The timing appears opportune to go long in shares of Trigano as we anticipate another pick-up in the underlying trend.
Summary
● The company has strong fundamentals. More than 70% of companies have a lower mix of growth, profitability, debt and visibility.
● The company presents an interesting fundamental situation from a short-term investment perspective.
Strengths
● The company is in a robust financial situation considering its net cash and margin position.
● The equity is one of the most attractive in the market with regard to earnings multiple-based valuation.
● The company is one of the most undervalued, with an "enterprise value to sales" ratio at 0.57 for the 2023 fiscal year.
● The company has a low valuation given the cash flows generated by its activity.
● Analysts have consistently raised their revenue expectations for the company, which provides good prospects for the current and next years in terms of revenue growth.
● Analysts have a positive opinion on this stock. Average consensus recommends overweighting or purchasing the stock.
● The average target price set by analysts covering the stock is above current prices and offers a tremendous appreciation potential.
● The opinion of analysts covering the stock has improved over the past four months.
● Over the past twelve months, analysts' opinions have been strongly revised upwards.
● Predictions on business development from analysts polled by Standard & Poor's are tight. This results from either a good visibility into core activities or accurate earnings releases.
● Historically, the company has been releasing figures that are above expectations.
Weaknesses
● The company's earnings growth outlook lacks momentum and is a weakness.
● For the last twelve months, sales expectations have been significantly downgraded, which means that less important sales volumes are expected for the current fiscal year over the previous period.
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Trigano specializes in the design, manufacturing, and marketing of leisure vehicles and equipment. Net sales break down by family of products and services as follows:
- leisure vehicles (94.5%): motor-homes (78.2% of net sales; Europe's No. 1 automaker; 48,400 vehicles sold in 2022/23; Trigano, Challenger, Autostar, Arca, Chausson, Roller Team, Eura-Mobil, Karmann-Mobil brands, etc.), caravans (7.9%; 14,300 units; Sterckeman and Caravelair), mobile-homes (3.6%; 4,500 units; Résidences Trigano) and other (1.8%). The group also offers vehicle equipment (8.5%; refrigerators, kitchen appliances, screen porches, etc.; Camping-Profi, Euro Accessoires, Clairval, etc.) as well as leasing and financing services;
- leisure equipment (5.5%): primarily trailers (112,100 trailers sold in 2022/23; Erca, Sorel, Trelgo brands, etc.), garden equipment (swings, garden sheds, swimming pools; Abak, Amca, Yardmaster), and campsite equipment (tents, caravan awnings; Jamet, Plisson, etc.).
Net sales are distributed geographically as follows: France (32.6%), Germany (24%), the United Kingdom (10.7%), Italy (6.5%), Belgium (4.6%), Spain (4.2%), the Netherlands (3.6%), Sweden (3.1%), Switzerland (1.5%), Denmark (1.3%), Norway (1.1%) and other (6.8%).