Projected Income Statement: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,20,335 1,80,437 2,23,910 2,76,855 2,68,217 2,37,528 2,38,445 2,28,037
Change - 49.95% 24.09% 23.65% -3.12% -11.44% 0.39% -4.36%
Announcement Date 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 31/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 9,514 12,749 8,334 815.4 3,195 3,389 3,229 3,077
Change - 34% -34.63% -90.22% 291.85% 6.07% -4.72% -4.71%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -5,401 -9,998 -4.422 2,984 -4,183 9,512 - -
Change - -85.12% 99.96% 67,593.96% -240.17% 327.39% -100% -
Announcement Date 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 31/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.81% 11.7% 12.82% -11.38% -17.9% 2.83% 5.89% 8.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.6% 10.32% 10.87% -13.3% -22.34% -4.59% -3% -2.09%
EBT Margin (%) 11.53% 10.4% 9.66% -13.75% -28.56% -13.58% -4.76% -9.27%
Net margin (%) 4.97% 4.49% 2.61% -14.42% -37.94% -12.7% -8.45% -5.26%
FCF margin (%) -1.19% -1.98% -0% 0.87% -1.79% 6.72% - -
FCF / Net Income (%) -23.98% -44.21% -0.04% -6.03% 4.72% -52.95% - -

Profitability

        
ROA 1.18% 1.22% 0.75% -3.55% -7.68% -1% -2.32% -0.94%
ROE 9.78% 9.48% 4.92% -21.82% -55.42% -15.07% -24.88% -18.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.07x 3.06x 3.75x -7.09x -6.42x 59.22x 25.45x 17.28x
Debt / Free cash flow -22.28x -18.05x -50,637.37x 92.77x -64.12x 24.97x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.1% 2.53% 1.79% 0.24% 1.37% 2.4% 2.27% 2.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.4% 21.63% 13.95% -2.09% -7.65% 84.49% 38.54% 23.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -176.15% -127.51% -1,88,477.46% 27.32% -76.38% 35.63% - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.354 0.2365 0.3279 0.3185 -0.0828 1.827 - -
Change - -33.19% 38.65% -2.87% -126% 2,306% - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.97 0.68 - - - - - -
Change - -29.9% - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 20.3 21 21.15 16.99 9.799 7.483 5.837 4.562
Change - 3.45% 0.71% -19.68% -42.32% -23.63% -22% -21.84%
EPS 1 1.94 1.95 1.03 -4.173 -7.445 -1.433 -1.238 -1.175
Change - 0.52% -47.18% -505.18% -78.4% 80.75% 13.59% 5.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,16,25,383 1,15,57,753 1,18,57,753 1,18,57,753 1,19,30,709 1,19,30,709 1,19,30,709 1,19,30,709
Announcement Date 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 31/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -2.17x -2.51x
PBR 0.42x 0.53x
EV / Sales 1.54x 1.64x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
3.110CNY
Average target price
3.886CNY
Spread / Average Target
+24.96%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 000002 Stock
  4. Financials China Vanke Co., Ltd.