Cheniere Energy, Inc.
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023
February 22, 2024
Safe Harbor Statements
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains certain statements that are, or may be deemed to be, "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical or present facts or conditions, included or incorporated by reference herein are "forward- looking statements." Included among "forward-looking statements" are, among other things:
- statements regarding the ability of Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. to pay or increase distributions to its unitholders or Cheniere Energy, Inc. to pay or increase dividends to its shareholders or participate in share or unit buybacks;
- statements regarding Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s or Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P.'s expected receipt of cash distributions from their respective subsidiaries;
- statements that Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. expects to commence or complete construction of its proposed liquefied natural gas ("LNG") terminals, liquefaction facilities, pipeline facilities or other projects, or any expansions or portions thereof, by certain dates or at all;
- statements that Cheniere Energy, Inc. expects to commence or complete construction of its proposed LNG terminals, liquefaction facilities, pipeline facilities or other projects, or any expansions or portions thereof, by certain dates or at all;
- statements regarding future levels of domestic and international natural gas production, supply or consumption or future levels of LNG imports into or exports from North America and other countries worldwide, or purchases of natural gas, regardless of the source of such information, or the transportation or other infrastructure, or demand for and prices related to natural gas, LNG or other hydrocarbon products;
- statements regarding any financing transactions or arrangements, or ability to enter into such transactions;
- statements relating to Cheniere's capital deployment, including intent, ability, extent, and timing of capital expenditures, debt repayment, dividends, share repurchases and execution on the capital allocation plan;
- statements regarding our future sources of liquidity and cash requirements;
- statements relating to the construction of our proposed liquefaction facilities and natural gas liquefaction trains ("Trains") and the construction of our pipelines, including statements concerning the engagement of any engineering, procurement and construction ("EPC") contractor or other contractor and the anticipated terms and provisions of any agreement with any EPC or other contractor, and anticipated costs related thereto;
- statements regarding any agreement to be entered into or performed substantially in the future, including any revenues anticipated to be received and the anticipated timing thereof, and statements regarding the amounts of total LNG regasification, natural gas, liquefaction or storage capacities that are, or may become, subject to contracts;
- statements regarding counterparties to our commercial contracts, construction contracts and other contracts;
- statements regarding our planned development and construction of additional Trains or pipelines, including the financing of such Trains or pipelines;
- statements that our Trains, when completed, will have certain characteristics, including amounts of liquefaction capacities;
- statements regarding our business strategy, our strengths, our business and operation plans or any other plans, forecasts, projections or objectives, including anticipated revenues, capital expenditures, maintenance and operating costs, free cash flow, run rate SG&A estimates, cash flows, EBITDA, Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA, distributable cash flow, distributable cash flow per share and unit, deconsolidated debt outstanding, and deconsolidated contracted EBITDA, any or all of which are subject to change;
- statements regarding projections of revenues, expenses, earnings or losses, working capital or other financial items;
- statements regarding legislative, governmental, regulatory, administrative or other public body actions, approvals, requirements, permits, applications, filings, investigations, proceedings or decisions;
- statements regarding our anticipated LNG and natural gas marketing activities; and
- any other statements that relate to non-historical or future information.
These forward-looking statements are often identified by the use of terms and phrases such as "achieve," "anticipate," "believe," "contemplate," "continue," "could," "develop," "estimate," "example," "expect," "forecast," "goals," "guidance," "intend," "may," "opportunities," "plan," "potential," "predict," "project," "propose," "pursue," "should," "subject to," "strategy," "target," "will," and similar terms and phrases, or by use of future tense. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, they do involve assumptions, risks and uncertainties, and these expectations may prove to be incorrect. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, including those discussed in "Risk Factors" in the Cheniere Energy, Inc. and Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. Annual Reports on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on February 22, 2024, which are incorporated by reference into this presentation. All forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these "Risk Factors." These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation, and other than as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement or provide reasons why actual results may differ, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Reconciliation to U.S. GAAP Financial Information
The following presentation includes certain "non-GAAP financial measures" as defined in Regulation G under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Schedules are included in the appendix hereto that reconcile the non-GAAP financial measures included in the following presentation to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP.
