Projected Income Statement: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -8,39,128 -14,05,679 -15,70,838 -16,95,410 -16,91,597 -13,81,477 -13,70,641 -13,49,963
Change - -67.52% -11.75% -7.93% 0.22% 18.33% 0.78% 1.51%
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,28,801 2,13,918 3,18,046 4,06,886 4,39,473 3,71,000 3,42,996 3,77,320
Change - -6.5% 48.68% 27.93% 8.01% -15.58% -7.55% 10.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,72,375 2,99,805 6,01,525 3,48,297 4,42,461 3,70,880 4,11,635 4,34,365
Change - 73.93% 100.64% -42.1% 27.04% -16.18% 10.99% 5.52%
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.81% 40.74% 43.14% 38.45% 38.28% 35.26% 36.69% 38.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.2% 32.6% 35.54% 29.03% 28.97% 25.59% 26.8% 28.09%
EBT Margin (%) 26.87% 33.56% 36.32% 32.95% 32.26% 28.9% 29.34% 30.38%
Net margin (%) 19.62% 24.11% 25.21% 21.54% 20.85% 19.26% 19.73% 20.57%
FCF margin (%) 11.52% 14.45% 21.42% 14.42% 17.28% 14.52% 15.11% 15.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 58.68% 59.95% 84.93% 66.96% 82.85% 75.39% 76.56% 73.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.26% 18.68% 23.23% 15.94% 15.22% 9.15% 9.75% 10.43%
ROE 10.7% 16.3% 19.7% 12.8% 12% 10.73% 11.93% 12.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.28% 10.31% 11.32% 16.85% 17.16% 14.52% 12.59% 13.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.69% 25.31% 26.25% 43.81% 44.82% 41.19% 34.3% 34.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 132.73% 71.35% 52.87% 116.82% 99.32% 100.03% 83.33% 86.87%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 210.6 322 452.8 372.9 389.8 409.1 409.2 497.5
Change - 52.94% 40.6% -17.63% 4.53% 4.94% 0.02% 21.59%
Dividend per Share 1 50 80 100 100 106 106.2 119.1 134.2
Change - 60% 25% 0% 6% 0.21% 12.09% 12.71%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,354 1,601 1,918 2,133 2,375 2,379 2,484 2,586
Change - 18.28% 19.79% 11.2% 11.36% 0.13% 4.41% 4.13%
EPS 1 141.4 240.8 347.8 259.4 269.5 261.1 291.7 328.6
Change - 70.33% 44.48% -25.42% 3.9% -3.13% 11.71% 12.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 20,77,201 20,77,010 20,16,620 19,95,336 19,79,703 18,55,820 18,55,820 18,55,820
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 24.9x 22.3x
PBR 2.73x 2.62x
EV / Sales 4.18x 3.93x
Yield 1.63% 1.83%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
6,505.00JPY
Average target price
6,334.71JPY
Spread / Average Target
-2.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
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  4. Financials Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.
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