Company Valuation: Longfor Group Holdings Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 1,81,613 1,35,021 74,793 64,728 54,166 34,460 - -
Change - -25.65% -44.61% -13.46% -16.32% -36.38% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 3,21,805 2,70,405 2,50,702 1,91,634 1,77,774 1,51,063 1,41,547 1,31,676
Change - -15.97% -7.29% -23.56% -7.23% -15.03% -6.3% -6.97%
P/E 7.49x 5.31x 5.51x 5.99x 51.3x -15.5x 7.02x 6.28x
PBR 1.41x 0.95x 0.47x 0.38x 0.32x 0.21x 0.21x 0.2x
PEG - 3.53x -0.1x -0.3x -0.6x 0x -0x 0.5x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.81x 0.54x 0.41x 0.51x 0.56x 0.43x 0.5x 0.54x
EV / Revenue 1.44x 1.08x 1.39x 1.5x 1.83x 1.9x 2.06x 2.05x
EV / EBITDA 7.9x 6.54x 12.5x 15.9x 55.7x 279x 24x 16x
EV / EBIT 7.99x 6.61x 12.6x 16.4x 62x 1,767x 18.3x 14.8x
EV / FCF 11.5x 27.6x 7.62x 8.02x 10.5x 5.79x 7.78x 9.94x
FCF Yield 8.7% 3.63% 13.1% 12.5% 9.5% 17.3% 12.8% 10.1%
Dividend per Share 2 1.7 1.13 0.55 0.32 0.07 0.001 0.1091 0.1867
Rate of return 5.69% 5.26% 4.85% 3.41% 0.91% 0.02% 2.25% 3.85%
EPS 2 3.99 4.05 2.06 1.57 0.15 -0.3129 0.6914 0.7734
Distribution rate 42.6% 27.9% 26.7% 20.4% 46.7% -0.32% 15.8% 24.1%
Net sales 1 2,23,375 2,50,565 1,80,737 1,27,475 97,309 79,615 68,691 64,160
EBITDA 1 40,745 41,344 20,121 12,070 3,194 541.4 5,903 8,235
EBIT 1 40,256 40,906 19,819 11,714 2,869 85.49 7,723 8,880
Net income 1 23,854 24,362 12,850 10,401 1,022 -2,413 5,383 4,754
Net Debt 1 1,40,193 1,35,384 1,75,910 1,26,906 1,23,608 1,16,604 1,07,088 97,216
Reference price 2 29.898 21.495 11.346 9.397 7.692 4.855 4.855 4.855
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 60,74,310 62,81,542 65,91,755 68,88,163 70,41,631 70,97,403 - -
Announcement Date 25/03/22 17/03/23 22/03/24 28/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
14.04x4.55x12.24x3.61% 4TCr
5.84x0.8x1.69x8.47% 2.84TCr
18.17x3.99x16.04x1.35% 2.84TCr
7.75x1.41x7.76x4.56% 2.59TCr
13.91x3.09x14.8x2.51% 2.6TCr
8.18x0.91x3.3x2.73% 2.09TCr
10.25x2.01x8.28x4.1% 2.06TCr
13.28x6.44x16.95x1.64% 1.93TCr
37.17x13.66x34.38x3.19% 1.79TCr
Average 14.29x 4.10x 12.83x 3.57% 2.53TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 13.68x 3.80x 12.15x 3.68%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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