Strong recovery in Q4-21 owing to post-Deltapent-up demand and export windfall from strong commodity prices.
Omicron a concern due to rapid spread, but combo of low hospitalization/mortality rates, herd immunity, and vaccination should reduce impact towards mobility.
Inflation remains mild (1.87%) compared to global, but may rise in 2022 as the economy recovers.
Bank Indonesia is expected to start normalizing policy in the H2-2022, in line with tighter global monetary policy outlook. Strong trade surplus remains a buffer against capital outflow risk.
Q4-20
Q4-21
Real GDP
-2.19%
3.51%*
CPI
1.68%**
1.87%**
BI 7-D Rate
4.00%
3.50%
USD/IDR
14,050**
14,263**
CA (% of GDP)
-0.42%
0.17%*
Source: Bank
*) Q3-21 number **) Dec YoY
Indonesia
Analyst Meeting FY-21
Always by your side
Inflation and BI Rates (%)
7%
BI 7-day (Reverse) Repo Rate
6%
5.75
6.00
5.50
5.25
5.00
5%
4.75
4.75
4.50
4.37
4.25
Inflation
4.00
3.83
4%
3.45
3.72
3.75
3.50
3.50
3.41
3.49
3.23
3.20
2.96
3%
2.79
2.48
2.68
1.96
1.87
2%
1.68
1.68 1.60
1%
1.32
1.33
Jun-16
Feb-17
Oct-17
Jun-18
Feb-19
Oct-19
Jun-20
Feb-21
Dec-21
Source: Bank Indonesia
Rupiah/USD
17,000
16,575
16,000
15,235
15,000
14,938
14,890
14,565
14,525
14,493
14,209
14,000
13,964
13,661
13,565
13,609
13,853
14,263
13,878 13,895
13,265
13,920
13,000
13,256
13,289
13,583
13,057
12,955
13,156
12,000
Jan-16Aug-16Feb-17
Oct-17May-18Feb-19Oct-19Jul-20Mar-21
Dec-21
Source: Bloomberg
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk
3
Banking sector: growth continues
Banking Sector Financial Summary
Always by your side
Loans expanded 3.2% YoY, supported by working capital and consumer lending.
Liquidity remains ample: Deposits rose 9.4% YoY, LDR at 78.3%.
Gov't stimulus in 2021 amounting to Rp 659 T, boosting deposit growth and demand for auto loans/mortgages. Stimulus reduced to Rp 451 T, auto incentives to continue in 2022.
Transaction activity grew strongly alongside recovery (BCA Consumer Txn Index* +30.0% YoY, BCA Business Txn Index* +19.1%). Also in line with industry data (RTGS +35.7% YoY, clearing +23.2%).
Asset quality remains stable, NPL ratio at 3.2%. OJK restructuring relaxation policy is extended to Mar-23.
CAR stood at 25.3%.
(Rp trillion)
Oct-20
Dec-20
Oct-21
∆YoY
∆YtD
Total Assets
9,074
9,178
9,824
8.3%
7.0%
Total Loans
5,480
5,482
5,658
3.2%
3.2%
Third Party Funds
6,620
6,665
7,245
9.4%
8.7%
CASA
3,753
3,861
4,355
16.1%
12.8%
Current Accounts
1,701
1,687
2,037
19.7%
20.8%
Savings Accounts
2,051
2,174
2,318
13.0%
6.7%
Time Deposits
2,867
2,805
2,890
0.8%
3.0%
Net Profit
92.6
104.7
118.0
27.4%
n.a
NIM
4.4%
4.4%
4.6%
20bp
20bp
LDR
83.1%
82.5%
78.3%
-480bp
-420bp
NPL
3.2%
3.1%
3.2%
0bp
10bp
CAR
23.8%
23.9%
25.3%
150bp
140bp
Source: OJK
* Source: BCA Big Data
Analyst Meeting FY-21
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk
4
Agenda
Macroeconomy & banking industry highlights
BCA FY21 performance overview
Sustainability finance and ESG
Share data, ratings & awards
Always by your side
Analyst Meeting FY-21
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk
5
This is an excerpt of the original content. To continue reading it, access the original document here.
Attachments
Original Link
Original Document
Permalink
Disclaimer
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk published this content on 24 January 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 January 2023 10:26:04 UTC.
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (the Bank) is an Indonesia-based commercial bank. The Bankâs segments include Transaction Banking, Corporate Banking, Commercial & Small & Medium Enterprise (SME) Banking, Individual Banking, and Treasury and International Banking. The Bank offers various products and services, which include cash management services, credit cards, bancassurance products, mutual fund investment products, treasury investment products, credit facilities, standby letter of credit/bank guarantees, export import facilities, local letter of credit and foreign exchange facilities. It has operations in Sumatera, Java, Kalimantan, East Indonesia and Overseas operations. Its subsidiaries include PT BCA Finance, BCA Finance Limited, PT Bank BCA Syariah, PT BCA Sekuritas, PT Asuransi Umum BCA, PT BCA Multi Finance, PT Asuransi Jiwa BCA, PT Central Capital Ventura and PT Bank Digital BCA.