Projected Income Statement: Antofagasta plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Antofagasta plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -541 886 1,160 1,629 2,750 3,188 2,778 1,405
Change - 263.77% 30.93% 40.43% 68.82% 15.95% -12.86% -49.42%
Announcement Date 22/02/22 21/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Antofagasta plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,778 1,879 2,129 2,415 3,684 3,371 2,201 1,758
Change - 5.72% 13.3% 13.42% 52.57% -8.51% -34.7% -20.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,893 -2.3 203.8 -133.6 -612.9 1,046 2,189 3,539
Change - -100.12% 8,960.87% -165.55% -358.76% 270.62% 109.3% 61.69%
Announcement Date 22/02/22 21/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Antofagasta plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 64.74% 49.98% 48.81% 51.82% 60.34% 65.31% 64.71% 65.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 48.71% 28.7% 27.98% 24.76% 39.14% 46.68% 44.31% 46.2%
EBT Margin (%) 46.55% 43.65% 31.08% 31.32% 36.65% 44.37% 43.99% 45.65%
Net margin (%) 17.27% 26.15% 13.2% 12.54% 15.42% 16.68% 16.22% 17.84%
FCF margin (%) 25.34% -0.04% 3.22% -2.02% -7.11% 10.61% 21.03% 29.59%
FCF / Net Income (%) 146.69% -0.15% 24.4% -16.11% -46.12% 63.59% 129.67% 165.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.62% 3.31% 3.75% 2.93% 5.2% 4.89% 5.01% 6.5%
ROE 16.03% 18.06% 8.08% 6.73% 12.85% 15.26% 15.11% 16.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.3x 0.38x 0.48x 0.53x 0.5x 0.41x 0.18x
Debt / Free cash flow - -385.13x 5.69x -12.19x -4.49x 3.05x 1.27x 0.4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 23.79% 32.06% 33.67% 36.52% 42.74% 34.2% 21.16% 14.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.75% 64.14% 68.97% 70.47% 70.83% 52.37% 32.69% 22.43%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 93.92% -81,704.35% 1,044.75% -1,807.56% -601.16% 322.37% 100.58% 49.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.723 1.904 2.366 2.318 3.116 4.052 4.404 4.795
Change - -48.86% 24.3% -2.04% 34.41% 30.04% 8.71% 8.87%
Dividend per Share 1 1.425 0.597 0.36 0.314 0.646 0.7508 0.7585 0.9925
Change - -58.11% -39.7% -12.78% 105.73% 16.22% 1.03% 30.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.47 8.751 9.08 9.598 10.52 11.27 12.18 13.4
Change - 3.32% 3.76% 5.7% 9.6% 7.16% 8.01% 10.08%
EPS 1 1.309 1.555 0.847 0.841 1.348 1.692 1.712 2.154
Change - 18.79% -45.53% -0.71% 60.29% 25.52% 1.2% 25.78%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,85,857 9,85,857 9,85,857 9,85,857 9,85,857 9,85,857 9,85,857 9,85,857
Announcement Date 22/02/22 21/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 30.4x 30x
PBR 4.56x 4.22x
EV / Sales 5.46x 5.14x
Yield 1.46% 1.48%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
51.39USD
Average target price
47.58USD
Spread / Average Target
-7.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  3. ANTO Stock
  4. Financials Antofagasta plc