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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 84.28 NOK | -0.09% |
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+5.17% | +7.77% |
| 04:09pm | Pareto Upgrades Norsk Hydro to Buy Amid Stronger Aluminum Outlook | FW |
| 01:24pm | ABG Sundal Collier Downgrades Norsk Hydro to Sell (Hold), Price Target Set at 75 Norwegian Kroner (70) - BN | FW |
Projected Income Statement: Norsk Hydro ASA
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,38,118 | 1,49,654 | 2,07,929 | 1,93,619 | 2,03,636 | 2,08,722 | 2,06,508 | 2,16,398 |
| Change | - | 8.35% | 38.94% | -6.88% | 5.17% | 2.5% | -1.06% | 4.79% |
| EBITDA 1 | 14,316 | 28,010 | 39,664 | 22,258 | 26,318 | 29,100 | 30,994 | 32,909 |
| Change | - | 95.66% | 41.61% | -43.88% | 18.24% | 10.57% | 6.51% | 6.18% |
| EBIT 1 | 6,051 | 20,786 | 31,179 | 12,983 | 16,284 | 19,297 | 21,103 | 21,837 |
| Change | - | 243.51% | 50% | -58.36% | 25.43% | 18.5% | 9.36% | 3.48% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -4,723 | 510 | 1,649 | -3,046 | -7,625 | -570.6 | -1,206 | -999 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4,509 | 18,397 | 32,365 | 6,546 | 8,862 | 18,270 | 19,703 | 21,740 |
| Change | - | 308.01% | 75.93% | -79.77% | 35.38% | 106.16% | 7.85% | 10.34% |
| Net income 1 | 3,745 | 13,930 | 24,154 | 3,583 | 5,790 | 11,303 | 13,257 | 14,554 |
| Change | - | 271.96% | 73.4% | -85.17% | 61.6% | 95.21% | 17.29% | 9.78% |
| Announcement Date | 12/02/21 | 22/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Norsk Hydro ASA
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 7,830 | -3,213 | -1,310 | 8,830 | 15,976 | 14,789 | 12,225 | 10,009 |
| Change | - | -141.03% | 59.23% | 774.05% | 80.93% | -7.43% | -17.34% | -18.13% |
| Announcement Date | 12/02/21 | 22/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Norsk Hydro ASA
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 6,287 | 6,020 | 9,604 | 13,638 | 13,555 | 12,008 | 13,693 | 14,449 |
| Change | - | -4.25% | 59.53% | 42% | -0.61% | -11.41% | 14.03% | 5.52% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 7,228 | 4,660 | 19,789 | 8,582 | 1,801 | 8,467 | 11,080 | 10,840 |
| Change | - | -35.53% | 324.66% | -56.63% | -79.01% | 370.11% | 30.87% | -2.17% |
| Announcement Date | 12/02/21 | 22/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Norsk Hydro ASA
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 10.37% | 18.72% | 19.08% | 11.5% | 12.92% | 13.87% | 15.11% | 15.25% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 4.38% | 13.89% | 15% | 6.71% | 8% | 9.17% | 10.28% | 10.12% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 3.26% | 12.29% | 15.57% | 3.38% | 4.35% | 8.67% | 9.64% | 10.11% |
| Net margin (%) | 2.71% | 9.31% | 11.62% | 1.85% | 2.84% | 5.34% | 6.51% | 6.79% |
| FCF margin (%) | 5.23% | 3.11% | 9.52% | 4.43% | 0.88% | 4.06% | 5.36% | 5% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 193% | 33.45% | 81.93% | 239.52% | 31.11% | 76.03% | 82.42% | 73.69% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.56% | 8.2% | 12.95% | 1.77% | 2.44% | 4.72% | 7.79% | 7.58% |
| ROE | 3.33% | 17.54% | 25.9% | 3.53% | 4.99% | 10.33% | 12.51% | 13.04% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.55x | - | - | 0.4x | 0.61x | 0.51x | 0.39x | 0.3x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.08x | - | - | 1.03x | 8.87x | 1.75x | 1.1x | 0.92x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.55% | 4.02% | 4.62% | 7.04% | 6.66% | 5.76% | 6.63% | 6.67% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 43.92% | 21.49% | 24.21% | 61.27% | 51.5% | 41.49% | 43.86% | 43.73% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 86.98% | 129.18% | 48.53% | 158.91% | 752.64% | 141.82% | 123.58% | 133.3% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 6.597 | 5.207 | 14.33 | 10.95 | 7.686 | 9.927 | 12.4 | 12.37 |
| Change | - | -21.07% | 175.24% | -23.6% | -29.82% | 29.16% | 24.95% | -0.31% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.25 | 5.4 | 5.65 | 2.5 | 2.25 | 2.952 | 3.951 | 4.307 |
| Change | - | 332% | 4.63% | -55.75% | -10% | 31.2% | 33.85% | 8.98% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 36.25 | 40.99 | 49.96 | 49.57 | 50.78 | 52.53 | 56.45 | 59.67 |
| Change | - | 13.07% | 21.89% | -0.78% | 2.45% | 3.43% | 7.47% | 5.7% |
| EPS 1 | 1.83 | 5.93 | 11.78 | 1.77 | 2.9 | 5.605 | 6.568 | 7.472 |
| Change | - | 224.04% | 98.65% | -84.97% | 63.84% | 93.28% | 17.18% | 13.76% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 20,49,125 | 20,51,476 | 20,44,467 | 20,12,141 | 19,78,589 | 19,78,489 | 19,78,489 | 19,78,489 |
| Announcement Date | 12/02/21 | 22/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 15.1x | 12.8x |
| PBR | 1.61x | 1.49x |
| EV / Sales | 0.87x | 0.87x |
| Yield | 3.5% | 4.68% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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