Projected Income Statement: Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 31,169 14,700 14,930 17,059 24,271 29,110 29,188 28,819
Change - -52.84% 1.56% 14.26% 42.28% 19.94% 0.27% -1.26%
Announcement Date 02/02/21 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,031 1,992 2,420 1,890 3,076 3,142 3,112 2,741
Change - -34.28% 21.49% -21.9% 62.75% 2.14% -0.93% -11.93%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -368 2,896 13,941 12,227 5,589 4,236 5,397 5,820
Change - 886.96% 381.39% -12.29% -54.29% -24.2% 27.41% 7.84%
Announcement Date 02/02/21 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.6% 6.9% 13.52% 12.63% 8.06% 8.64% 9.77% 8.72%
EBIT Margin (%) -3.3% 3.62% 11.93% 9.66% 4.84% 5.5% 6.54% 5.47%
EBT Margin (%) -19.72% 2.33% 11.37% 9.31% 4.24% 4.79% 5.57% 4.89%
Net margin (%) -14.37% 8.05% 8.07% 6.44% 2.45% 2.55% 3.14% 2.75%
FCF margin (%) -0.53% 2.39% 7.75% 8.13% 3.98% 3.19% 4.34% 4.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) 3.71% 29.74% 96.04% 126.3% 162.24% 125.19% 138.08% 153.69%

Profitability

        
ROA -2.43% 1.83% 15.41% 11.01% 4.18% 3.83% 5.31% 3.91%
ROE -7.98% 6.46% 50.08% 37.15% 16.35% 16.5% 22.21% 20.13%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 12.53x 1.76x 0.61x 0.9x 2.14x 2.54x 2.4x 2.4x
Debt / Free cash flow -84.7x 5.08x 1.07x 1.4x 4.34x 6.87x 5.41x 4.95x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.39% 1.65% 1.34% 1.26% 2.19% 2.37% 2.5% 1.99%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 121.87% 23.88% 9.94% 9.96% 27.17% 27.41% 25.59% 22.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -823.64% 68.78% 17.36% 15.46% 55.04% 74.16% 57.67% 47.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5347 11.92 35 35.13 24.98 23.75 30.36 32.66
Change - 2,129.79% 193.56% 0.38% -28.9% -4.94% 27.85% 7.57%
Dividend per Share 1 2.32 2.32 2.49 3.08 3.385 3.722 4.025 4.322
Change - 0% 7.33% 23.69% 9.9% 9.95% 8.15% 7.36%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.1 45.26 61.05 66.32 52.04 60.68 60.98 56.66
Change - 32.73% 34.88% 8.63% -21.53% 16.61% 0.5% -7.09%
EPS 1 -15.28 15.24 28.12 23.63 10.08 11.13 13.35 13.89
Change - 199.74% 84.51% -15.97% -57.34% 10.4% 19.97% 4.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,50,651 6,15,588 4,68,661 3,79,697 3,21,389 3,00,602 3,00,602 3,00,602
Announcement Date 02/02/21 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 15.8x 13.2x
PBR 2.89x 2.88x
EV / Sales 0.62x 0.66x
Yield 2.12% 2.29%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
175.63USD
Average target price
195.39USD
Spread / Average Target
+11.25%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MPC Stock
  4. Financials Marathon Petroleum Corporation