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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 43.26 USD | -1.64% |
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-2.06% | +7.80% |
| 06/05 | Investors Can't Get Enough of Chips |  |
| 04/05 | Weekly Earnings Calendar: Palantir, AMD, AXA and Engie in the Spotlight | |
Projected Income Statement: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,011 | 6,981 | 7,347 | 7,546 | 8,200 | 9,106 | 9,906 | 10,648 |
| Change | - | 16.13% | 5.24% | 2.71% | 8.67% | 11.04% | 8.78% | 7.49% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,388 | 1,630 | 1,706 | 1,685 | 1,835 | 2,063 | 2,258 | 2,482 |
| Change | - | 17.44% | 4.65% | -1.21% | 8.87% | 12.43% | 9.47% | 9.88% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,217 | 1,454 | 1,529 | 1,510 | 1,656 | 1,876 | 2,066 | 2,241 |
| Change | - | 19.4% | 5.17% | -1.22% | 9.65% | 13.33% | 10.11% | 8.45% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -9.6 | -13.6 | -6.7 | -1.9 | -0.7 | -2.05 | -2.36 | -2.667 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,208 | 1,440 | 1,522 | 1,508 | 1,655 | 1,875 | 2,057 | 2,220 |
| Change | - | 19.23% | 5.69% | -0.91% | 9.74% | 13.27% | 9.72% | 7.92% |
| Net income 1 | 925 | 1,087 | 1,155 | 1,151 | 1,258 | 1,420 | 1,561 | 1,685 |
| Change | - | 17.5% | 6.27% | -0.38% | 9.37% | 12.84% | 9.95% | 7.94% |
| Announcement Date | 19/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 18/01/24 | 17/01/25 | 20/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 154 | 325 | 38.7 | -55.8 | -152 | -137 | -158 | -314 |
| Change | - | 111.04% | -88.09% | -244.19% | -172.4% | 9.75% | -15.33% | -98.73% |
| Announcement Date | 19/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 18/01/24 | 17/01/25 | 20/01/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 156.6 | 173.8 | 172.8 | 226.5 | 245.3 | 304.3 | 308.2 | 321.2 |
| Change | - | 10.98% | -0.58% | 31.08% | 8.3% | 24.04% | 1.29% | 4.23% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 613.5 | 767.2 | 1,260 | 946.8 | 1,051 | 1,114 | 1,219 | 1,294 |
| Change | - | 25.05% | 64.22% | -24.85% | 10.96% | 6.08% | 9.41% | 6.12% |
| Announcement Date | 19/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 18/01/24 | 17/01/25 | 20/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 23.09% | 23.35% | 23.22% | 22.34% | 22.38% | 22.66% | 22.8% | 23.31% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 20.25% | 20.82% | 20.81% | 20.01% | 20.19% | 20.61% | 20.86% | 21.04% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.09% | 20.63% | 20.72% | 19.99% | 20.18% | 20.59% | 20.76% | 20.85% |
| Net margin (%) | 15.39% | 15.57% | 15.72% | 15.25% | 15.35% | 15.59% | 15.76% | 15.83% |
| FCF margin (%) | 10.21% | 10.99% | 17.15% | 12.55% | 12.81% | 12.24% | 12.31% | 12.15% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 66.32% | 70.59% | 109.08% | 82.29% | 83.49% | 78.48% | 78.1% | 76.78% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 22.39% | 24.57% | 25.63% | 25.12% | 25.81% | 26.48% | 27.27% | 27.45% |
| ROE | 32.03% | 35.03% | 35.47% | 33.04% | 33.29% | 34.43% | 35.32% | 35.77% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.11x | 0.2x | 0.02x | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.25x | 0.42x | 0.03x | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.61% | 2.49% | 2.35% | 3% | 2.99% | 3.34% | 3.11% | 3.02% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 11.28% | 10.66% | 10.13% | 13.44% | 13.37% | 14.75% | 13.65% | 12.94% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 25.53% | 22.65% | 13.72% | 23.92% | 23.35% | 27.3% | 25.28% | 24.82% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.667 | 0.8174 | 1.25 | 1.022 | 1.127 | 1.227 | 1.366 | 1.494 |
| Change | - | 22.55% | 52.94% | -18.29% | 10.29% | 8.96% | 11.27% | 9.37% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 0.7 | 0.78 | - | 0.9295 | 1.005 | 1.057 |
| Change | - | 10.71% | 12.9% | 11.43% | - | - | 8.08% | 5.24% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 2.643 | 2.748 | 2.927 | 3.154 | 3.435 | 3.667 | 3.965 | 4.281 |
| Change | - | 3.95% | 6.54% | 7.74% | 8.92% | 6.75% | 8.14% | 7.96% |
| EPS 1 | 0.8 | 0.945 | 1.01 | 1 | 1.09 | 1.236 | 1.367 | 1.48 |
| Change | - | 18.12% | 6.88% | -0.99% | 9% | 13.39% | 10.64% | 8.25% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 11,50,327 | 11,45,520 | 11,43,200 | 11,45,773 | 11,48,036 | 11,48,035 | 11,48,035 | 11,48,035 |
| Announcement Date | 19/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 18/01/24 | 17/01/25 | 20/01/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 35x | 31.6x |
| PBR | 11.8x | 10.9x |
| EV / Sales | 5.44x | 5x |
| Yield | 2.15% | 2.32% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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