Projected Income Statement: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,925 1,834 1,460 1,380 1,492 1,071 920 862
Change - -4.73% -20.39% -5.48% 8.12% -28.24% -14.1% -6.3%
Announcement Date 07/12/21 06/12/22 05/12/23 09/12/24 08/12/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 66.88 71.73 72.96 73.64 86.2 80.89 81.44 89.08
Change - 7.25% 1.72% 0.93% 17.04% -6.15% 0.67% 9.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,236 915.1 1,193 936.5 1,026 1,493 1,316 -
Change - -25.98% 30.42% -21.53% 9.58% 45.53% -11.91% -100%
Announcement Date 07/12/21 06/12/22 05/12/23 09/12/24 08/12/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.87% 19.31% 21.01% 20.6% 18.8% 16.82% 17.02% 17.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.61% 14.68% 17.26% 18.81% 15.69% 14.35% 14.79% 15.33%
EBT Margin (%) 12.52% 16.58% 18.43% 19.23% 16.33% 15.25% 15.38% 15.27%
Net margin (%) 9.48% 12.52% 13.73% 14.49% 12.28% 11.32% 11.4% 11.7%
FCF margin (%) 14.06% 8.91% 11.94% 8.63% 9.36% 14.01% 11.65% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 148.3% 71.13% 86.98% 59.61% 76.21% 123.76% 102.17% -

Profitability

        
ROA 7.38% 10.8% 11.06% 12.14% 9.66% 8.36% 8.76% 8.8%
ROE 16.39% 22.77% 21.43% 21.72% 17.39% 14.26% 14.39% 14.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 0.92x 0.7x 0.62x 0.72x 0.6x 0.48x 0.41x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.56x 2x 1.22x 1.47x 1.45x 0.72x 0.7x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.76% 0.7% 0.73% 0.68% 0.79% 0.76% 0.72% 0.74%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4.8% 3.62% 3.47% 3.3% 4.18% 4.51% 4.24% 4.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.41% 7.84% 6.11% 7.86% 8.4% 5.42% 6.19% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.36 8.365 11.41 9.649 11.15 14.41 -0.0787 -
Change - -19.25% 36.39% -15.42% 15.54% 29.22% -100.55% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.62 0.77 0.83 0.9 0.98 1.015 1.04 1.085
Change - 24.19% 7.79% 8.43% 8.89% 3.57% 2.46% 4.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 44.08 54.79 65.49 76.87 87.25 93.8 103.5 117.5
Change - 24.3% 19.53% 17.38% 13.5% 7.51% 10.33% 13.48%
EPS 1 6.63 10.9 12.36 15.01 13.49 12.7 14.05 15.98
Change - 64.4% 13.39% 21.44% -10.13% -5.87% 10.64% 13.72%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,21,717 1,13,330 1,07,479 1,00,972 96,383 94,750 94,750 94,750
Announcement Date 07/12/21 06/12/22 05/12/23 09/12/24 08/12/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.8x 9.76x
PBR 1.46x 1.32x
EV / Sales 1.32x 1.23x
Yield 0.74% 0.76%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
137.09USD
Average target price
168.38USD
Spread / Average Target
+22.82%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TOL Stock
  4. Financials Toll Brothers, Inc.