Financials Ecopetrol S.A. Nyse

Equities

EC

US2791581091

Oil & Gas Exploration and Production

Market Closed - Nyse 01:30:02 11/05/2024 am IST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
11.64 USD -0.94% Intraday chart for Ecopetrol S.A. +0.87% -2.35%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 13,63,01,843 9,23,06,980 11,06,03,909 9,95,02,401 9,62,13,066 9,37,46,064 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 16,58,41,206 13,17,60,980 18,94,87,781 19,80,74,055 9,62,13,066 17,91,26,087 17,36,18,149 17,00,58,410
P/E ratio 10.3 x 58.2 x 6.63 x 3.15 x - 4.47 x 4.49 x 4 x
Yield 5.43% 0.76% 9.03% 20.1% - 14.2% 13.2% 16.7%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.92 x 1.85 x 1.21 x 0.62 x 0.67 x 0.68 x 0.71 x 0.73 x
EV / Revenue 2.34 x 2.63 x 2.07 x 1.24 x 0.67 x 1.31 x 1.31 x 1.32 x
EV / EBITDA 5.33 x 7.82 x 4.52 x 2.63 x 1.58 x 3.02 x 2.81 x 3.16 x
EV / FCF 11.9 x -71.6 x 19.6 x 12.8 x - 8.18 x 6.81 x 7.33 x
FCF Yield 8.38% -1.4% 5.11% 7.83% - 12.2% 14.7% 13.6%
Price to Book - - 1.54 x 1.15 x - 0.99 x - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,11,16,695 4,11,16,695 4,11,16,695 4,11,16,695 4,11,16,695 4,11,16,695 - -
Reference price 2 3,315 2,245 2,690 2,420 2,340 2,270 2,270 2,270
Announcement Date 26/02/20 23/02/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 - - -
1COP in Million2COP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 7,08,46,769 5,00,27,000 9,17,44,000 15,94,74,000 14,30,79,000 13,68,65,222 13,23,57,118 12,91,52,389
EBITDA 1 3,11,08,000 1,68,40,000 4,19,67,000 7,52,44,000 6,07,18,000 5,93,10,661 6,17,39,327 5,38,51,088
EBIT 1 2,21,63,000 76,33,000 2,95,94,000 6,03,81,000 4,37,46,000 4,44,61,280 4,10,67,871 3,80,63,047
Operating Margin 31.28% 15.26% 32.26% 37.86% 30.57% 32.49% 31.03% 29.47%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,90,99,000 47,10,000 2,63,22,000 5,40,26,000 3,67,88,000 3,06,24,832 3,84,54,300 3,73,51,937
Net income 1 1,32,51,000 16,88,000 1,66,95,000 3,34,06,000 1,90,62,000 1,83,28,951 1,62,04,748 1,51,84,114
Net margin 18.7% 3.37% 18.2% 20.95% 13.32% 13.39% 12.24% 11.76%
EPS 2 322.3 38.60 406.0 768.7 - 507.4 505.4 567.4
Free Cash Flow 1 1,39,00,915 -18,39,000 96,85,405 1,55,04,000 - 2,18,89,759 2,55,07,448 2,31,91,061
FCF margin 19.62% -3.68% 10.56% 9.72% - 15.99% 19.27% 17.96%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 44.69% - 23.08% 20.6% - 36.91% 41.31% 43.07%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 104.9% - 58.01% 46.41% - 119.43% 157.41% 152.73%
Dividend per Share 2 180.0 17.00 243.0 487.0 - 321.3 299.7 379.5
Announcement Date 26/02/20 23/02/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 - - -
1COP in Million2COP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4
Net sales 1 2,33,33,000 3,17,61,000 3,24,73,000 4,38,85,000 4,34,38,336 3,96,78,000 3,88,53,579 3,43,00,183 3,51,30,000 3,47,94,000 3,13,02,000 3,20,36,276 3,24,91,472 3,20,90,385
EBITDA 1 1,03,71,000 1,39,81,000 1,58,96,000 2,22,11,000 2,11,42,000 1,59,96,000 1,78,42,000 1,45,85,000 1,60,38,000 1,22,51,000 1,42,38,000 1,40,52,000 1,49,09,000 1,40,14,000
EBIT 1 71,04,000 1,04,23,000 1,25,30,000 1,86,08,000 1,72,22,000 1,20,16,000 1,37,21,000 1,04,99,000 1,18,16,000 77,00,000 98,02,000 1,13,38,661 1,14,65,884 1,05,17,337
Operating Margin 30.45% 32.82% 38.59% 42.4% 39.65% 30.28% 35.31% 30.61% 33.64% 22.13% 31.31% 35.39% 35.29% 32.77%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 65,18,000 91,06,000 - - 1,55,87,000 1,03,77,000 1,25,57,000 - - 43,26,000 79,97,000 93,63,000 1,06,02,000 94,21,000
Net income 1 38,07,000 60,77,000 65,73,000 1,04,70,000 95,13,000 68,51,000 56,60,000 40,87,000 50,86,000 42,28,000 40,12,000 51,33,405 55,68,223 50,56,074
Net margin 16.32% 19.13% 20.24% 23.86% 21.9% 17.27% 14.57% 11.92% 14.48% 12.15% 12.82% 16.02% 17.14% 15.76%
EPS 2 92.60 147.8 - 254.6 231.4 122.8 137.7 99.40 123.7 - 119.7 130.3 137.4 122.5
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 09/11/21 01/03/22 11/05/22 03/08/22 08/11/22 28/02/23 10/05/23 08/08/23 07/11/23 29/02/24 07/05/24 - - -
1COP in Million2COP
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,95,39,363 3,94,54,000 7,88,83,872 9,85,71,654 - 8,53,80,023 7,98,72,085 7,63,12,346
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.9496 x 2.343 x 1.88 x 1.31 x - 1.44 x 1.294 x 1.417 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,39,00,915 -18,39,000 96,85,405 1,55,04,000 - 2,18,89,759 2,55,07,449 2,31,91,061
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 24.2% 3.11% 27% 43.2% - 21.1% 21.4% 19.3%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 10.3% 1.23% 8.7% 12.3% - 7.93% 8.41% 8.24%
Assets 1 12,92,62,159 13,74,36,900 19,18,37,016 27,26,08,575 - 23,10,76,034 19,26,84,275 18,42,50,868
Book Value Per Share 2 - - 1,745 2,095 - 2,285 - -
Cash Flow per Share 2 674.0 223.0 548.0 881.0 - 1,962 1,036 -
Capex 1 1,38,10,852 1,10,26,000 1,28,50,616 2,07,31,000 - 2,21,42,497 2,14,07,510 1,98,58,581
Capex / Sales 19.49% 22.04% 14.01% 13% - 16.18% 16.17% 15.38%
Announcement Date 26/02/20 23/02/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 - - -
1COP in Million2COP
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
2,280 COP
Average target price
2,633 COP
Spread / Average Target
+15.48%
Consensus
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