Projected Income Statement: Genuine Parts Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Genuine Parts Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,695 2,675 2,804 3,804 4,319 4,099 3,860 3,332
Change - 57.82% 4.82% 35.66% 13.54% -5.08% -5.83% -13.68%
Announcement Date 17/02/22 23/02/23 15/02/24 18/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Genuine Parts Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 266.1 339.6 512.7 567.3 469.8 449.9 508.2 547.2
Change - 27.62% 50.95% 10.66% -17.19% -4.25% 12.97% 7.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 992.1 1,127 922.9 683.9 420.9 594.7 828 929
Change - 13.63% -18.13% -25.9% -38.45% 41.29% 39.23% 12.19%
Announcement Date 17/02/22 23/02/23 15/02/24 18/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Genuine Parts Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.38% 9.05% 9.34% 8.5% 8.25% 8.32% 8.71% 8.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.84% 7.47% 7.82% 6.76% 6.04% 6.2% 6.48% 6.85%
EBT Margin (%) 6.36% 7.12% 7.55% 5.01% 0.21% - 5.84% 6.24%
Net margin (%) 4.76% 5.35% 5.7% 3.85% 0.27% 3.75% 4.45% 4.74%
FCF margin (%) 5.26% 5.1% 4% 2.91% 1.73% 2.34% 3.14% 3.36%
FCF / Net Income (%) 110.39% 95.32% 70.1% 75.65% 638.3% 62.27% 70.54% 70.92%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.47% 7.67% 7.64% 4.85% 5.12% 5% 5.1% 6%
ROE 29.78% 32.49% 32.14% 20.69% 23.43% 22.84% 23.05% 22.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.07x 1.34x 1.3x 1.91x 2.15x 1.94x 1.68x 1.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.71x 2.37x 3.04x 5.56x 10.26x 6.89x 4.66x 3.59x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.41% 1.54% 2.22% 2.42% 1.93% 1.77% 1.92% 1.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.82% 16.99% 23.76% 28.42% 23.43% 21.24% 22.09% 22.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 26.82% 30.13% 55.55% 82.95% 111.62% 75.64% 61.38% 58.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.725 10.31 10.18 8.959 - - - -
Change - 18.14% -1.24% -11.99% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 3.26 3.58 3.8 4 4.12 4.24 4.42 4.707
Change - 9.82% 6.15% 5.26% 3% 2.91% 4.24% 6.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 24.55 26.89 31.53 31.25 32.14 35.31 38.69 42.99
Change - 9.54% 17.26% -0.89% 2.83% 9.85% 9.57% 11.14%
EPS 1 6.23 8.31 9.33 6.47 0.47 6.87 8.54 9.575
Change - 33.39% 12.27% -30.65% -92.74% 1,361.7% 24.31% 12.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,42,422 1,41,161 1,40,197 1,39,036 1,39,111 1,37,625 1,37,625 1,37,625
Announcement Date 17/02/22 23/02/23 15/02/24 18/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.6x 12.6x
PBR 3.04x 2.77x
EV / Sales 0.74x 0.71x
Yield 3.95% 4.12%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
107.27USD
Average target price
134.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+24.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. GPC Stock
  4. Financials Genuine Parts Company
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