Projected Income Statement: Fair Isaac Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Fair Isaac Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,064 1,720 1,725 2,080 2,922 2,862 2,476 1,898
Change - 61.65% 0.29% 20.58% 40.48% -2.04% -13.49% -23.34%
Announcement Date 10/11/21 09/11/22 08/11/23 06/11/24 05/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Fair Isaac Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4.327 25.55 39.41 38.18 43.09 44.45
Change - 490.5% 54.23% -3.11% 12.87% 3.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 464.7 607.4 739.4 1,027 1,321 1,527
Change - 30.72% 21.73% 38.94% 28.62% 15.55%
Announcement Date 08/11/23 06/11/24 05/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Fair Isaac Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 41.27% 44.08% 51.49% 52.22% 55.62% 61.36% 64.2% 67.13%
EBIT Margin (%) 30.79% 39.38% 50.6% 51.47% 54.87% 59.71% 62.02% 64.18%
EBT Margin (%) 35.94% 34.22% 36.58% 37.38% 40.31% 47.3% 50.74% 54.65%
Net margin (%) 29.78% 27.12% 28.37% 29.86% 32.75% 34.57% 37.41% 39.42%
FCF margin (%) - - 30.7% 35.37% 37.14% 41.39% 45.33% 46.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - 108.22% 118.45% 113.41% 119.73% 121.15% 117.95%

Profitability

        
ROA - - 28.46% 31.14% 36.36% 43.03% 44.54% 40.36%
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.96x 2.83x 2.21x 2.32x 2.64x 1.88x 1.32x 0.86x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 3.71x 3.42x 3.95x 2.79x 1.87x 1.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 0.29% 1.49% 1.98% 1.54% 1.48% 1.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 0.56% 2.85% 3.56% 2.51% 2.3% 2.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 0.93% 4.21% 5.33% 3.72% 3.26% 2.91%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 18.49 25.24 31.71 41.54 52.15 59.74
Change - - - 36.54% 25.64% 30.99% 25.55% 14.55%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - -27.12 -39.47 -71.08 -75.12 -59.25 -46.43
Change - - - -45.52% -80.1% -5.68% 21.13% 21.65%
EPS 1 13.4 14.18 16.93 20.45 26.54 36.52 46.35 54.95
Change - 5.82% 19.39% 20.79% 29.78% 37.62% 26.91% 18.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,387 25,253 24,857 24,519 24,004 23,722 23,722 23,722
Announcement Date 10/11/21 09/11/22 08/11/23 06/11/24 05/11/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 40.4x 31.8x
PBR -19.6x -24.9x
EV / Sales 15.3x 12.9x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
1,476.00USD
Average target price
1,971.29USD
Spread / Average Target
+33.56%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Fair Isaac Corporation