020 |
Direct investment income1 | 529 | 519 | 535 | 527 | 562 | 528 |
Amortisation of realised gains reserve | 155 | 159 | 161 | 137 | 132 | 145 |
Total investment contribution | 684 | 678 | 696 | 664 | 694 | 673 |
Required interest on liabilities2 | -404 | -420 | -384 | -394 | -376 | -371 |
Investment margin | 280 | 258 | 312 | 270 | 318 | 302 |
Shadow accounting reserve (Life) | 2,841 | 2,914 | 6,018 | 6,719 | 9,156 | 9,672 |
Realised gains reserve (Life) | 3,083 | 2,897 | 2,906 | 2,483 | 2,398 | 2,241 |
Basic nominal provision (Life) | 24,179 | 24,988 | 24,890 |
1 This line item differs from ''investment income'' in the Annual Report due to (i) interest expenses on derivatives and (ii) savings mortgages (offset by technical provisions)
2 Including other components, such as profit sharing
S. Track record in stable investment margin
• Investment margin has been stable over past years
• Additional margin realised by optimising exposure to illiquidity premium (e.g. mortgages)
• Successful bolt-on M&A strategy has increased basic provision and investment margin in recent years. Strategy will be continued
• Required interest decreasing over time due to maturing Life book
• Projected decline of Best Estimate Liabilities2 equals c. -2.7% CAGR for upcoming 10 years
• Gradual decline; No cliff pattern
• No acquisitions / management actions included
1 Direct investment income + Amortization Realised Gains - Required interest divided by Basic Life Provision. See also appendix R
2 Note that BEL represents Liabilities discounted against Solvency II discount curve and does not equal Basic nominal Life provision on IFRS standards
T. Medium term group targets (2019 - 2021)
1 Targets are based on the assumption of normal market, environmental and economic conditions and no material regulatory changes and on a stand-alone basis
2 In general, a.s.r. expects not to pay cash dividends if the Solvency II ratio (calculated in accordance with the standard formula) falls below 140%
3 Target announced during CMD 2018 is adjusted for acquisitions and new OCC methodology
U. Medium term business targets (2019 - 2021)
1 Targets are based on the assumption of normal market, environmental and economic conditions and no material regulatory changes and on a stand-alone basis
2 Fee based businesses are Asset Management and Distribution and Services
V. Medium term non-financial objectives (2019 - 2021)
1 Targets are based on the assumption of normal market, environmental and economic conditions and no material regulatory changes and on a stand-alone basis
IR contact details
Email:ir@asr.nl
Tel: +31 (0)30 257 86 00
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ASR Nederland NV published this content on 18 February 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 18 February 2021 09:22:07 UTC.