Projected Income Statement: HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 33,128 37,176 38,658 41,098 45,452 47,334 45,004 49,904
Change - 12.22% 3.99% 6.31% 10.59% 4.14% -4.92% 10.89%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 27/01/23 30/01/24 24/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,577 4,395 4,744 4,875 4,944 5,206 5,421 5,816
Change - 22.87% 7.94% 2.76% 1.42% 5.3% 4.12% 7.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,382 4,127 4,687 5,639 7,692 7,510 7,833 7,410
Change - -23.32% 13.57% 20.31% 36.41% -2.37% 4.3% -5.4%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 27/01/23 30/01/24 24/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.52% 20.03% 19.59% 19.66% 20.59% 20.36% 20.31% 20.34%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.66% 15.1% 14.85% 14.97% 15.93% 15.69% 15.6% 15.72%
EBT Margin (%) 16.74% 14.24% 11.86% 12.07% 13.01% 12.79% 12.75% 12.88%
Net margin (%) 11.84% 9.37% 8.07% 8.16% 8.97% 8.67% 8.66% 8.71%
FCF margin (%) 9.16% 6.85% 7.21% 7.99% 10.17% 9.54% 9.49% 8.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.37% 73.13% 89.41% 97.9% 113.38% 110.04% 109.63% 97.64%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.16% 10.94% 9.46% 9.95% 11.28% 11.08% 11.11% 11.2%
ROE 352.48% - - - - 9,522.46% 85.33% -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.62x 3.08x 3.04x 2.96x 2.92x 2.95x 2.69x 2.82x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.16x 9.01x 8.25x 7.29x 5.91x 6.3x 5.75x 6.73x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.09% 7.3% 7.3% 6.9% 6.54% 6.62% 6.57% 6.67%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.29% 36.42% 37.28% 35.12% 31.76% 32.5% 32.34% 32.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 66.46% 106.49% 101.22% 86.45% 64.27% 69.32% 69.2% 78.49%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 27.25 28.92 34.12 40.16 52.76 53.74 57.21 -
Change - 6.13% 17.97% 17.7% 31.38% 1.86% 6.45% -
Dividend per Share 1 1.92 2.24 2.4 2.64 - 3.038 3.219 3.553
Change - 16.67% 7.14% 10% - - 5.96% 10.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 -2.838 -9.39 -6.681 -9.997 - -28.56 -30.72 -34.42
Change - -230.88% 28.85% -49.63% - - -7.56% -12.05%
EPS 1 21.16 19.15 18.97 22 28.33 30.43 33.24 37.56
Change - -9.5% -0.94% 15.97% 28.77% 7.41% 9.22% 13.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,11,023 2,82,717 2,67,661 2,53,297 2,28,194 2,23,569 2,23,569 2,23,569
Announcement Date 27/01/22 27/01/23 30/01/24 24/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 17.3x 15.8x
PBR -18.4x -17.1x
EV / Sales 2.09x 1.97x
Yield 0.58% 0.61%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
525.19USD
Average target price
543.05USD
Spread / Average Target
+3.40%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. HCA Stock
  4. Financials HCA Healthcare, Inc.
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