By James B. Kelleher

The world's largest maker of construction and mining machines, which also reported lower-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings, said on Monday it was laying off 17,000 workers, and buying out 2,500 others, to reduce costs in the face of what it predicted would be the weakest year since the end of World War Two.

The company slashed its outlook for 2009 and seemed to raise the possibility that it would report a loss in the current quarter -- its first since 1992.

"We pretty much hit a wall in December," Jim Owens, the company's chief executive, said in call with investors.

The news sent Caterpillar shares skidding as much as 10 percent on the New York Stock Exchange.

Owens said the company had been "whipsawed" by a rapidly deteriorating global economy and plunging commodity prices.

He said Caterpillar had reacted by encouraging dealers to align their inventory levels with falling volume and "they responded with significant order cancellations, particularly in December."

The layoffs and buyouts, to hit one in every 10 regular workers and idle 8,000 contract workers, represent the biggest wave of job cuts at Caterpillar since the early 1980s, when the company was losing about $1 million a day.

The company also said it was freezing salaries of most employees, significantly reducing the total compensation of executives and senior managers, putting several facilities on shortened workweeks, and subjecting thousands of employees to temporary layoffs.

The company reported a fourth-quarter profit of $661 million, or $1.08 a share, compared with $975 million, or $1.50 a share, a year ago.

Sales rose 6 percent to $12.92 billion.

The company attributed the drop in profitability to significantly higher operating costs in its manufacturing operations as capacity utilization plunged. It also blamed a sharp decline in profit in its captive finance unit.

Analysts on average expected the company to report a profit of $1.28 a share on sales of $11.97 billion.

Looking forward, Caterpillar slashed its outlook for 2009, saying sales could tumble as much as 32 percent to $40 billion. It also said full-year earnings per share before costs associated with the job cuts could fall to just $2.50, compared with last year's $5.66. During the conference call, Owens said Caterpillar was bracing for what he characterized as a "seismic" change in sales and revenue in the coming year.

"If this comes to fruition, it says a lot of bad things not just for Caterpillar but for the economy as a whole," said Morningstar analyst John Kearney.

During the call, Mike DeWitt, the company's head of investor relations, warned that Caterpillar might even post a loss in the first quarter -- its first in 17 years.

"December was absolutely atrocious," said Kearney. "It looks like that is definitely going to spread into the first quarter and maybe get even worse. It's certainly an ugly outlook for at least the first half of 2009."

After shrugging off the downturn in U.S. housing that sparked the worldwide crisis, Caterpillar and other makers of bulldozers, dump trucks and excavators have suddenly faced a world of challenges, including a drop in spending by their well-heeled energy and mining customers.

"We knew Caterpillar was going to be a disaster." said Eli Lustgarten, an analyst at Longbow Research. "We just didn't know the magnitude of it. And it's ugly."

Caterpillar shares were down $3.46 or 9.7 percent at $32.20 in early afternoon trading, off an earlier low of $31.92.

(Additional reporting by Leah Schnurr in New York, editing by Steve Orlofsky and Matthew Lewis)