2
Agenda
Introduction
Randy Bhatia
Vice President, Investor Relations
Company Highlights
Jack Fusco
President and Chief Executive Officer
Commercial Update
Anatol Feygin
Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer
Financial Review
Zach Davis
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Q & A
3
Operating and Financial Highlights
Jack Fusco, President and CEO
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2023 Highlights & 2024 Guidance
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA
$11,564 | $8,771 | ||
$1,650 | |||
$3,100 | |||
4Q 2022 | 4Q 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 |
Financial Guidance | FY 2024 | ||||
($ billions, except per unit data) | |||||
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA | $5.5 | - | $6.0 | ||
Distributable Cash Flow | $2.9 | - | $3.4 | ||
CQP Distribution per Unit | $3.15 | - | $3.35 | ||
Distributable Cash Flow
~$2,320 | ~$1,050 | ~$8,720 | ~$6,510 | ||
4Q 2022 4Q 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 |
Net Income
>$20 >$20 Execution on '20/20 Vision' in 2023
- ~$1.2 billion of long-term debt reduction
- 7 credit rating upgrades, achieving investment grade throughout Cheniere corporate structure
- ~9.5 million shares repurchased for ~$1.5 billion
- $1.66/sh dividends declared
- ~$1.5 billion capex funded for CCL Stage 3
Commercial Strength in 2023
Signed >6.5 mtpa of long-term contracts expected to support the SPL Expansion Project, representing >119 million tonnes in aggregate volumes between 2026-2050
Loaded first cargo in February 2024 at the start of the DFCD(2) window of the 1.1 mtpa
SPA
$9,881 | |||
$3,937 | $1,377 | $1,428 | |
4Q 2022 | 4Q 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 |
Operational Excellence | CCL Stage 3 Project - 51.4% Complete(3) | ||||
Top-decile(1) TRIR of 0.10 for the full year | |||||
Engineering | Procurement | Subcontract Work | Construction | ||
Record 615 TBtu of LNG loaded in 4Q | |||||
11.1% | |||||
Record 169 cargoes exported in 4Q | 83.7% | 72.2% | 66.9% | ||
Note: $ in millions unless otherwise noted. Net income as used herein refers to Net income attributable to common (1) | ||
5 | stockholders on our Statement of Operations. Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow are non- | |
GAAP measures. A definition of these non-GAAP measures and a reconciliation to Net income attributable to | (2) | |
common stockholders, the most comparable U.S. GAAP measure, is included in the appendix. | (3) |
TRIR top decile is based on Bureau of Labor Statistics data available for companies with 1,000+ employees and various North American Industry Classification System Codes.
DFCD represents Date of First Commercial Delivery. As of December 31, 2023.
Cheniere Regulatory Update
P Supports the U.S. Economy | P Enhances Energy Security | PFacilitates Global Decarbonization |
Corpus Christi Stage 3Sabine Pass LiquefactionCorpus Christi Liquefaction
Update | Project | FERC | DOE | Status | |||
FTA | Non-FTA | ||||||
Sabine Pass Trains 1-6 | P | P | P | Operational | |||
Regulatory | Corpus Christi Trains 1-3 | P | P | P | Operational | ||
CCL Stage 3 | P | P | P | Under Construction | |||
>50% Complete(1) | |||||||
Cheniere | CCL Midscale Trains 8 & 9 | Environmental Assessment (EA) expected | P | Pending(2) | Targeting FID 2025 | ||
March 2024 | |||||||
SPL Expansion Project | In Pre-Filing; Full application expected to | Not submitted | Not submitted | Targeting FID 2026 | |||
be submitted Q1'24 | |||||||
6 (1) CCL Stage 3 Project completion percentage as of December 31, 2023 and reflects: engineering 83.7% complete, procurement 72.2% complete, subcontract work 66.9% complete and construction 11.1% complete.
- Subject to the receipt of regulatory permit approval from the FERC.
Commercial Update
Anatol Feygin, EVP and CCO
Global LNG Trade Grew to over 400 MT in 2023
Global LNG Demand
MT | Asia | Europe | Americas | MENA | |||||||||
450 | +5% | +3% | |||||||||||
+5% | 403 | ||||||||||||
+0% | 393 | ||||||||||||
400 | +12% | ||||||||||||
374 | |||||||||||||
356 | 357 | ||||||||||||
350 | -4% | -9% | +60% | +0% | |||||||||
300 | |||||||||||||
+74% | |||||||||||||
250 | |||||||||||||
200 | |||||||||||||
+3% | +3% | +8% | -7% | +4% | |||||||||
150 | |||||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||
0
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Top 3 LNG Exporters in 2023 | Gas and LNG Prices |
MT | $/MMBtu | Average JKM Price | ||||||||||||||
85 | ||||||||||||||||
9 | 75 | JKM - TTF spread | ($/MMBtu) | |||||||||||||
2020 | $3.83 | |||||||||||||||
65 | Henry Hub | |||||||||||||||
The US became the | 86 MT | JKM | 2021 | $15.03 | ||||||||||||
55 | ||||||||||||||||
top monthly LNG | United | TTF | 2022 | $34.25 | ||||||||||||
45 | ||||||||||||||||
exporter in April | States | 2023 | $16.13 | |||||||||||||
35 | ||||||||||||||||
8 | 25 | |||||||||||||||
15 | ||||||||||||||||
81 MT | 5 | |||||||||||||||
-5 | ||||||||||||||||
Australia | ||||||||||||||||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||||||||||
7 | 80 MT | U.S. LNG Exports by Destination | ||||||||||||||
Qatar | ||||||||||||||||
MT | ||||||||||||||||
25 | In Transit | Latin America | MENA | |||||||||||||
20 | 7% | |||||||||||||||
6 | 15 | 17% | Asia | 26% | ||||||||||||
10 | 47% | |||||||||||||||
5 | Europe | 65% | ||||||||||||||
0 | 34% | |||||||||||||||
5 | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | ||||
Jan | Feb Mar Apr May Jun | Jul | Aug Sep | Oct Nov Dec | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
