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End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 191.76 ZAR | +1.88% |
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+2.51% | +13.13% |
| 06/02 | MTN Group Limited says Ninety One holds 5.0992% of MTN Group share capital | RE |
| 05/02 | IHS, MTN Group Negotiate Possible Purchase of Remaining Shares | MT |
Projected Income Statement: MTN Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,79,361 | 1,81,646 | 2,07,003 | 2,21,056 | 1,88,001 | 2,24,195 | 2,49,733 | 2,86,061 |
| Change | - | 1.27% | 13.96% | 6.79% | -14.95% | 19.25% | 11.39% | 14.55% |
| EBITDA 1 | 81,311 | 76,158 | 90,348 | 88,780 | 59,298 | 96,616 | 1,13,116 | 1,34,574 |
| Change | - | -6.34% | 18.63% | -1.74% | -33.21% | 62.93% | 17.08% | 18.97% |
| EBIT 1 | 46,105 | 40,935 | 56,081 | 46,512 | 22,807 | 56,675 | 73,215 | 97,346 |
| Change | - | -11.21% | 37% | -17.06% | -50.97% | 148.5% | 29.18% | 32.96% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -16,651 | -14,173 | -17,686 | -18,954 | -18,350 | -14,922 | -15,478 | -15,200 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 29,086 | 28,816 | 41,497 | 11,768 | -4,417 | 41,419 | 56,938 | 80,420 |
| Change | - | -0.93% | 44.01% | -71.64% | -137.53% | 1,037.72% | 37.47% | 41.24% |
| Net income 1 | 17,022 | 13,750 | 19,337 | 4,092 | -9,592 | 25,235 | 32,513 | 35,721 |
| Change | - | -19.22% | 40.63% | -78.84% | -334.41% | 363.08% | 28.84% | 9.87% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 12/03/23 | 22/03/24 | 17/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: MTN Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,04,577 | 89,328 | 95,984 | 1,09,912 | 1,24,203 | 1,08,927 | 93,192 | 72,732 |
| Change | - | -14.58% | 7.45% | 14.51% | 13% | -12.3% | -14.45% | -21.95% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 12/03/23 | 22/03/24 | 17/03/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: MTN Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 23,502 | 24,413 | 31,398 | 32,187 | 24,288 | 38,631 | 43,242 | 49,121 |
| Change | - | 3.88% | 28.61% | 2.51% | -24.54% | 59.06% | 11.94% | 13.59% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 35,011 | 42,873 | 36,723 | 31,871 | 22,529 | 16,562 | 23,214 | 28,452 |
| Change | - | 22.46% | -14.34% | -13.21% | -29.31% | -26.49% | 40.17% | 22.56% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 12/03/23 | 22/03/24 | 17/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: MTN Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 45.33% | 41.93% | 43.65% | 40.16% | 31.54% | 43.09% | 45.29% | 47.04% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 25.71% | 22.54% | 27.09% | 21.04% | 12.13% | 25.28% | 29.32% | 34.03% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 16.22% | 15.86% | 20.05% | 5.32% | -2.35% | 18.47% | 22.8% | 28.11% |
| Net margin (%) | 9.49% | 7.57% | 9.34% | 1.85% | -5.1% | 11.26% | 13.02% | 12.49% |
| FCF margin (%) | 19.52% | 23.6% | 17.74% | 14.42% | 11.98% | 7.39% | 9.3% | 9.95% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 205.68% | 311.8% | 189.91% | 778.86% | -234.87% | 65.63% | 71.4% | 79.65% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.14% | 4.98% | 5.1% | 1.39% | 0.41% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% |
| ROE | 14.43% | 16.62% | 23.4% | 24.4% | 1.34% | 17.76% | 19.81% | 21.38% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.29x | 1.17x | 1.06x | 1.24x | 2.09x | 1.13x | 0.82x | 0.54x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 2.99x | 2.08x | 2.61x | 3.45x | 5.51x | 6.58x | 4.01x | 2.56x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 13.1% | 13.44% | 15.17% | 14.56% | 12.92% | 17.23% | 17.32% | 17.17% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 28.9% | 32.06% | 34.75% | 36.25% | 40.96% | 39.98% | 38.23% | 36.5% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 67.13% | 56.94% | 85.5% | 100.99% | 107.81% | 233.25% | 186.27% | 172.65% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 32.19 | 36.4 | 36.78 | 34.85 | 25.92 | 38.1 | 40.99 | 46.42 |
| Change | - | 13.11% | 1.03% | -5.24% | -25.64% | 47% | 7.59% | 13.24% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.87 | 4.854 | 5.953 |
| Change | - | - | 10% | 0% | 0% | 17.28% | 25.42% | 22.63% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 59.05 | 60.05 | 62.96 | 75.74 | 68.33 | 83.76 | 97.07 | 114.3 |
| Change | - | 1.7% | 4.84% | 20.3% | -9.78% | 22.57% | 15.9% | 17.77% |
| EPS 1 | 9.36 | 7.44 | 10.44 | 2.23 | -5.31 | 12.48 | 16.27 | 19.49 |
| Change | - | -20.51% | 40.32% | -78.64% | -338.12% | 334.97% | 30.38% | 19.83% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 17,98,675 | 18,02,808 | 18,05,685 | 18,06,405 | 18,06,475 | 18,30,441 | 18,30,441 | 18,30,441 |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 12/03/23 | 22/03/24 | 17/03/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 15.4x | 11.8x |
| PBR | 2.29x | 1.98x |
| EV / Sales | 2.05x | 1.78x |
| Yield | 2.02% | 2.53% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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