Projected Income Statement: Carlsberg A/S

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 19,162 19,326 22,351 27,357 61,617 54,454 50,545 47,155
Change - 0.86% 15.65% 22.4% 125.23% -11.63% -7.18% -6.71%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,221 4,018 4,243 4,668 4,924 6,515 6,405 6,466
Change - -4.81% 5.6% 10.02% 5.48% 32.31% -1.69% 0.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,876 9,884 4,878 9,794 -21,667 8,469 9,382 10,253
Change - 11.36% -50.65% 100.78% -321.23% 139.09% 10.78% 9.29%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.22% 22.28% 20.63% 21.04% 21.08% 21.48% 21.9% 22.24%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.3% 16.32% 15.09% 15.21% 14.99% 15.62% 16.04% 16.4%
EBT Margin (%) 15.35% 14.18% 13.36% 13.31% 10.16% 12.66% 13.59% 14.37%
Net margin (%) 10.27% -1.51% -55.43% 12.15% 6.68% 8.6% 9.21% 9.7%
FCF margin (%) 13.32% 14.07% 6.63% 13.06% -24.32% 9.13% 9.75% 10.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 129.65% -929.82% -11.96% 107.44% -363.85% 106.16% 105.87% 105.95%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.66% -0.88% 6.54% 6.47% 5.67% 5.31% 5.89% 6.18%
ROE 16.68% 25.05% 26.93% 25.83% 24.73% 26.52% 24.76% 23.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.24x 1.23x 1.47x 1.73x 3.28x 2.73x 2.4x 2.13x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.16x 1.96x 4.58x 2.79x -2.84x 6.43x 5.39x 4.6x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.33% 5.72% 5.77% 6.22% 5.53% 7.02% 6.66% 6.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.28% 25.66% 27.95% 29.58% 26.21% 32.68% 30.38% 29.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.56% 40.65% 86.98% 47.66% -22.73% 76.93% 68.27% 63.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 91.89 92.36 85.06 85.29 94.06 106.4 114.8 121.6
Change - 0.52% -7.9% 0.27% 10.28% 13.14% 7.84% 5.99%
Dividend per Share 1 24 27 27 27 29 31.33 34.14 37.03
Change - 12.5% 0% 0% 7.41% 8.04% 8.96% 8.48%
Book Value Per Share 1 309.7 232.3 173.2 210.3 210.4 265.7 295.4 319.9
Change - -24.99% -25.42% 21.37% 0.05% 26.31% 11.19% 8.3%
EPS 1 47.4 -7.6 -299.7 68.7 45.1 61.24 68.01 74.96
Change - -116.03% -3,843.42% 122.92% -34.35% 35.79% 11.05% 10.21%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,41,892 1,37,341 1,34,114 1,32,079 1,32,079 1,32,172 1,32,172 1,32,172
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15x 13.5x
PBR 3.46x 3.12x
EV / Sales 1.97x 1.86x
Yield 3.4% 3.71%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
920.60DKK
Average target price
1,057.68DKK
Spread / Average Target
+14.89%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. CARL B Stock
  4. Financials Carlsberg A/S