Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020
5 November 2020
Christoph Jurecka
Image: Klaus Ohlenschläger / dpa Picture Alliance
Quarterly statement
as at 30 September 2020
1 2 3 4
Munich Re | ERGO | Reinsurance | Outlook |
Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 2 |
Munich Re
1
Image: Vertigo3d / Getty ImagesiStockphoto
Munich Re - Financial highlights Q3 2020
Munich Re posts a decent Q3 result considering high major losses
Munich Re
Net result
€199m (€999m) Reinsurance result of €63m
impacted by COVID-19 related claims and other major losses - strong ERGO result of €136m
Return on investment1
2.7% (2.8%)
Reinsurance: 3.7% - benefited from disposal gains
Q3 2020 (9M 2020) | |||||||||||
Technical result | Investment result | Net result | |||||||||
€m | €m | €m | |||||||||
2,431 | 5,826 | 5,308 | 2,490 | ||||||||
606 | 2,150 1,691 | 865 | 999 | ||||||||
538 | 87 | 199 | |||||||||
Q3 | Q3 | 9M | 9M | Q3 | Q3 | 9M | 9M | Q3 | Q3 | 9M | 9M |
2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 |
ERGO: 2.1% - impacted by equity impairments and derivative losses
Shareholders' equity
€29.6bn (-3.1% vs. 31.12.)
Return on equity1: 3.6% (5.9%)
Solvency II ratio: 216%
Reinsurance
Life and Health: Technical result incl. fee income: €56m (€160m) - Negative COVID-19 impact of ~€100m in Q3
- net result of €86m (€153m)
Property-casualty: 112.2% (106.1%) - Major-loss ratio:
26.7% (21.0%); Reserve releases2: -4.0%(-4.0%) - net result of -€23m (€446m)
ERGO
L&H Germany: RoI: 2.2% (2.6%) - net result of €31m (€99m)
Property-casualty Germany: C/R: 90.9% (92.2%) - net result of €48m (€120m)
International: C/R: 92.5% (92.6%) - net result of €57m (€162m)
1 Annualised. 2 For prior-year basic losses. | Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 4 |
Munich Re - Capitalisation
Capital position
Equity | €m | |||||
Equity 31.12.2019 | 30,576 | Change in Q3 | ||||
Consolidated result | 999 | 199 | ||||
Changes | ||||||
Dividend | -1,373 | 0 | ||||
Unrealised gains/losses | 1,158 | 372 | ||||
Exchange rates | -931 | -651 | ||||
Share buy-backs | -359 | 0 | ||||
Other | -429 | -45 | ||||
Equity 30.9.2020 | 29,641 | -125 | ||||
Unrealised gains/losses | Exchange rates | |
Fixed-interest securities | Devaluation of various currencies, | |
9M: €1,885m | Q3: €306m | mainly USD |
Non-fixed-interest securities | ||
9M: -€743m | Q3: €62m |
Capitalisation | €bn | |||
0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
0.3 | 3.8 | 5.0 | ||
3.9 | 3.7 | |||
3.7 |
13.2 | 12.6 | 15.1 | ||
12.0 | 11.9 | |||
26.5 | 30.6 | 29.1 | 29.8 | 29.6 |
2018 | 2019 | 31.3.2020 | 30.6.2020 | 30.9.2020 |
Debt leverage1 (%)
Senior and other debt
Subordinated debt
Equity
1 Strategic debt (senior, subordinated and other debt) divided by total capital (strategic debt + equity). | Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 5 |
Munich Re - Investments
Investment portfolio
Investment portfolio1
- Portfolio management in Q3
Land and buildings 4.9 (4.7)
Miscellaneous2 8.1 (8.1)
TOTAL
€252bn
Shares, equity funds and participating interests3 5.9 (7.1)
Loans
25.8 (26.1)
Fixed-interest securities 55.4 (53.9)
- Investments in longer term US and Australian government bonds as well as short-term bank bonds and ABS at the expense of covered bonds
- Slight expansion of equity exposure despite disposal of strategic equity investments
- Ongoing increase of infrastructure and private equity investments
- Drop in reinvestment yield to 1.3%
1 Fair values as at 30.9.2020 (31.12.2019). 2 Deposits retained on assumed reinsurance, deposits with banks, investment funds (excl. equities), derivatives | Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 6 |
and investments in renewable energies and gold. 3 Net of hedges: 4.8 (6.4%). |
Munich Re (Group) - Investments
Investment result
€m | Q3 2020 | Return1 | 9M 2020 | Return1 | 9M 2019 | Return1 | ||||||||||||||||||
Regular income | 1,536 | 2.4% | 4,801 | 2.6% | 5,133 | 2.8% | ||||||||||||||||||
Write-ups/write-downs | -265 | -0.4% | -1,832 | -1.0% | -285 | -0.2% | ||||||||||||||||||
Disposal gains/losses | 644 | 1.0% | 2,210 | 1.2% | 1,671 | 0.9% | ||||||||||||||||||
Derivatives2 | -65 | -0.1% | 629 | 0.3% | -208 | -0.1% | ||||||||||||||||||
Other income/expenses | -159 | -0.3% | -500 | -0.3% | -485 | -0.3% | ||||||||||||||||||
Investment result | 1,691 | 2.7% | 5,308 | 2.8% | 5,826 | 3.2% | ||||||||||||||||||
Total return | 3.8% | 4.4% | 12.1% | |||||||||||||||||||||
3-month | Write-ups/ | Disposal | Write-ups/ | Disposal | ||||||||||||||||||||
reinvestment yield | Q3 2020 | write-downs gains/losses Derivatives | 9M 2020 | write-downs | gains/losses | Derivatives | ||||||||||||||||||
Q3 2020 | 1.3% | Fixed income | -7 | 321 | 26 | Fixed income | -22 | 1,358 | 605 | |||||||||||||||
Q2 2020 | 1.6% | Equities | -207 | 318 | -103 | Equities | -1,671 | 551 | 78 | |||||||||||||||
Commodities/Inflation | -2 | 0 | 22 | Commodities/Inflation | 39 | 0 | 38 | |||||||||||||||||
Q1 2020 | 1.9% | Other | -50 | 5 | -10 | Other | -178 | 301 | -91 | |||||||||||||||
1 Annualised return on quarterly weighted investments (market values) in %. 2 Result from derivatives without regular income and other income/expenses. | Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 7 |
ERGO
2
Image: dem10 / iStockphoto Getty Images
ERGO
ERGO
Gross premiums written | €m | |
9M 2019 | 13,373 | |
Foreign exchange | -28 | |
Divestments/investments | -103 | |
Organic change | 3 | |
9M 2020 | 13,245 | |
▪ L&H Germany1 (-€194m): Positive |
Major result drivers | €m | |||||||
9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | | Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | | |||
Technical result | 757 | 656 | 101 | 476 | 258 | 218 | ||
Non-technical result | -69 | -107 | 38 | -179 | -104 | -75 | ||
thereof investment result | 2,835 | 3,388 | -552 | 807 | 1,156 | -350 | ||
Other | -307 | -210 | -97 | -162 | -35 | -126 | ||
Net result | 381 | 339 | 42 | 136 | 119 | 17 | ||
Technical result | Investment result |
development in Health and growth through |
new products in Life overcompensated by |
ordinary attrition of back book and COVID-19 |
effects in Travel |
▪ P-CGermany1 (+€138m): Organic growth in |
almost all business lines, mainly driven by |
fire/property, liability, motor and other |
insurance |
▪ International (-€73m): Stable premium |
development adjusting for portfolio |
streamlining and run-down in Belgium (Life) |
Q3: Development driven by
- L&H Germany (+€225m): Dependency between technical and investment result leading to high intra-year volatility related to COVID-19
- P-CGermany (+€11m): Strong operative performance, low NatCat losses over- compensating minor additional COVID-19 impact
- International (-€18m): Ongoing good operational performance in P-C and Health, reduced attritional claims and lower large losses
- 9M: Higher impairments in volatile capital market environment due to COVID-19, partly compensated by hedging and realisations
- Q3: Higher impairments and lower derivatives result; prior year impacted by disposal gains due to portfolio streamlining; Return on investment of 2.1%
Other
- Q3: Lower FX result in Life and Health Germany
1 Life and Health Germany (L&H Germany); Property-casualty Germany (P-C Germany). | Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 9 |
ERGO
ERGO Property-casualty Germany
Combined ratio | % Gross premiums written in 9M 2020 (9M 2019) | €m |
- Loss ratio ◼ Expense ratio
2018 | 96.0 | 62.5 | 33.4 | |
2019 | 92.3 | 60.3 | 32.0 | |
9M 2020 | 92.2 | 61.6 | 30.6 | |
Q3 2020 | 90.9 | 61.9 | 29.0 | |
97.9 | 98.1 | ||||
92.1 | 93.2 | 93.4 | 92.5 | 90.9 | |
86.2 |
Other | Motor |
259 (224) | 617 (593) |
Marine 182 (165)
TOTAL | Fire/property |
€2,943m | |
585 (542) | |
(€2,804m) | |
Legal protection 316 (318)
Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Personal accident | Liability |
449 (458) | 534 (505) | ||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 |
Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 10 |
ERGO
ERGO International
Combined ratio
% Gross premiums written in 9M 2020 (9M 2019) | €m |
94.5 | 95.4 | 95.0 | 91.8 | 94.8 | 95.2 | |
90.1 | ||||||
Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 |
2018 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2020 | 2020 |
9M 2020
91.7 89.6 89.7 89.4 85.5 101.4
Poland Spain Austria Baltics Greece Legal protection
Property-casualty1,985 (2,087)
92.5 | TOTAL | ||||||||
€3,584m | |||||||||
(€3,657m) | |||||||||
Q3 | |||||||||
2020 | |||||||||
P-C | 9M | 9M | Life | ||||||
92.6 | thereof: | 2020 | 2019 | thereof: | |||||
Poland | 1,056 | 1,080 | Austria | ||||||
Belgium | |||||||||
Legal protection | 497 | 476 | |||||||
Greece | 180 | 173 | Health | ||||||
Baltics | 145 | 144 | thereof: | ||||||
Spain | |||||||||
Total | Austria | 79 | 74 | ||||||
Belgium | |||||||||
Life 470 (507)
Health 1,129 (1,062)
9M 9M
2020 2019
- 266
- 114
9M 9M
2020 2019
- 615
- 448
Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 11 |
Reinsurance
3
Image: John Lund Getty Images
Reinsurance
Reinsurance - Life and Health
Gross premiums written | €m | |
9M 2019 | 8,625 | |
Foreign exchange | -33 | |
Divestments/investments | 0 | |
Organic change | 946 | |
9M 2020 | 9,538 | |
Major result drivers | €m | |||||||
9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | | Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | | |||
Technical result | 31 | 322 | -291 | 10 | 194 | -184 | ||
Non-technical result | 207 | 369 | -162 | 110 | 103 | 7 | ||
thereof investment result | 639 | 866 | -227 | 239 | 279 | -40 | ||
Other | -85 | -75 | -10 | -34 | -15 | -19 | ||
Net result | 153 | 617 | -464 | 86 | 282 | -196 | ||
- Organic growth mainly in Asia and Europe, but also some growth across North America
- Asia: Several new transactions and increases of shares/volumes under existing treaties
- Europe: Positive impact from longevity transactions concluded in Q2
Technical result incl. fee income of €56m (€160m)
- COVID-19-relatedclaims of ~€100m in Q2 and again inQ3, dominated by US mortality
- In North America: non-COVID-19-related claims higher than expected and some impact from lower interest rates on claims reserves …
- … largely offset by strong results in
Europe and Asia as well as better-than- expected performance in Australia - Ongoing pleasing fee income
Investment result
- 9M/Q3: Disposal gains on fixed income investments from ordinary portfolio turnover clearly exceed write-downs on equities from H1
- Q3: Positive one-off effect from disposal of strategic equity investments
- Q3: Return on investment: 3.2%
Other
-
FX result of -€5m in 9M (9M 2019: €83m),
thereof -€19m in Q3 (Q3 2019: €41m)
Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 13 |
Reinsurance
Reinsurance - Property-casualty
Gross premiums written | €m | |
9M 2019 | 16,920 | |
Foreign exchange | -17 | |
Divestments/investments | 0 | |
Organic change | 1,576 | |
9M 2020 | 18,479 | |
- Organic growth across almost all lines driven by business expansion and rate increases in traditional reinsurance …
- … as well as in our Risk Solutions portfolio
Major result drivers | €m | |||||||
9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | | Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | | |||
Technical result | -182 | 1,453 | -1,635 | -399 | 87 | -486 | ||
Non-technical result | 762 | 341 | 421 | 334 | 306 | 28 | ||
thereof investment result | 1,834 | 1,572 | 261 | 646 | 715 | -69 | ||
Other | -115 | -259 | 144 | 42 | 71 | -29 | ||
Net result | 466 | 1,535 | -1,069 | -23 | 464 | -486 | ||
Technical result | Investment result |
- COVID-19-relatedclaims of ~€2.1bn in ▪ 9M: Gains on fixed-income/ real estate disposals
9M (thereof ~€0.7bn in Q3), contingency | and derivatives clearly exceed write-downs on |
business accounts for the largest share | equities |
▪ Expense ratio improved due to cost | ▪ Q3: Disposal gains on fixed income and strategic |
reductions and premium growth | equity investments |
▪ Underlying performance remains very | ▪ Q3: Return on investment: 3.9% |
strong - normalised combined ratio at | Other |
~97% in Q3 and 9M | |
▪ FX result of €170m in 9M (9M 2019: €251m), | |
thereof -€20m in Q3 (Q3 2019: €137m) |
Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 14 |
Reinsurance
Reinsurance - Property-casualty
Combined ratio
%
◼ Basic losses | ◼ Major losses | ◼ Expense ratio |
111.6112.2
105.1 | 103.9 | 106.0 |
97.3
99.9
86.9
Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 |
2018 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 |
2018 | 99.4 | 53.6 | 11.6 | 34.2 | ||||
100.2 | ||||||||
2019 | 51.4 | 15.2 | 33.6 | |||||
106.1 | ||||||||
9M 2020 | 54.8 | 21.0 | 30.3 | |||||
112.2 | ||||||||
Q3 2020 | 55.6 | 26.7 | 29.9 | |||||
Major | Reserve | Normalised | ||||||||
losses | Nat cat | Man-made | releases1 | combined ratio2 | ||||||
9M 2020 | 21.0 | 5.1 | 15.9 | -4.0 | 97.0 | |||||
Q3 2020 | 26.7 | 8.3 | 18.4 | -4.0 | 97.0 | |||||
Ø Annual | ~12.0 | ~8.0 | ~4.0 | ~-4.0 | ||||||
expectation | ||||||||||
1 Basic losses prior years, already adjusted for directly corresponding sliding-scale and profit-commission effects. | Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 15 |
2 Based on reserve releases of 4%-pts. Normalised combined ratio reflects a one-off shift between commissions and non-technical result of €29m in Q3 2020 |
(corresponding to -0.5%-pts. in Q3 and -0.2%-pts. in 9M).
Outlook
4
Image: Klaus Ohlenschläger / dpa Picture Alliance
Outlook 2020
Group
Gross premiums written
~€54bn
ERGO
Gross premiums written1
~17.5bn
Reinsurance
Gross premiums written
~€36bn
Net result
withdrawn
Net result1
~€530m
Net result
withdrawn
Return on investment1
~3%
Combined ratio | |
P-C Germany1 | International1 |
~92% | ~94% |
Combined ratio | Technical result, incl. fee income |
Property-casualty | Life and Health |
withdrawn | withdrawn |
1 Substantial risk of falling short of this guidance, subject to the further development of the COVID-19 pandemic. | Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 17 |
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on current assumptions and
forecasts of the management of Munich Re. Known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between the forward-looking statements given here and the actual development, in particular the results, financial situation and performance of our Company. Obvious fluctuations in
the incidence of major losses as well as pronounced volatility of the capital markets and exchange rates - as well as the special features of IFRS accounting make an accurate forecast of results impossible. Moreover, there is considerable uncertainty regarding the further development of the coronavirus pandemic. The Company assumes no liability to update these forward-lookingstatements or to make them conform
to future events or developments. Figures from Q1 2019 onwards are restated reflecting the new cost- allocation method.
Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2020 | 5 November 2020 | 18 |
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Munich Re Group - Münchener Rück AG published this content on 05 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 05 November 2020 08:36:06 UTC