Projected Income Statement: NTPC Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: NTPC Ltd

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,17,509 16,81,915 18,12,559 18,06,184 18,04,650 18,17,488 20,06,575 18,81,103
Change - 3.98% 7.77% -0.35% -0.08% 0.71% 10.4% -6.25%
Announcement Date 19/06/21 20/05/22 19/05/23 24/05/24 24/05/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NTPC Ltd

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,83,071 1,77,929 1,73,205 1,74,443 2,09,546 2,59,193 2,34,232 3,14,968
Change - -2.81% -2.65% 0.71% 20.12% 23.69% -9.63% 34.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 87,507 1,75,953 1,80,780 1,73,866 2,03,637 1,59,504 1,46,854 1,62,432
Change - 101.07% 2.74% -3.82% 17.12% -21.67% -7.93% 10.61%
Announcement Date 19/06/21 20/05/22 19/05/23 24/05/24 24/05/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NTPC Ltd

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.03% 29.14% 26.4% 26.66% 26.68% 26.86% 26.81% 26.57%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.54% 19.47% 18.37% 18.05% 17.83% 18.63% 18.23% 17.96%
EBT Margin (%) 14.03% 16.5% 14.7% 14.54% 13.9% 15.64% 15.27% 15.35%
Net margin (%) 13.88% 13.87% 10.5% 11.16% 11.56% 11.5% 11.39% 11.45%
FCF margin (%) 8.82% 15.15% 11.04% 10.73% 11.98% 8.99% 7.67% 8.01%
FCF / Net Income (%) 63.55% 109.21% 105.12% 96.17% 103.64% 78.24% 67.35% 69.97%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.1% 4.62% 4.56% 4.65% 4.9% 5% 5.06% 5.14%
ROE 11.84% 13.04% 12.85% 12.52% 12.62% 12.27% 12.25% 12.22%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.62x 4.97x 4.19x 4.18x 3.98x 3.82x 3.91x 3.49x
Debt / Free cash flow 18.48x 9.56x 10.03x 10.39x 8.86x 11.39x 13.66x 11.58x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.45% 15.32% 10.58% 10.77% 12.32% 14.62% 12.23% 15.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 63.56% 52.57% 40.07% 40.4% 46.18% 54.41% 45.63% 58.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 209.21% 101.12% 95.81% 100.33% 102.9% 162.5% 159.5% 193.91%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 27.9 36.5 36.5 35.92 42.61 56.03 43.75 46.39
Change - 30.79% 0% -1.58% 18.63% 31.5% -21.93% 6.05%
Dividend per Share 1 6.15 7 7.25 7.75 8.35 9.271 9.706 10.68
Change - 13.82% 3.57% 6.9% 7.74% 11.03% 4.69% 10.05%
Book Value Per Share 1 122.7 132.1 143.2 154.6 166.7 184.8 198.4 209.8
Change - 7.62% 8.46% 7.92% 7.84% 10.84% 7.4% 5.74%
EPS 1 13.99 16.62 17.73 17.48 20.26 21.29 23.97 25.5
Change - 18.8% 6.68% -1.41% 15.9% 5.08% 12.59% 6.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 96,96,666 96,96,666 96,96,666 96,96,666 96,96,666 96,96,666 96,96,666 96,96,666
Announcement Date 19/06/21 20/05/22 19/05/23 24/05/24 24/05/25 - - -
1INR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.9x 14.1x
PBR 1.83x 1.7x
EV / Sales 2.87x 2.76x
Yield 2.75% 2.88%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
More Ratings

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise