Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -7,026 -15,834 -19,244
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% -107.81% -125.36% -21.54%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 941.5 1,008 1,187
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 27.4% 7.11% 17.73%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 9,930 11,357 12,715
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 20.53% 14.37% 11.95%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 32.59% 33.34% 33.79%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.6% 30.49% 31.26%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.94% 30.06% 31.84%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 20.39% 21.17% 22.1%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 24.7% 25.08% 25.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 121.14% 118.5% 114.39%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 10.88% 11.73% 12.32%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 17.94% 19.29% 20.33%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.34% 2.23% 2.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 7.19% 6.68% 6.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 9.48% 8.88% 9.34%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.369 10.93 12.83
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 20.23% 16.71% 17.31%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 - 2.701 3.083 3.474
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% - - 14.15% 12.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 40.42 45.88 49.75
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 5.32% 13.49% 8.44%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 6.989 8.278 9.749
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 11.29% 18.44% 17.77%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,79,579 11,64,814 11,64,184 11,63,363 11,64,600 11,67,559 11,67,559 11,67,559
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 19.5x 16.5x
PBR 3.37x 2.97x
EV / Sales 3.78x 3.16x
Yield 1.98% 2.26%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
136.26EUR
Average target price
216.48EUR
Spread / Average Target
+58.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise