Projected Income Statement: Asia Aviation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 39,780 42,957 41,777 7,833 7,893 605 280 -879
Change - 7.99% -2.75% -81.25% 0.77% -92.33% -53.72% -413.93%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 24/02/23 22/02/24 25/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 99.6 596.4 - 346.2 516.6 7,294 6,254 6,798
Change - 498.83% - - 49.22% 1,311.91% -14.26% 8.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -4,447 -32.42 5,937 7,090 9,188 4,434 5,090 4,458
Change - 99.27% 18,414.28% 19.4% 29.6% -51.75% 14.82% -12.42%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 24/02/23 22/02/24 25/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -200.72% -5.14% 15.65% 21.84% 22.43% 13.01% 17.3% 15.96%
EBIT Margin (%) -309.54% -48.29% 3.55% 13.55% 11.75% 0.87% 6.11% 6.92%
EBT Margin (%) -357.82% -60.76% 1.28% 8.46% 6.24% -4.32% 1.96% 4.36%
Net margin (%) -173.63% -45.75% 1.13% 7.04% 5.11% -4.54% 1.72% 2.96%
FCF margin (%) -116.15% -0.18% 14.4% 14.34% 20.11% 9.14% 9.96% 8.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.89% 0.4% 1,274.63% 203.85% 393.28% -201.45% 578.68% 281.95%

Profitability

        
ROA -9.55% -11.82% 0.7% 4.86% 3.1% -1.8% 1.68% 3.15%
ROE -51.57% -57.04% 5.69% 35.15% 18.7% -15.89% 7.12% 10.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -5.18x -47.65x 6.47x 0.73x 0.77x 0.1x 0.03x -
Debt / Free cash flow -8.95x -1,325.03x 7.04x 1.1x 0.86x 0.14x 0.06x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.6% 3.4% - 0.7% 1.13% 15.04% 12.24% 12.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -1.3% -66.16% - 3.21% 5.04% 115.58% 70.74% 79.73%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -2.24% -1,839.73% - 4.88% 5.62% 164.53% 122.86% 152.49%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.8392 0.0486 0.5076 0.5808 0.7552 0.365 0.495 0.59
Change - 105.79% 944.29% 14.41% 30.03% -51.67% 35.62% 19.19%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.0133 0.025
Change - - - - - - - 87.55%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.045 0.6539 0.6844 0.8856 1.055 0.91 0.9614 1.11
Change - -68.02% 4.67% 29.39% 19.13% -13.74% 5.65% 15.45%
EPS 1 -1.283 -0.6921 0.0379 0.2707 0.1818 -0.1674 0.0687 0.1243
Change - 46.07% 105.48% 614.25% -32.84% -192.07% 141.02% 81.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 98,78,571 1,21,64,286 1,28,50,000 1,28,50,000 1,28,50,000 1,28,50,000 1,28,50,000 1,28,50,000
Announcement Date 24/02/22 24/02/23 22/02/24 25/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -5.2x 12.7x
PBR 0.96x 0.9x
EV / Sales 0.24x 0.22x
Yield - 1.53%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
0.8700THB
Average target price
1.115THB
Spread / Average Target
+28.11%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. AAV Stock
  4. Financials Asia Aviation
-40%: Exceptional extension
d
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