Projected Income Statement: AB Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -50,400 -61,300 -66,700 -67,200 -48,400 -55,093 -59,578 -73,562
Change - -21.63% -8.81% -0.75% 27.98% -13.83% -8.14% -23.47%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 18,117 20,456 23,387 17,904 25,460 22,799 21,623 23,749
Change - 12.91% 14.33% -23.44% 42.2% -10.45% -5.16% 9.83%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 15,530 12,788 11,130 28,540 20,135 35,476 40,009 43,534
Change - -17.66% -12.97% 156.42% -29.45% 76.19% 12.78% 8.81%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.05% 15.04% 17.89% 16.75% 15.59% 15.71% 16.63% 17.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.02% 10.66% 14.05% 12.47% 10.69% 11.56% 12.52% 12.91%
EBT Margin (%) 11.6% 9.52% 12.07% 12.76% 9.89% 11.5% 12.4% 12.89%
Net margin (%) 8.81% 6.91% 9.01% 9.56% 7.19% 8.83% 9.54% 9.84%
FCF margin (%) 4.17% 2.7% 2.01% 5.42% 4.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) 47.37% 39.08% 22.34% 56.64% 58.44% 82.62% 80.67% 80.35%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.39% 5.72% 8.95% 7.16% 5.35% 7.16% 7.97% 7.87%
ROE 21.79% 23.83% 34.26% 26.74% 19.57% 23.36% 24.79% 25.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.87% 4.32% 4.23% 3.4% 5.31% 4.69% 4.16% 4.31%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.33% 28.73% 23.66% 20.28% 34.08% 29.85% 25.01% 25.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 116.66% 159.96% 210.13% 62.73% 126.45% 64.27% 54.05% 54.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.55 16.35 13.12 22.85 22.43 28.01 29.28 34.98
Change - -1.2% -19.76% 74.15% -1.85% 24.9% 4.53% 19.48%
Dividend per Share 1 13 14 18 18.5 13 15.6 17.87 19.03
Change - 7.69% 28.57% 2.78% -29.73% 20% 14.58% 6.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 69.36 80.03 87.45 95.4 87.7 95.28 103.3 110.8
Change - 15.39% 9.28% 9.09% -8.07% 8.65% 8.38% 7.25%
EPS 1 16.12 16.09 24.5 24.78 16.94 21.23 24.12 25.91
Change - -0.19% 52.27% 1.14% -31.64% 25.32% 13.61% 7.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.5x 13.6x
PBR 3.45x 3.18x
EV / Sales 1.26x 1.17x
Yield 4.75% 5.44%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
328.30SEK
Average target price
334.58SEK
Spread / Average Target
+1.91%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise