Projected Income Statement: Merck & Co., Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Merck & Co., Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 25,006 17,499 27,962 23,869 34,774 36,379 23,922 6,933
Change - -30.02% 59.79% -14.64% 45.69% 4.62% -34.24% -71.02%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Merck & Co., Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,448 4,388 3,863 3,372 4,112 3,609 3,694 3,523
Change - -1.35% -11.96% -12.71% 21.95% -12.24% 2.38% -4.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,674 14,707 9,143 18,096 12,360 11,714 22,827 25,086
Change - 69.55% -37.83% 97.92% -31.7% -5.22% 94.86% 9.89%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Merck & Co., Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 42.93% 44.58% 16.77% 43.47% 50.17% 24.61% 48.12% 48.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 36.33% 37.99% 10.33% 36.46% 41.19% 17.71% 40.78% 41.93%
EBT Margin (%) 28.5% 27.74% 3.14% 31.07% 32.41% 9.7% 35.16% 37.39%
Net margin (%) 26.79% 24.49% 0.61% 26.68% 28.08% 8.31% 29.05% 30.87%
FCF margin (%) 17.81% 24.81% 15.21% 28.2% 19.01% 17.52% 32.47% 33.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.47% 101.29% 2,504.93% 105.72% 67.71% 210.85% 111.76% 107.31%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.23% 17.69% 3.56% 17.38% 17.73% 2.41% 15.13% 16.62%
ROE 41.1% 45.16% 9.18% 46.35% 45.52% 10.95% 44.27% 43.11%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.2x 0.66x 2.77x 0.86x 1.07x 2.21x 0.71x 0.19x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.88x 1.19x 3.06x 1.32x 2.81x 3.11x 1.05x 0.28x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.13% 7.4% 6.43% 5.25% 6.33% 5.4% 5.25% 4.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 21.27% 16.6% 38.31% 12.09% 12.61% 21.94% 10.92% 9.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 51.28% 29.84% 42.25% 18.63% 33.27% 30.8% 16.18% 14.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.17 7.512 5.106 8.449 6.57 5.838 12.59 14.73
Change - 45.29% -32.02% 65.45% -22.23% -11.15% 115.59% 17.05%
Dividend per Share 1 2.64 2.8 2.96 3.12 3.28 3.33 3.463 3.674
Change - 6.06% 5.71% 5.41% 5.13% 1.54% 3.97% 6.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.11 18.12 14.84 18.29 21.03 19.7 23.76 28.89
Change - 19.96% -18.09% 23.22% 14.95% -6.32% 20.62% 21.62%
EPS 1 5.14 5.71 0.14 6.74 7.28 2.241 8.312 9.604
Change - 11.09% -97.55% 4,714.29% 8.01% -69.21% 270.85% 15.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 25,25,944 25,35,396 25,34,023 25,29,636 24,82,023 24,69,824 24,69,824 24,69,824
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 50.6x 13.6x
PBR 5.76x 4.78x
EV / Sales 4.74x 4.33x
Yield 2.94% 3.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
113.45USD
Average target price
129.74USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MRK Stock
  4. Financials Merck & Co., Inc.