Projected Income Statement: Ternium S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ternium S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,088 - -1,434 -1,621 -526 703 238 492
Change - - - -13.04% 67.55% 233.73% -66.15% 106.72%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 14/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ternium S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 523.6 1,461 1,865 2,501 2,070 1,120 1,106
Change - - 27.68% 34.1% -17.23% -45.88% -1.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,154 1,040 41 -187 -537.7 746 863.3
Change - - -96.06% -556.1% -187.54% 238.73% 15.73%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 20/02/24 18/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ternium S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36.44% 20.81% 15.56% 11.55% 9.87% 12.66% 14.66% 15.57%
EBIT Margin (%) 32.76% 16.45% 12.48% 7.16% 4.52% 7.93% 9.97% 10.81%
EBT Margin (%) 35.82% 16.24% 7.5% 4.12% 4.15% 8.09% 9.59% 10.47%
Net margin (%) 23.77% 10.77% 3.84% -0.31% 2.72% 5.58% 5.76% 6.4%
FCF margin (%) 13.38% - 5.91% 0.23% -1.2% -3.26% 4.28% 4.78%
FCF / Net Income (%) 56.3% - 153.91% -75.93% -43.98% -58.38% 74.29% 74.76%

Profitability

        
ROA 25.54% - 3.24% 1.34% 2.95% 2.92% 4.88% 5.51%
ROE 42.93% - 5.57% 2.59% 3.56% 7.51% 8.6% 8.98%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - 0.34x 0.09x 0.18x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - -1.31x 0.32x 0.57x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.25% - 8.29% 10.57% 16.02% 12.53% 6.43% 6.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.93% - 53.31% 91.51% 162.3% 98.96% 43.87% 39.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 24.31% - 140.39% 4,548.78% -1,337.43% -384.98% 150.19% 128.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.64 - 12.74 9.71 11.79 7.157 11.61 10.44
Change - - - -23.79% 21.38% -39.28% 62.23% -10.09%
Dividend per Share 1 2.6 - 3.3 2.7 2.7 2.512 2.66 3.074
Change - - - -18.18% 0% -6.96% 5.9% 15.55%
Book Value Per Share 1 53.67 - 63.26 60.97 60.84 62.33 65.41 68.88
Change - - - -3.63% -0.2% 2.44% 4.93% 5.31%
EPS 1 19.49 9 3.44 -0.27 2.17 4.665 5.079 5.965
Change - -53.82% -61.78% -107.85% 903.7% 114.95% 8.88% 17.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308
Announcement Date 15/02/22 14/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.1x 9.24x
PBR 0.75x 0.72x
EV / Sales 0.6x 0.54x
Yield 5.35% 5.67%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
46.92USD
Average target price
44.38USD
Spread / Average Target
-5.40%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TX Stock
  4. Financials Ternium S.A.