Projected Income Statement: Northland Power Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Northland Power Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 6,960 5,505 7,113 6,513 6,215 6,670 5,856 5,230
Change - -20.91% 29.21% -8.44% -4.58% 7.31% -12.2% -10.69%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 21/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Northland Power Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 469.8 452.6 441.1 552.2 135.5 974.8 341.6 428
Change - -3.66% -2.53% 25.19% -75.45% 619.12% -64.96% 25.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 307.4 380.5 423.7 327.6 382.1 308.6 403.7 431
Change - 23.77% 11.37% -22.69% 16.64% -19.24% 30.83% 6.76%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 21/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Northland Power Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 54.32% 57.1% 55.53% 53.79% 51.46% 58.71% 66.23% 68.17%
EBIT Margin (%) 38.63% 42.93% 33.19% 34.65% 11.47% 33.56% 34.84% 39.5%
EBT Margin (%) 20.22% 51.46% -2.55% 24.02% -6.13% 23.76% 21.67% 23.1%
Net margin (%) 9.06% 33.8% -7.85% 11.59% -6.7% 12.41% 15.14% 16.87%
FCF margin (%) 14.69% 15.54% 18.98% 13.96% 15.69% 11.84% 15.48% 16.56%
FCF / Net Income (%) 162.17% 45.97% -241.87% 120.51% -234.06% 95.46% 102.27% 98.18%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.56% 6.11% 3.18% 2% -1.22% 4.7% 6.6% -
ROE 8.33% 23.16% 10.32% 6.49% -3.96% 10.67% 14.23% 11.45%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.12x 3.94x 5.74x 5.16x 4.96x 4.36x 3.39x 2.95x
Debt / Free cash flow 22.64x 14.47x 16.78x 19.88x 16.27x 21.62x 14.51x 12.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 22.44% 18.48% 19.76% 23.54% 5.57% 37.41% 13.1% 16.44%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 41.32% 32.37% 35.58% 43.76% 10.82% 63.72% 19.78% 24.12%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 152.83% 118.95% 104.1% 168.58% 35.47% 315.9% 84.62% 99.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.353 7.762 3.107 3.999 5.458 4.325 5.03 5.793
Change - 5.56% -59.97% 28.7% 36.48% -20.76% 16.3% 15.18%
Dividend per Share 1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.72 0.72 0.72
Change - 0% 0% 0% 0% -40% 0% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.15 17.56 16.42 16.1 15.53 15.9 16.58 17.22
Change - 44.54% -6.53% -1.9% -3.56% 2.38% 4.28% 3.86%
EPS 1 0.82 3.46 -0.72 1.03 -0.6248 1.253 1.419 1.485
Change - 321.95% -120.81% 243.06% -160.66% 300.6% 13.2% 4.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,26,670 2,46,320 2,54,562 2,59,426 2,61,502 2,61,502 2,61,502 2,61,502
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 21/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.7x 15.7x
PBR 1.4x 1.34x
EV / Sales 4.79x 4.47x
Yield 3.24% 3.24%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
22.22CAD
Average target price
25.21CAD
Spread / Average Target
+13.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NPI Stock
  4. Financials Northland Power Inc.