Projected Income Statement: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,48,051 11,22,075 12,49,209 10,71,565 14,73,644 13,51,302 13,53,271 13,36,162
Change - 18.36% 11.33% -14.22% 37.52% -8.3% 0.15% -1.26%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 17/05/22 16/05/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,38,332 2,28,038 3,26,001 3,71,754 3,48,499 3,38,970 3,38,758 3,38,173
Change - -4.32% 42.96% 14.03% -6.26% -2.73% -0.06% -0.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,60,286 17,666 -29,564 3,39,233 -1,507 1,91,956 1,52,644 1,31,547
Change - -93.21% -267.35% 1,247.45% -100.44% 12,841.02% -20.48% -13.82%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 17/05/22 16/05/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.48% 8.1% 3.65% 9.74% 4.75% 7.89% 7.6% 7.38%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.47% 6.01% 2.08% 7.69% 2.53% 5.42% 5.16% 4.71%
EBT Margin (%) 8.45% 5.82% 1.79% 7.38% 2.25% 4.89% 4.56% 4.06%
Net margin (%) 5.95% 4.26% 1.16% 5.38% 1.79% 3.75% 3.46% 3.06%
FCF margin (%) 7.15% 0.3% -0.35% 4.37% -0.02% 2.7% 2.04% 1.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 120.29% 7.04% -30.19% 81.29% -1.11% 71.93% 59.04% 54.54%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.32% 6.56% 2.3% 9.03% 2.45% 6.25% 4.64% 4.14%
ROE 20.88% 20.25% 7.17% 25.83% 6.39% 13.33% 12.11% 10.75%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.27x 2.35x 4.07x 1.42x 4.09x 2.41x 2.38x 2.29x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.64x 63.52x -42.25x 3.16x -978.13x 7.04x 8.87x 10.16x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.55% 3.87% 3.87% 4.79% 4.6% 4.76% 4.53% 4.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 57.04% 47.76% 106.19% 49.18% 96.83% 60.34% 59.57% 58.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 91.57% 1,290.87% -1,102.7% 109.59% -23,131.51% 176.59% 221.93% 257.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 36.21 17.84 21.52 51.62 25.19 36.35 37.31 32.96
Change - -50.73% 20.65% 139.85% -51.21% 44.32% 2.64% -11.66%
Dividend per Share 1 8 8.4 3 12 3 6.477 6.242 5.702
Change - 5% -64.29% 300% -75% 115.9% -3.62% -8.66%
Book Value Per Share 1 81.21 95.69 101.5 129.9 135.4 147.7 159.7 172.1
Change - 17.83% 6.02% 28.02% 4.22% 9.13% 8.14% 7.71%
EPS 1 15.71 18.23 7.11 30.3 9.87 19.04 18.7 17.28
Change - 15.99% -60.99% 326.16% -67.43% 92.89% -1.8% -7.57%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,37,71,561 1,37,71,561 1,37,71,561 1,37,71,561 1,37,71,561 1,37,71,561 1,37,71,561 1,37,71,561
Announcement Date 19/05/21 17/05/22 16/05/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 - - -
1INR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 8.36x 8.51x
PBR 1.08x 1x
EV / Sales 0.5x 0.47x
Yield 4.07% 3.92%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
31
Last Close Price
159.16INR
Average target price
172.19INR
Spread / Average Target
+8.19%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. IOC Stock
  4. Financials Indian Oil Corporation Limited