Projected Income Statement: Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,700 14,930 17,059 24,271 29,204 27,465 26,298 22,840
Change - 1.56% 14.26% 42.28% 20.32% -5.95% -4.25% -13.15%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,992 2,420 1,890 3,076 4,135 3,286 3,167
Change - 21.49% -21.9% 62.75% - -20.52% -3.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,896 13,941 12,227 5,589 11,005 9,835 10,913
Change - 381.39% -12.29% -54.29% - -10.64% 10.96%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.9% 13.52% 12.63% 8.06% 8.84% 11.67% 11.12% 9.86%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.62% 11.93% 9.66% 4.84% 6.13% 9.71% 8.63% 7.26%
EBT Margin (%) 2.33% 11.37% 9.31% 4.24% 5.19% 8.33% 7.67% 7.02%
Net margin (%) 8.05% 8.07% 6.44% 2.45% 2.99% 6.25% 5.49% 5.78%
FCF margin (%) 2.39% 7.75% 8.13% 3.98% - 7.26% 7.11% 7.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 29.74% 96.04% 126.3% 162.24% - 116.31% 129.48% 136.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.83% 15.41% 11.01% 4.18% 4.84% 10.03% 8.43% 9.4%
ROE 6.46% 50.08% 37.15% 16.35% 18.69% 38.79% 30.72% 23.05%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.76x 0.61x 0.9x 2.14x 2.44x 1.55x 1.71x 1.67x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.08x 1.07x 1.4x 4.34x - 2.5x 2.67x 2.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.65% 1.34% 1.26% 2.19% - 2.73% 2.38% 2.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.88% 9.94% 9.96% 27.17% - 23.4% 21.37% 23.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 68.78% 17.36% 15.46% 55.04% - 37.57% 33.42% 29.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.92 35 35.13 24.98 26.97 48.56 44.83 49.57
Change - 193.56% 0.38% -28.9% 7.97% 80.06% -7.69% 10.57%
Dividend per Share 1 2.32 2.49 3.08 3.385 3.73 4.081 4.348 4.586
Change - 7.33% 23.69% 9.9% 10.19% 9.4% 6.54% 5.48%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.26 61.05 66.32 52.04 56.58 74.67 74.76 72.28
Change - 34.88% 8.63% -21.53% 8.73% 31.98% 0.12% -3.33%
EPS 1 15.24 28.12 23.63 10.08 13.22 34.53 28.45 29.2
Change - 84.51% -15.97% -57.34% 31.15% 161.17% -17.61% 2.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,15,588 4,68,661 3,79,697 3,21,389 3,00,602 2,91,937 2,91,937 2,91,937
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.08x 8.6x
PBR 3.28x 3.27x
EV / Sales 0.65x 0.71x
Yield 1.67% 1.78%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
244.61USD
Average target price
268.17USD
Spread / Average Target
+9.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MPC Stock
  4. Financials Marathon Petroleum Corporation
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