Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A.
Update
Ratings
Foreign Currency
Long-Term IDR | BBB+ |
Short-Term IDR | F1 |
Key Rating Drivers
Parent Support: Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. (SBP)'s Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) and Shareholder Support Rating (SSR) are based on expected support from its parent, The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS; AA-/Stable). Fitch Ratings considers SBP a strategically important subsidiary for BNS, underpinning the bank's SSR of 'bbb+'. SBP's Local Currency (LC) IDR of 'A-' is two notches above Peru's Long-Term (LT) LC IDR of 'BBB' and one notch above Peru's Country Ceiling of 'BBB+', consistent with Fitch's criteria.
Challenging Operating Environment: SBP's Viability Rating (VR) is in line with the implied VR, which is underpinned by its solid business profile and capitalization. In Fitch's view, SBP's core financial metrics have sufficient headroom to maintain its current VR, even if economic conditions are moderately weaker than Fitch's base case due to external shocks or ongoing political and policy uncertainty.
Diversified Business Model: SBP has a diverse and stable business model, and its overall business is weighted toward traditional commercial banking and, increasingly, retail operations. Its reliance on volatile businesses is modest. Likewise, SBP is funded by roughly 50% corporate and 50% retail and, therefore, counts on a stable and diversified deposit base. SBP's business model has benefited from flight to quality under stressed environments.
Local Currency
Long-Term IDR | A- |
Short-Term IDR | F1 |
Viability Rating | bbb |
Shareholder Support Rating | bbb+ |
Sovereign Risk | |
Long-TermForeign-Currency | |
IDR | BBB |
Long-TermLocal-Currency IDR | BBB |
Country Ceiling | BBB+ |
Outlooks | |
Long-TermForeign-Currency | |
IDR | Negative |
Long-TermLocal-Currency IDR | Negative |
Sovereign Long-Term Foreign- | |
Currency IDR | Negative |
Sovereign Long-Term Local- | |
Currency IDR | Negative |
Stable Asset Quality: Fitch expects asset quality to remain stable over the near term due to the bank's cautious approach and conservative risk preference for secured portfolios, which should reduce the impact of a challenging operating environment (OE) in 2023. Fitch expects SBP's past-due loans to reach around 4% at YE 2023 (June 2023: 3.8%), and these loans are not expected to be a relevant source of risk over the rating horizon, as the bank has shown resilience throughout economic cycles.
Solid Operational Profits: SBP's profitability is underpinned by its risk appetite adjustments, good efficiency levels and solid business generation amid local political uncertainty. Fitch expects the bank's core metric of operating profit/risk-weighted assets (RWAs) at YE2023 to remain around the average of the last 4 years of 2.0%. Pressures on net interest margin (NIM) are expected to continue in 2H23, reflecting limited business growth and higher funding costs. A rise in impairment expenses and inflation will continue to weigh on operating expenses in 2023. SBP's operating profit/RWA ratio at 1H23 of 2.0% was lower than the Peruvian bank average of 3.0% in the same period.
Strong Capital Levels: Fitch views the bank's capital as strong considering its relatively ample loan loss reserves, good asset quality, recurrent earnings generation, adequate risk management and ordinary support. Limited asset growth and profit recovery continue underpinning an improvement in capitalization. Fitch expects SBP's Fitch Core Capital (FCC)/RWA to stabilize at around 14.9% over the next two years (June 2023: 15.7%), maintaining its capitalization score of 'bbb+', commensurate with its planned growth and financial performance. Fitch's capitalization assessment is a rating strength and supports the VR, as the assessment benefits highly from ordinary support from SBP's ultimate parent.
Rating Sensitivities
Applicable Criteria
Bank Rating Criteria (September 2023)
Related Research
The Bank of Nova Scotia (July 2023) Peru (May 2023)
Large Peruvian Banks - Peer Review (June 2023)
Analysts
Ricardo Aguilar
+52 81 4161 7086 ricardo.aguilar@fitchratings.com
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating | Sergio Pena |
+57 601 241 3233 | |
Action/Downgrade | |
sergio.pena@fitchratings.com | |
- A sovereign downgrade would result in similar rating actions on SBP's SSR, VR, and
Foreign Currency (FC) and LC IDRs, as Fitch rarely rates VRs above the sovereign or
Firmado Digitalmente por:
FRANCISCO GUILLERMO
RIVADENEIRA GASTAÑETA
Fecha: 16/10/2023 09:45:08 p.m. | ||
Update │ October 16, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 1 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
SSRs and FC IDRs above the Country Ceiling. Additionally, Fitch would maintain the one- notch difference between SBP's FC and LC IDRs.
- Although not likely over the rating horizon given the parent bank's Stable Outlook, under Fitch's current support assessment and absent a sovereign downgrade, a downgrade of BNS would reduce the notching from the parent toward a minimum of one notch. However, in the unlikely event of a downgrade of BNS's IDRs to the level of the sovereign or below, SBP's ratings would remain at the level determined by its own VR.
- Pressure on SBP's VR could arise from significant asset quality or profitability deterioration that erodes SBP's reserve and capital cushion, specifically operating profit/RWA sustained below its historical average of 2.0% and FCC ratio below 13%.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive Rating
Action/Upgrade
- A rating upgrade of SBP's IDRs, SSR or VR is unlikely over the rating horizon given the Negative Outlook on the sovereign's LT IDRs. Over the medium term, these ratings could be upgraded if the sovereign's ratings are upgraded.
Significant Changes from Last Review
On April 28, 2023, Fitch affirmed Peru's LT FC IDR at 'BBB' with a Negative Outlook. Downside credit risks to Peru's ratings remain elevated amid weakening of governance, political stability, and growth prospects.
The Negative Outlook on SBP's LT FC and LC IDRs mirrors the Outlook on Peru's LT IDRs.
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ||
Update │ October 16, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 2 |
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Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ESG Relevance: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratings Navigator | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating Environment | Financial Profile | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Business Profile | Risk Profile | Asset Quality | Earnings & Profitability | Capitalisation & Leverage | Funding & Liquidity | Implied Viability Rating | Viability Rating | Shareholder SupportRating | Issuer Default Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||
20% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 25% | 10% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
aaa | aaa | aaa | aaa | AAA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
aa+ | aa+ | aa+ | aa+ | AA+ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
aa | aa | aa | aa | AA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
aa- | aa- | aa- | aa- | AA- | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
a+ | a+ | a+ | a+ | A+ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
a | a | a | a | A | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
a- | a- | a- | a- | A- | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bbb+ | bbb+ | bbb+ | bbb+ bbb+ | BBBBB++ Neg | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bbb | bbb | bbb | bbb bbb | bbb | BBB | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bbb- | bbb- | bbb- | bbb- | BBB- | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bb+ | bb+ | bb+ | bb+ | BB+ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bb | bb | bb | bb | BB | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bb- | bb- | bb- | bb- | BB- | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
b+ | b+ | b+ | b+ | B+ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
b | b | b | b | B | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
b- | b- | b- | b- | B- | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ccc+ | ccc+ | ccc+ | ccc+ | CCC+ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ccc | ccc | ccc | ccc | CCC | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ccc- | ccc- | ccc- | ccc- | CCC- | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
cc | cc | cc | cc | CC | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
c | c | c | c | C | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
f | f | f | ns | D or RD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The Key Rating Driver (KRD) weightings used to determine the implied Viability Rating (VR) are shown as percentages at the top. In cases where the implied VR is adjusted upward or downward to arrive at the VR, the KRD associated with the adjustment reason is highlighted in red. The shaded areas indicate the benchmark-implied scores for each KRD.
VR -Adjustments to Key Rating Drivers
The OE score has been assigned above the implied score due to the following adjustment reasons: sovereign rating (positive) and macroeconomic stability (positive).
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ||
Update │ October 16, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 3 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Summary Financials and Key Ratios
June 30, 2023 | Dec. 31, 2022 | Dec. 31, 2021 | Dec. 31, 2020 | ||
6 Months - Interim | 6 Months - Interim | Year End | Year End | Year End | |
USD mil. | PEN mil. | PEN mil. | PEN mil. | PEN mil. | |
Not Disclosed | Not Disclosed | Not Disclosed | Unaudited | Unaudited | |
Summary Income Statement | |||||
Net Interest and Dividend Income | 492 | 1,782.1 | 3,488.1 | 3,181.2 | 4,130.2 |
Net Fees and Commissions | 70 | 252.3 | 614.6 | 617.7 | 532.5 |
Other Operating Income | 57 | 205.2 | 485.2 | 399.7 | 425.0 |
Total Operating Income | 618 | 2,239.6 | 4,587.9 | 4,198.6 | 5,087.7 |
Operating Costs | 265 | 961.3 | 1,822.3 | 1,976.7 | 2,022.7 |
Pre-Impairment Operating Profit | 353 | 1,278.3 | 2,765.6 | 2,221.9 | 3,065.0 |
Loan and Other Impairment Charges | 165 | 597.8 | 729.1 | 910.7 | 2,845.3 |
Operating Profit | 188 | 680.5 | 2,036.5 | 1,311.2 | 219.7 |
Other Non-Operating Items (Net) | 9 | 33.2 | -49.9 | 19.2 | 35.7 |
Tax | 46 | 167.6 | 570.7 | 298.3 | 3.0 |
Net Income | 151 | 546.1 | 1,415.9 | 1,032.1 | 252.4 |
Other Comprehensive Income | 67 | 241.2 | -94.1 | -416.1 | -118.6 |
Fitch Comprehensive Income | 217 | 787.3 | 1,321.8 | 616.0 | 133.8 |
Summary Balance Sheet | |||||
Assets | |||||
Gross Loans | 16,308 | 59,098.6 | 60,209.3 | 58,926.5 | 54,929.4 |
- of which impaired | 623 | 2,256.6 | 2,469.3 | 2,317.9 | 3,530.8 |
Loan Loss Allowances | 1,056 | 3,825.4 | 3,854.6 | 3,890.5 | 5,374.7 |
Net Loan | 15,252 | 55,273.2 | 56,354.7 | 55,036.0 | 49,554.7 |
Interbank | 223 | 806.9 | 233.9 | 661.6 | 474.5 |
Derivatives | 157 | 568.3 | 426.0 | 412.8 | 189.6 |
Other Securities and Earning Assets | 1,499 | 5,433.4 | 5,093.4 | 5,256.3 | 8,875.3 |
Total Earning Assets | 17,131 | 62,081.8 | 62,108.0 | 61,366.7 | 59,094.1 |
Cash and Due from Banks | 3,049 | 11,049.4 | 10,386.1 | 13,646.8 | 17,117.3 |
Other Assets | 1,125 | 4,078.2 | 3,142.2 | 3,870.3 | 3,792.7 |
Total Assets | 21,305 | 77,209.4 | 75,636.3 | 78,883.8 | 80,004.1 |
Liabilities | |||||
Customer Deposits | 12,227 | 44,311.4 | 43,710.6 | 47,237.6 | 48,575.2 |
Interbank and Other Short-Term Funding | 1,611 | 5,838.6 | 4,997.5 | 6,480.1 | 16,709.3 |
Other Long-Term Funding | 3,437 | 12,454.1 | 14,054.8 | 12,711.3 | 3,312.9 |
Trading Liabilities and Derivatives | 292 | 1,059.0 | 683.5 | 398.3 | 181.6 |
Total Funding and Derivatives | 17,567 | 63,663.1 | 63,446.4 | 66,827.3 | 68,779.0 |
Other Liabilities | 514 | 1,863.2 | 1,295.1 | 1,250.8 | 1,203.6 |
Preference Shares and Hybrid Capital | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Total Equity | 3,224 | 11,683.1 | 10,894.8 | 10,805.7 | 10,021.5 |
Total Liabilities and Equity | 21,305 | 77,209.4 | 75,636.3 | 78,883.8 | 80,004.1 |
Exchange Rate | USD1 = PEN3.624 | USD1 = PEN3.809 | USD1 = PEN3.9849 | USD1 = PEN3.62 | |
N.A. - Not applicable | |||||
Source: Fitch Ratings, Fitch Solutions, SBP | |||||
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ||
Update │ October 16, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 4 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Summary Financials and Key Ratios
June 30, 2023 | Dec. 31, 2022 | Dec. 31, 2021 | Dec. 31, 2020 | |
Ratios (annualized as appropriate) | ||||
Profitability | ||||
Operating Profit/Risk-Weighted Assets | 2.0 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
Net Interest Income/Average Earning Assets | 5.8 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 6.9 |
Non-Interest Expense/Gross Revenue | 43.0 | 39.9 | 47.4 | 39.9 |
Net Income/Average Equity | 9.8 | 13.6 | 10.0 | 2.5 |
Asset Quality | ||||
Impaired Loans Ratio | 3.8 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 6.4 |
Growth in Gross Loans | -1.8 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 2.0 |
Loan Loss Allowances/Impaired Loans | 169.5 | 156.1 | 167.9 | 152.2 |
Loan Impairment Charges/Average Gross Loans | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5.1 |
Capitalization | ||||
Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Fully Loaded Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Fitch Core Capital Ratio | N.A. | 14.6 | 13.8 | 14.8 |
Tangible Common Equity/Tangible Assets | 13.6 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 11.5 |
Basel Leverage Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Net Impaired Loans/Common Equity Tier 1 | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Net Impaired Loans/Fitch Core Capital | N.A. | -13.9 | -15.9 | -20.3 |
Funding and Liquidity | ||||
Gross Loans/Customer Deposits | 133.4 | 137.8 | 124.7 | 113.1 |
Gross Loans/Customer Deposits + Covered Bonds | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Liquidity Coverage Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Customer Deposits/Total Non-Equity Funding | 70.4 | 69.6 | 71.1 | 70.8 |
Net Stable Funding Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
N.A. - Not applicable | ||||
Source: Fitch Ratings, Fitch Solutions, SBP | ||||
Scotiabank Peru S.A.A. | ||
Update │ October 16, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 5 |
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Scotiabank Perú SAA published this content on 16 October 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 17 October 2023 02:52:30 UTC.