Projected Income Statement: Essity

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 29,209 26,918 23,370
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 10.04% -7.84% -13.18%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 7,902 8,074 8,004
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 11.46% 2.17% -0.87%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 9,836 11,664 12,331
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 17.53% 18.58% 5.72%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.51% 17.71% 18.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.15% 12.63% 13.1%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.05% 11.96% 12.56%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.17% 8.74% 9.2%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 6.96% 7.87% 8.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 85.16% 90.02% 88.18%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.07% 7.36% 7.81%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.04% 14.22% 14.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.18x 1.03x 0.85x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.97x 2.31x 1.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.59% 5.45% 5.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 31.91% 30.76% 28.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 80.34% 69.22% 64.91%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 25.93 28.89 31.59
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 15.58% 11.39% 9.34%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 8.75 9.17 9.734 10.27
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% 6.06% 4.8% 6.15% 5.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 135.5 144.8 156.2
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 9.03% 6.85% 7.87%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.06 19.37 21
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -7.12% 13.5% 8.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,02,342 7,02,342 7,02,342 6,94,998 6,83,049 6,77,842 6,77,842 6,77,842
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.1x 13.3x
PBR 1.9x 1.78x
EV / Sales 1.44x 1.36x
Yield 3.56% 3.78%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
257.40SEK
Average target price
268.87SEK
Spread / Average Target
+4.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise