Projected Income Statement: ITV plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: ITV plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 414 - 553 431 566 500 454 383
Change - - - -22.06% 31.32% -11.66% -9.2% -15.64%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 02/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ITV plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 45 70 49 54 57 58 58.5
Change - - -30% 10.2% 5.56% 1.75% 0.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 126 315 284 148 331.5 350 372
Change - - -9.84% -47.89% 123.99% 5.58% 6.29%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 07/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ITV plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.25% 20.65% 14.76% 16.43% 16.55% 15.93% 15.78% 15.86%
EBIT Margin (%) 23.54% 19.23% 13.49% 15.54% 15.21% 14.04% 13.99% 13.87%
EBT Margin (%) 13.9% 13.44% 5.33% 14.94% 9.63% 10.14% 10.41% 11.08%
Net margin (%) 10.95% 11.48% 5.79% 11.7% 6.27% 6.94% 6.59% 7.29%
FCF margin (%) 3.65% - 8.69% 8.14% 4.22% 9.06% 9.44% 9.78%
FCF / Net Income (%) 33.33% - 150% 69.61% 67.27% 130.5% 143.32% 134.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.23% - 7.39% 9.74% 5.19% 6.8% 7.05% 7.31%
ROE 46.96% - 17.74% 20.92% 17.69% 17.15% 17.65% 17.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.47x - 1.03x 0.75x 0.97x 0.86x 0.78x 0.64x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.29x - 1.76x 1.52x 3.82x 1.51x 1.3x 1.03x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.3% - 1.93% 1.4% 1.54% 1.56% 1.56% 1.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 5.16% - 13.08% 8.55% 9.29% 9.78% 9.91% 9.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.71% - 22.22% 17.25% 36.49% 17.19% 16.57% 15.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0422 - 0.0949 0.0837 0.0541 0.0755 0.0911 0.0921
Change - - - -11.8% -35.36% 39.63% 20.61% 1.13%
Dividend per Share 1 0.033 - 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.0501 0.0505 0.0519
Change - - - 0% 0% 0.12% 0.94% 2.71%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.3695 - 0.4407 0.4595 0.4813 0.4922 0.5199 0.535
Change - - - 4.26% 4.74% 2.26% 5.64% 2.91%
EPS 1 0.093 0.106 0.052 0.103 0.058 0.0692 0.0701 0.0742
Change - 13.98% -50.94% 98.08% -43.69% 19.38% 1.29% 5.77%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 40,03,410 40,06,931 40,37,822 37,12,938 37,33,868 37,39,962 37,39,962 37,39,962
Announcement Date 03/03/22 02/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.6x 10.4x
PBR 1.48x 1.41x
EV / Sales 0.88x 0.86x
Yield 6.85% 6.92%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
0.7305GBP
Average target price
0.8433GBP
Spread / Average Target
+15.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise