Task Force on Climate- Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) Report 2022/23

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TCFD Report 2022/23

Introduction

Governance

Strategy

Risk Management

Metrics and Targets

Introduction

Climate change is not an isolated challenge. Over the coming decades, rising temperatures will impact nearly all areas of life. The effects of climate change have significant implications for our ecosystems, society, and public health, among other aspects. This, in turn, also means damage that risks impacting the entire global economy.

Aurubis is Europe's largest copper producer and one of the largest copper recyclers worldwide. Our processes are energy intensive and currently give rise to indirect and direct CO2 emissions. However, the products we manufacture significantly contribute to reducing CO2 emissions in business and society because they play a central role in the transmission of renewable energies, in applications that boost energy efficiency, and in electric vehicles. In this role, Aurubis actively assumes responsibility for climate protection. This responsibility is reflected in the highly energy-efficient setup of our production processes and in the gradual decarbonization of our production, for example. Even with this responsible approach in place, it is essential to adequately consider the impacts and risks of the changing global climate in order to prepare the appropriate measures and adjustments to the business model.

We identify climate-related opportunities and risks and the measures derived from them by linking risk management with our energy and environmental strategy. We have taken on the task of transparently reporting these exact company processes since fiscal year 2021/22, when we reported in accordance with the Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) framework for the first time. That report was prepared as part of our general sustainability reporting; as such, this TCFD report is the first standalone publication in this context. In the following pages, we provide a comprehensive report on the integration of climate-related risk management in Aurubis' general governance structure, how the results can be included in the company strategy, and what targets and measures we derive from them. The accompanying metrics provide corresponding context.

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TCFD Report 2022/23

Introduction

Governance

Strategy

Risk Management

Metrics and Targets

Governance

Our objective: to proactively address challenges and introduce appropriate countermeasures early on

In order to face the challenges of climate change and the related strategic and economic adjustments that have to be introduced, responsibility for these topics in the company rests with the highest possible management level. In the Aurubis Group, the Executive Board is responsible for the company strategy, including all projects and targets relevant to climate matters.

On a quarterly basis, the large smelter sites report their plants' financial and operational KPIs to the Executive Board, which, in turn, follows up on critical developments and issues. As part of this performance review, the status of each large- scale investment project is discussed - such as the Industrial Heat project in Hamburg (Germany), the solar park in Pirdop (Bulgaria), and the contract for sourcing electricity from wind turbines in Olen (Belgium). Furthermore, Corporate Risk Management presents its quarterly risk report and annual strategic risk portfolio to the Executive Board. This facilitates extensive, routine discussions of climate-related risks and corresponding risk mitigation measures. Based on this risk reporting, the Executive Board may initiate additional measures or projects to further reduce risk. The Executive Board approves any measures related to the climate before they are passed on to the Supervisory Board for further approval.

Furthermore, the CEO and CFO take part in the weekly Group Financial Meeting (GFM), which also includes managers from the Finance and Energy & Climate Affairs Group functions. One purpose of the GFM is to monitor the development of price and cost drivers as well as the resulting risks and opportunities, among them climate-related risk factors. Where necessary, positions are hedged accordingly on the basis of this analysis.

In addition, together with the responsible departments, the Aurubis Group Sustainability division supports and manages relevant projects and activities, along with their development, with extensive sustainability KPIs, including climate-related KPIs, and reports directly to the CEO. The objective is to proactively address challenges and introduce the appropriate countermeasures early on.

Group Sustainability is responsible for managing the Group-wide decarbonization strategy and coordinates the development and implementation of the Aurubis sites' corresponding decarbonization road maps, which are regularly presented in the Strategy Committee (StratCo). Group Sustainability includes Corporate Energy & Climate Affairs

in the process with a view to identifying and controlling the impacts on Group-wide CO2 management in good time.

Aurubis' Supervisory Board handles climate-relevant topics and decisions in two main areas: the approval of key investment decisions that involve climate-related aspects, and consulting on the company strategy, which includes climate- relevant issues and projects. The Supervisory Board's Audit Committee is involved in monitoring the accounting processes, sustainability and risk management. In its quarterly meeting, it follows a consistent agenda that covers sustainability and risk management, and therefore climate-related risks. The Executive Board approves the investment budget as part of the medium- term planning, as well as individual projects related to the climate, before they are passed on to the Supervisory Board for additional approval.

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TCFD Report 2022/23

Introduction

Governance

Strategy

Risk Management

Metrics and Targets

Strategy

Our company strategy is based on a thorough risk analysis. With regard to climate-related risks, we distinguish between physical and transition risks. Transition risks result from the transition to a lower-carbon economy, while physical risks reflect the direct impacts of climate change on an organization. Political, legal and technological market changes can represent a transition risk during the transition to a lower-carbon economy and may negatively influence an organization's reputation. In contrast, physical risks can endanger an organization due to certain events (acute) or longer-term changes in climate patterns (chronic) and, as such, harm the assets of the organization or within the supply chain.

Identifying transition and physical risks

The table at right shows the transition and physical risks for our own business activities as well as the physical risks for our suppliers. The individual risk categories are divided into different risk types, which we use to describe the risks in more detail. We order them by chronological term of impact and assign them to the segment or site affected. For suppliers, we focused on our most important raw material, copper concentrates, and closely analyzed the 25 largest mines by volume. We only provide the associated countries and not the mine locations and companies for reasons related to competition. The 25 mines account for about 70 % of our concentrate throughput Group-wide. Our Supply Chain Management monitors the findings of the climate risk analysis for Panama, as there are already shortages of passage capacity in the Panama Canal. As a preventative measure, we have temporarily increased concentrate inventories for our sites in Hamburg and Pirdop to compensate for potential ship delays.

Overview of physical and transition risks

Risk category

Risk type

Description of the risk

Timeline

Segment/city/region affected

Transition risks (Aurubis)

Technological risk

Arises from the conversion of all carbon-emitting production

Medium, long term

Custom Smelting & Products,

processes to exclusively carbon-neutral processes by 2045,

Multimetal Recycling

including carbon storage/utilization for raw material-related CO2

emissions (e.g., risk of high investment and operating costs, such

as with the use of hydrogen)

Political risk

Results from global carbon tax regulations, the European Carbon

Short, medium term

Custom Smelting & Products,

Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), and other political

Multimetal Recycling

factors that lead to further increases in energy prices; also linked

to the continued insufficient recognition of carbon-free industrial

heat supplied for district heating within the framework of the

EU-ETS (European emissions trading system) or alternative

compensation systems

Reputational and

Arises from a failure to achieve decarbonization targets (e.g.,

Medium term

Custom Smelting & Products

market risk

negative impact on sales campaigns for Aurubis copper products)

Physical risks (Aurubis)

Acute extreme weather

Flooding and river flooding, risk of an (extra)tropical

Short, medium,

Hamburg (DE), Augusta (US),

events

cyclone, a tornado, heavy rain, and storms (including hail)

long term

Pirdop (BG), Berango (ES),

Avellino (IT), Stolberg (DE)

Chronic climate change

Change in precipitation patterns (e.g., heavy rain, drought),

Long term

Hamburg (DE), Augusta (US),

temperature increase, sea level rise

Pirdop (BG), Berango (ES),

Stolberg (DE)

Physical risks (suppliers)

Acute extreme weather

Flooding and river flooding, risk of an (extra)tropical/tropical

Short, medium,

Brazil, Bulgaria, Chile,

events

hurricane, a tornado, heavy rain, and storms (including hail)

long term

Indonesia, Georgia, Peru,

Panama

Chronic climate change

Change in precipitation patterns (e.g., heavy rain, drought),

Long term

Brazil, Bulgaria, Chile, Peru,

temperature increase, sea-level rise

Panama

In the chronological categories, we distinguish between a short- term (up to three years), a medium-term (four to ten years), and a long-term time frame (11 to 30 years). We also divide the physical risks in the table above into acute extreme weather events and chronic climate shifts.

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Introduction

Governance

Strategy

Risk Management

Metrics and Targets

Climate risk analysis for Aurubis sites and suppliers

Our own sites

Suppliers

Avellino, Italy

Augusta,

Risk of extreme storms

(with hail)

state of Georgia,

United States

of America

Risk of extreme storms

(with hail) and hurricanes

Panama

Risk of extreme storms

(with thunderstorms)

Peru

Risk of extreme storms

(with hail)

Chile

Brazil

Risk of flash floods

Risk of extreme storms

(with thunderstorms)

Hamburg, Germany

Risk of (storm) flooding, river flooding, and storms

Pirdop, Bulgaria

Risk due of extreme storms (with hail)

Georgia

Risk of extreme storms (with hail)

Indonesia

Risk of

river flooding

The graphic shows the physical risks identified. To make the graphic more readable, it is limited to the Aurubis sites and suppliers with a medium or higher risk of possible damage due to climate-related natural disasters, primarily storms and flooding for the sites analyzed.

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Strategy

Risk Management

Metrics and Targets

Taking advantage of opportunities

Based on the risk analysis, Aurubis leverages opportunities as an ambitious first mover engaged in decarbonizing the global economy. The conditions for this role are good. At the end of 2019, Aurubis joined the UN Global Compact Business Ambition for 1.5°C, thereby expressing its commitment to developing science-basedCO2-reduction targets. The Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) validated these CO2-reduction targets in 2021, confirming that achieving our targets would contribute to limiting global warming to 1.5°C pursuant to the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Furthermore, Aurubis is a member of the German CEO Alliance for Climate and Economy (Stiftung KlimaWirtschaft).

We anticipate strong demand for our metals to facilitate the success of the energy transition in Europe as part of the EU Green Deal and for global decarbonization projects. With a number of strategic projects, we have positioned ourselves for this rise in demand and set extensive growth targets with our Metals for Progress: Driving Sustainable Growth strategy. Here we have placed particular emphasis on expanding our recycling activities, including investments in our new recycling plant in Augusta, Georgia (US). With this strategic step into the North American market, we aim to realize additional earnings potential for Aurubis, while actively conserving resources and the climate by returning highly valuable metals from complex recycling materials to the economic cycle. A detailed description of our measures and targets related to recycling solutions is available in our current Non-Financial Report.

www.aurubis.com/en/responsibility/reporting-kpis-and-esg-ratings

Our Industrial Heat project is another important initiative. Today, district heating in Hamburg is still mainly supplied using fossil fuels. We have been providing heat to the HafenCity East quarter since 2018. Starting in 2024/25, we plan to significantly boost our heat supply in the context of converting a sub-process of copper production. Our industrial heat will then be available to heat 20,000 households, preventing up to 100,000 t of CO2 annually ("avoided emissions"), further shrinking our carbon footprint in the Life Cycle Assessment pursuant to ISO 14040, which is already more than 60 % below the global average for copper cathodes. In addition, we continue to work towards reducing our absolute CO2 emissions (Scope

1 and 2) by 50 % by 2030 and to make our production climate- neutral well before 2050.

We see another "avoided emissions" opportunity in our integrated smelter network: Along with copper, gold, silver, platinum, palladium, additional precious metals, and building materials such as iron silicate stone are also recovered in copper production. If produced by other companies using alternative processes, the additional metals would generate significantly higher CO2 emissions. Aurubis doesn't generate these emissions due to our energy-efficient processes and the advantages of the smelter network. As a result, the metals we produce (including copper) have a very small CO2 footprint.

The company's internal 10 MW Aurubis-1 solar park at the Aurubis site in Pirdop (Bulgaria) represents yet another measure to reduce our CO2 footprint. It came on stream at the end of 2021. It is currently the largest solar plant for in-house electricity production for a company in Bulgaria and comprises over 20,000 solar panels on a remediated and recultivated 100,000 m2 landfill. The site's goal is to cover 20 % of its total energy needs from renewable sources by 2030. Two expansion phases for the solar plant are currently being implemented for this purpose. The first expansion phase (Aurubis-2) will have 7.6 MW of power, and the additional expansion phase (Aurubis-3) 6.0 MW. The construction work is scheduled to conclude in late March 2024. For all three plants combined, we expect an annual CO2 reduction of 34,000 t.

Up to

100,000 t of CO2

savings through future use of our industrial heat

-50 %

Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions by 2030

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Governance

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Risk Management

Metrics and Targets

Identifying and managing risks

Each Aurubis site is responsible for managing any identified climate risks - as with all other risks - and mitigating them with suitable measures as part of a risk management system.

Below is a selection of the most important measures for limiting climate-related risks at our largest sites. Some of them have already been implemented or incorporated in investment planning.

i

  • Hamburg (risk: flooding due to storms): Investment in the construction of new flood protection systems is required. Aurubis will start the new construction in a larger investment project starting around 2035.
  • Pirdop (risk: hailstorms; increasing drought
    periods long-term): Investments have already been made in hail-resistant solar modules. Investments are regularly made in the plant's water supply infrastructure.
  • Augusta (risk: tropical storms, tornadoes with hail and heavy rain; heatwaves long- term): Plant facilities and buildings are being constructed to withstand the anticipated wind speeds. Furthermore, emergency generators are on hand in case of unforeseen power outages, and employee air conditioning was included in construction. The additional costs of these measures were included the construction costs.

Not all risks can be fully eliminated with early and economically feasible measures, however, which is why we also have extensive insurance protection for a number of these possible damaging circumstances or operational interruptions.

Analyzing climate scenarios

We have closely reviewed the resilience of our business model and our strategy, taking different climate scenarios into account. These scenarios (referred to as Representative Concentration Pathways, or RCPs) were developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We considered two specific scenarios: a 1.5°C scenario (RCP 2.6) and a 4°C scenario (RCP 8.5), each for the year 2050. The 1.5°C scenario envisions a reduction in emissions to net zero by 2050 in accordance with the Paris Agreement on Climate Change, i.e., ambitious reduction efforts. In contrast, no significant efforts to mitigate the progression of climate change are assumed in a 4°C scenario.

i

Aurubis counters transition risks, particularly technological and political risks, with a package of site-specific and Group-wide measures:

  • Technological risks and reputational risks of decarbonization: Every site is responsible
    for its own CO2 emissions (Scope 1 and 2) and for outlining an appropriate decarbonization road map to achieve the Group-wide target of climate-neutral production well before 2050. In this process, Group Sustainability coordinates the road maps across the Group and ensures that they are integrated into company planning and the Group strategy.
  • Political risks: We are addressing the high energy prices in Europe and especially in Germany, which are expected to continue rising due to the energy transition, by pushing for the introduction of an internationally competitive industry electricity price so that the decarbonization road maps previously mentioned can be implemented on the basis of stable and competitive general conditions. At the same time, we are advocating for the recognition of carbon-free industrial heat recovery for the district heating supply in the context of the EU-ETS (European emissions trading system) or alternative compensation mechanisms.

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Introduction

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Risk Management

Metrics and Targets

1.5°C scenario - RCP 2.6 (and IEA NZE 2050)

4°C scenario - RCP 8.5

Methodology:

  • Due to certain similarities in the approach, we use the NZE 2050 Scenario of the IEA (International Energy Agency) in addition to Representative Concentration Pathway RCP 2.6; NZE 2050 stands for Net Zero Emissions by 2050 and can be used for approximation purposes as a reference scenario for the European Union's Green Deal, which calls for compliance with the Paris Agreement
  • Limiting the global temperature increase to 1.5°C by 2100 (as established in the Paris Agreement)
  • Global CO2 emissions reach a level of net zero by 2050
  • Developed national economies reach the net zero target before less-developed national economies
  • Expectation of drastic and non-linear political adaptation measures to achieve the net zero target, which will in turn have the following impacts:
    • Rising CO2 price up to US$ 250/t in 2050
    • Falling commodity prices for fossil fuels such as oil, gas and coal - but at a high price level
    • Introduction of systems comparable to the European ETS in many additional countries (including the US, China)
    • Subsidies to promote the green energy transformation, for example the US Inflation Reduction Act
    • Global decarbonization efforts will trigger a significant increase in demand for the metals required for the green energy transition such as copper and nickel, and this demand will be met by a slowly developing supply from the opening of new mining deposits, with rising metal prices as a result
  • The development of mining deposits will be restricted/ limited due primarily to (Western) society's increasing focus on sustainability (environmental protection, human rights as recognized in Germany's Act on Corporate Due Diligence Obligations in Supply Chains (LkSG) and the EU's Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD))
  • The previous two points will lead to stronger political sup- port for recycling activities, at least in the Western hemi- sphere (see the US Critical Minerals Act, which recently added copper to the list of critical and strategically important metals for the energy transformation)

Results:

  • We described the physical and transition risks in the preceding section. Strategy, page 4
  • Opportunities in this scenario include the projects mentioned above to expand our recycling activities, especially in Augusta, but also the Industrial Heat project
  • The entire Aurubis smelter network would probably benefit in the long term from the significant metal price increases expected in this scenario because of the company's metal gain, but also from the anticipated increased refining charges for scrap and recycling materials

Methodology:

  • A further increase in global CO2 emissions by 2050 compared to today, with fossil fuels making up the majority of the energy supply
  • An increase of more than 4.1°C in the average global temperature by 2100 compared to the pre-industrial age
  • Global climate crisis with heatwaves, forest fires and wildfires, droughts and shortages of clean, potable water on the one hand, and flooding due to sea level rise and more tropical cyclones on the other
  • Rising number of regional crises, but also global geopolitical conflicts triggered by clashes over the distribution of scarce water and food resources due to the climate crisis
  • Global migration waves from climate crisis locations and geopolitical conflicts
  • The climate crisis leads to a reduction in global assets due to natural disasters coupled with a strong decline in insurance coverage
  • The result is decreasing global GDP

Results:

  • This scenario holds increased physical climate risks for our sites, which are accompanied by a lower level of insurance protection
  • Global climate crisis, geopolitical conflicts, migration waves, and lower global GDP with (currently unquantifiable/unscalable) risks for our business model/our strategy
  • In this scenario, there is no transformation towards a climate- neutral society and as such identifiable transition risks
  • No discernible opportunities for our business model or our strategy

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Risk Management

Metrics and Targets

Evaluation

In our assessment, opportunities are predominantly present in the RCP 2.6/NZE 2050 scenario, especially in the long- term view. In the short and medium term, we will mitigate the transition risks in particular by consistently implementing our strategic targets, for instance those related to decarbonization.

In contrast, we don't see any workable opportunities for our business model in the RCP 8.5 scenario, while the physical risks to our sites would increase. The potential impacts and risks of the climate crisis for the global economy and society cannot be predicted from today's perspective.

This scenario analysis reinforces our view that we have embarked on the right path in aligning our strategy with the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Only two extreme scenarios (adherence to the Paris Agreement vs. no efforts to mitigate climate change) were analyzed. In reality, future developments could lie somewhere between these two scenarios.

Scenario analysis for the development of physical risks at our sites

Risk

Impact on our sites

Explanation

2050 RCP 2.6

2050 RCP 8.5

2023

(1.5°C)

(4°C)

Heat stress

While currently only 6 % of the sites are considered at moderate risk from heat

stress for a 1.5°C scenario in 2050, the proportion increases to 35 % for a 4°C

scenario. The site in Augusta, Georgia (US), is the most affected by heat stress.

Forest fires/wildfires

Based on a 1.5°C scenario, the percentage of sites at risk of wildfires differs

little from current levels. For a 4°C scenario, the wildfire/bushfire risk increases

at 12 sites still classified as low risk in 2022.

Heavy rainfall

Currently, 18 % of the sites are at moderate or elevated risk of heavy rainfall.

This proportion rises to 24 % in 2050 for both scenarios since the Berango (ES)

site would additionally be exposed to moderate risk.

Drought

For a 1.5°C scenario, only the site in Pirdop (BG) will be subject to a moderate

risk of drought in 2050. For a 4°C scenario, however, 29 % of the sites will be at

moderate or increased risk of drought.

Fluvial flooding

1

The Hamburg (DE) site is particularly affected by a high risk of river flooding.

Based on a 2.6°C scenario,¹ the Berango (ES) site and for a 4°C scenario the

Stolberg (DE) site would also be subject to a moderate or elevated risk of river

flooding.

Sea level rise

2

2

Rising sea levels pose an increased risk for the Aurubis Hamburg (DE) site in

both a 1.5°C scenario and a 4°C scenario in 2100.2

Tropical storms

1

For both a 2.6°C scenario1 and a 4°C scenario, the Aurubis sites in Augusta,

Georgia (US), and Buffalo (US) would be at a low risk of tropical storms.

no danger

very low

low

moderate

high

very high

  1. RCP 4.5 (2.6°C scenario) used because no RCP 2.6 (1.5°C scenario) is available.
  2. Mapped for 2100 since no data is availalbe for 2050.

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Introduction

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Metrics and Targets

Risk Management

In this chapter, we describe the Aurubis risk management system, which fully considers climate-related risks and their management.

Our objective with risk management is to manage and monitor the risks associated with our business with the help of a risk management system (RMS) suited to our activities. The early identification and monitoring of risk development is extremely important. Furthermore, we strive to limit the negative effects of risks on earnings by implementing appropriate and economically sound measures.

Risk management is an integral component of the centralized and decentralized planning, management and monitoring processes and covers all of the Aurubis Group's main sites, business sectors, and central functions. The planning and management system, risk reporting, open communication culture, and risk reviews at the sites create risk awareness and transparency with regard to our risk situation, and promote our risk culture.

Risk management officers have been appointed for all sites, business sectors, and central functions, and they form a network within the Group. The Group headquarters manages the network. In addition to the risk management officer, the Aurubis Group has established a Corporate Risk Management function. The RMS is documented in a corporate policy.

Standard risk reporting takes place bottom-up each quarter using a consistent, Group-wide reporting format. It explains the risks identified, along with risks that exceed a defined threshold. The likelihood of their occurrence and the extent of the damage they could cause are evaluated, and instruments and measures used to manage them are outlined. The risks registered with Group headquarters are assessed, qualitatively aggregated into significant risk clusters by Corporate Risk Management, and reported to the entire Executive Board. The resulting risk portfolio deliberately includes climate risks and creates the basis for the report to the Audit Committee as well as external risk reporting.

In addition to the risk management system described above, in which every site is responsible for its own specific risks, there is an annual process at Aurubis to prepare a strategic risk portfolio with a time frame of up to 30 years. This strategic risk portfolio includes climate-related risks as well as measures already underway or that will be initiated, and this portfolio is discussed in detail with the Executive Board and Audit Committee.

The climate risk and scenario analysis outlined in the previous section is based on the following process: For the climate risk analysis, we examined the 17 Aurubis sites and the sites of our key concentrate suppliers. For this purpose, we acquired a license for the Location Risk Intelligence Tool offered by MunichRe. One component of our scenario analysis was chronic changes to the climate.

As part of the climate risk analysis, we analyzed the Aurubis sites and the countries where the sites of our biggest concentrate suppliers are located on the basis of the Natural Hazards Assessment Network (NATHAN) risk score. The NATHAN risk score is grounded in data for various climate risks such as storms and flooding and helps to improve estimates of the risks concerning climate-related natural disasters.

The scenario analysis, presented in a simplified form in the "Strategy" section, considers the development of physical risks for different points of time and for different RCPs.

Strategy, page 4

The introduction of TCFD reporting represents a significant expansion of how physical climate risks have been mapped to date, as it is the first analysis of our sites (and key suppliers) with relation to the warming scenarios described above. We will specifically take the information gleaned in the process into account in our long-term investment planning, among other things.

We recently significantly expanded our mapping of physical climate risks.

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Aurubis AG published this content on 19 December 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 20 December 2023 09:20:38 UTC.