Projected Income Statement: AirAsia Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: AirAsia Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 13,479 15,472 17,393 22,982 1,147 - - 603
Change - 14.79% 12.42% 32.13% -95.01% - - -
Announcement Date 29/03/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AirAsia Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 172.2 27.18 26.73 272.4 206 200 150 65
Change - -84.21% -1.66% 919.19% -24.38% -2.92% -25% -56.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,324 -362.4 -14.67 774.3 3,138 - - 314.2
Change - 84.4% 95.95% 5,378.45% 305.23% -100% - -
Announcement Date 29/03/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AirAsia Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -22.15% -107.5% 5.46% 13.6% -44.28% 17.52% 15.28% 14.78%
EBIT Margin (%) -94.93% -283.27% -17.05% 1.9% -51.1% 9.52% 9.24% 9.34%
EBT Margin (%) -196.31% -378.04% -47.97% 3.61% -64.16% 2.93% 2.28% 3.21%
Net margin (%) -179.18% -312.88% -37.54% 5.67% -31.72% 3.06% 3.33% 3.29%
FCF margin (%) -81.7% -36.36% -0.22% 5.24% 209.5% - - 1.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.6% 11.62% 0.59% 92.52% -660.45% - - 36.55%

Profitability

        
ROA -15.61% -14.4% -9.84% 3.5% -1.64% 2.93% 4.8% 5.33%
ROE -217.8% 127.58% - - - - 26.35% 23.65%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -21.4x -14.44x 48.2x 11.44x -1.73x - - 0.16x
Debt / Free cash flow -5.8x -42.69x -1,185.65x 29.68x 0.37x - - 1.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.05% 2.73% 0.4% 1.84% 13.75% 0.89% 0.62% 0.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -27.33% -2.54% 7.41% 13.56% -31.07% 5.09% 4.06% 1.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -7.41% -7.5% -182.22% 35.18% 6.57% - - 20.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.6438 -0.0892 0.00298 0.2501 0.7801 1.7 1.7 -
Change - 86.15% 103.34% 8,292.62% 211.92% 117.92% 0% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 -0.37 -0.8 -1.425 -2.081 -2.04 -2.2 -2 -1.7
Change - -116.22% -78.11% -46.07% 1.98% -7.84% 9.09% 15%
EPS 1 -1.525 -0.83 -0.612 0.2 -0.111 0.1702 0.1975 0.2
Change - 45.57% 26.27% 132.68% -155.5% 253.38% 16.01% 1.27%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 33,41,974 38,98,053 41,61,793 42,54,582 43,30,434 44,60,311 44,60,311 44,60,311
Announcement Date 29/03/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1MYR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 3.47x 2.99x
PBR -0.27x -0.3x
EV / Sales 0.12x 0.11x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
0.5900MYR
Average target price
0.9036MYR
Spread / Average Target
+53.16%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 5099 Stock
  4. Financials AirAsia Group