Projected Income Statement: HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 29,211 33,128 37,176 38,658 41,098 44,631 45,450 45,688
Change - 13.41% 12.22% 3.99% 6.31% 8.6% 1.84% 0.52%
Announcement Date 02/02/21 27/01/22 27/01/23 30/01/24 24/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,835 3,577 4,395 4,744 4,875 5,094 5,260 5,486
Change - 26.17% 22.87% 7.94% 2.76% 4.5% 3.25% 4.31%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,397 5,382 4,127 4,687 5,639 6,262 6,170 7,185
Change - -15.87% -23.32% 13.57% 20.31% 11.05% -1.47% 16.46%
Announcement Date 02/02/21 27/01/22 27/01/23 30/01/24 24/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.48% 21.52% 20.03% 19.59% 19.66% 19.85% 19.77% 19.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.2% 16.66% 15.1% 14.85% 14.97% 15.11% 15.06% 15.11%
EBT Margin (%) 10.54% 16.74% 14.24% 11.86% 12.07% 12.2% 12.22% 12.38%
Net margin (%) 7.28% 11.84% 9.37% 8.07% 8.16% 8.26% 8.25% 8.4%
FCF margin (%) 12.41% 9.16% 6.85% 7.21% 7.99% 8.38% 7.86% 8.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) 170.4% 77.37% 73.13% 89.41% 97.9% 101.41% 95.22% 103.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.11% 14.16% 10.94% 9.46% 9.95% 10.21% 10.21% 10.43%
ROE - 352.48% - - - 279.4% 148.5% 104%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.91x 2.62x 3.08x 3.04x 2.96x 3.01x 2.93x 2.79x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.57x 6.16x 9.01x 8.25x 7.29x 7.13x 7.37x 6.36x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.5% 6.09% 7.3% 7.3% 6.9% 6.82% 6.7% 6.64%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.25% 28.29% 36.42% 37.28% 35.12% 34.34% 33.89% 33.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 44.32% 66.46% 106.49% 101.22% 86.45% 81.35% 85.25% 76.35%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 26.87 27.25 28.92 34.12 40.16 38.94 42.48 50.44
Change - 1.43% 6.13% 17.97% 17.7% -3.04% 9.09% 18.73%
Dividend per Share 1 0.43 1.92 2.24 2.4 2.64 2.839 2.948 3.03
Change - 346.51% 16.67% 7.14% 10% 7.55% 3.84% 2.76%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.665 -2.838 -9.39 -6.681 -9.997 -16.75 -12.58 -6.346
Change - -270.48% -230.88% 28.85% -49.63% -67.52% 24.86% 49.56%
EPS 1 10.93 21.16 19.15 18.97 22 25.32 28.15 31.92
Change - 93.6% -9.5% -0.94% 15.97% 15.09% 11.19% 13.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,38,375 3,11,023 2,82,717 2,67,661 2,53,297 2,40,574 2,40,574 2,40,574
Announcement Date 02/02/21 27/01/22 27/01/23 30/01/24 24/01/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14.9x 13.4x
PBR -22.5x -30x
EV / Sales 1.81x 1.74x
Yield 0.75% 0.78%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
377.60USD
Average target price
389.15USD
Spread / Average Target
+3.06%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. HCA Stock
  4. Financials HCA Healthcare, Inc.