8 Sources: Cheniere Research, Kpler, CME, ICE, S&P Global.
LNG Trade Remains Delicately Balanced
LNG Imports to Europe(1) | EU+UK Gas Demand YoY Variance by Sector EU Gas Storage Levels |
MT | 5-Yr Range | Bcm | Industry | Power | LDZ | Total Demand Variance | % | % Full | Bcm | |||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | 2023 | 4 | 8% | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 4% | 80 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
80 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 0 | 0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | 60 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-2 | -4% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | -6% | -5% | 5-Yr Range | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-4 | -8% | 5-Yr Average | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-10% | -10% | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-6 | -12% | -11% | -12% | 2022 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 0 | 2021 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-8 | -16% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Italy | UK | Germany | France | Spain | Netherlands | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
LNG Imports to Asia | Asia LNG Imports YoY Variance | China Gas Demand YoY Variance |
MT | China | MT | 7.5 | Bcm | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
5-Yr Range | Thailand | 2.9 | +0.2 | +28.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
+0.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | 2023 | India | 2.0 | 30 | +4.5 | +1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Singapore | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Bangladesh | 0.8 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Indonesia | 0.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | Philippines | 0.6 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hong Kong | 0.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pakistan | 0.2 | 15 | +12.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Taiwan | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | Vietnam | 0.1 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Myanmar | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Malaysia | -0.1 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
South Korea | -1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | Japan | -6.0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | -8 | -6 | -4 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | Industrial | City Gas | Power | Chemical | Exports | UGS | Total | |
Injections | Increase |
9 | Source: Cheniere Research, Kpler, Commodity Essentials, GIE, OIES, METI. |
(1) Major European markets' gas demand and power generation include data from Germany, UK, Italy, France, Spain, and the Netherlands. | |
Sustained Demand for Natural Gas Through 2050 & Beyond
Global Coal Consumption at All-Time High
MT | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8,800 | +220 | +98 | +31 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8,600 | -107 | 8,536 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-97 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8,415 | -24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8,400 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8,200 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Global China | India ASEAN | EU | USA | RoW | Global | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2022 | 2023 |
Global Power Generation YoY Change
TWh | Renewables | Coal | Gas | Other Fossil | Nuclear | Hydro | |||||||||||||||
800 | |||||||||||||||||||||
600 | |||||||||||||||||||||
400 | |||||||||||||||||||||
200 | |||||||||||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
-200 | |||||||||||||||||||||
-400
China | India | EU | USA | RoW(1) |
Global Gas Demand Forecasts
Asia Pacific | ||
Europe | ||
Latin America and Caribbean | ||
Bcm | Middle East, Africa, Russia and Caspian | |
North America | ||
5,000 | IEEJ-ATS Forecast | CAGR |
S&P Global Forecast | 2018-50 | |
4,500 | ||
4,000 | ||
3,500 | +1.7% | |
3,000 | -2.5% | |
+0.4% | ||
2,500 | ||
2,000 | ||
+0.2% | ||
1,500 | ||
1,000 | ||
500 | +0.7% | |
0 | Area chart represents Wood Mackenzie forecast | |
Global coal consumption was up 1.4% in 2023, primarily in price sensitive emerging and developing economies
Global electricity demand met predominately by coal, despite expansion of renewables
Coal remains the largest source of power generation globally; Gas to play an important role in helping reduce coal consumption and lowering GHG emissions
Longer term, gas demand growth expected to be driven by developing economies - which favors continued LNG supply growth
Strong and sound clean energy policies require an increase in natural gas infrastructure
10 Sources: IEA "Coal 2023" report, EMBER, Wood Mackenzie "Global Demand December 2023", S&P Global, IEEJ 2023 Forecast.
(1) ROW power generation data for December 2023 are internal estimates based on historical data.
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Cheniere Energy Inc. published this content on 22 February 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 05 March 2024 13:42:37 UTC.