RAKUTEN GROUP, INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 5.12 USD | -1.06% |
|
-2.48% | +17.16% |
| 23/05 | Rakuten, eBay team up to test US market for used Japanese fashion goods | RE |
| 23/05 | Philippine Senate Votes in Favor of 12% VAT on Digital Services | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 12,67,418 | 13,53,105 | 18,24,892 | 9,47,676 | 13,44,972 | 18,21,908 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 15,15,957 | 8,19,256 | 8,17,503 | 10,04,995 | 8,30,264 | 7,23,894 | 5,72,187 | -3,69,871 |
| P/E ratio | -39.7 x | -11.8 x | -13.2 x | -2.54 x | -3.54 x | -20.4 x | -1,132 x | 40.4 x |
| Yield | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.39% | 0.76% | - | 0.23% | 0.27% | 0.19% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1 x | 0.93 x | 1.09 x | 0.49 x | 0.65 x | 0.81 x | 0.74 x | 0.69 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.2 x | 0.56 x | 0.49 x | 0.52 x | 0.4 x | 0.32 x | 0.23 x | -0.14 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 8.46 x | 14.2 x | 311 x | -10.3 x | 9.55 x | 3 x | 1.66 x | -0.91 x |
| EV / FCF | 47.3 x | 1.11 x | -28.1 x | - | 6.55 x | -10.8 x | 1.42 x | -0.67 x |
| FCF Yield | 2.11% | 90.1% | -3.56% | - | 15.3% | -9.23% | 70.2% | -149% |
| Price to Book | 1.72 x | 2.22 x | 1.67 x | 1.16 x | 1.61 x | 2.22 x | 2.2 x | 2.13 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 13,55,527 | 13,61,273 | 15,81,362 | 15,90,060 | 21,41,675 | 21,48,477 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 935.0 | 994.0 | 1,154 | 596.0 | 628.0 | 848.0 | 848.0 | 848.0 |
| Announcement Date | 13/02/20 | 12/02/21 | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 14/02/24 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 12,63,932 | 14,55,538 | 16,81,757 | 19,27,878 | 20,71,315 | 22,63,133 | 24,62,591 | 26,40,077 |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,79,115 | 57,657 | 2,627 | -97,774 | 86,914 | 2,41,246 | 3,43,745 | 4,07,585 |
| EBIT 1 | 72,745 | -93,849 | -1,94,726 | -3,63,892 | -2,12,857 | -53,179 | 73,943 | 1,37,708 |
| Operating Margin | 5.76% | -6.45% | -11.58% | -18.88% | -10.28% | -2.35% | 3% | 5.22% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -44,558 | -1,51,016 | -2,12,630 | -4,07,894 | -2,17,741 | -89,078 | 29,926 | 1,25,663 |
| Net income 1 | -31,888 | -1,14,199 | -1,33,828 | -3,72,884 | -3,39,473 | -86,437 | -7,308 | 34,993 |
| Net margin | -2.52% | -7.85% | -7.96% | -19.34% | -16.39% | -3.82% | -0.3% | 1.33% |
| EPS 2 | -23.55 | -84.00 | -87.62 | -235.0 | -177.3 | -41.63 | -0.7491 | 21.00 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 32,030 | 7,38,044 | -29,123 | - | 1,26,776 | -66,822 | 4,01,912 | 5,51,396 |
| FCF margin | 2.53% | 50.71% | -1.73% | - | 6.12% | -2.95% | 16.32% | 20.89% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 17.88% | 1,280.06% | - | - | 145.86% | - | 116.92% | 135.28% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1,575.75% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 4.500 | 4.500 | 4.500 | 4.500 | - | 1.987 | 2.287 | 1.630 |
| Announcement Date | 13/02/20 | 12/02/21 | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 14/02/24 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 S1 | 2021 S1 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 S1 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,78,768 | 7,93,671 | 4,81,183 | 4,37,127 | 4,56,471 | 8,93,598 | 4,71,110 | 5,63,170 | 4,75,635 | 4,97,165 | 9,72,800 | 5,18,439 | 5,80,076 | 5,13,624 | 5,23,652 | 10,09,700 | 5,55,308 | 6,58,409 | - | - |
| EBITDA 1 | - | - | -29,443 | -41,376 | -19,175 | - | - | - | - | 39,755 | - | - | - | 44,715 | 63,100 | - | 71,599 | 75,012 | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | -20,721 | -1,00,889 | -86,364 | -1,12,604 | -84,471 | -1,97,075 | -90,018 | -76,799 | -76,194 | -48,893 | -1,25,087 | -54,491 | -33,279 | -33,272 | -14,071 | -64,100 | -3,297 | 14,353 | - | - |
| Operating Margin | -3.05% | -12.71% | -17.95% | -25.76% | -18.51% | -22.05% | -19.11% | -13.64% | -16.02% | -9.83% | -12.86% | -10.51% | -5.74% | -6.48% | -2.69% | -6.35% | -0.59% | 2.18% | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -40,352 | -81,764 | -1,07,067 | -1,18,681 | -95,806 | -2,14,487 | -97,571 | -95,836 | -79,403 | -43,222 | -1,22,625 | -57,819 | -37,297 | -28,469 | -20,951 | - | -11,553 | -12,035 | - | - |
| Net income 1 | -27,485 | -65,438 | -41,566 | -91,412 | -85,205 | -1,76,617 | -81,473 | -1,14,794 | -82,567 | -57,418 | -1,39,985 | -68,462 | -1,31,026 | -42,394 | -22,225 | - | -13,076 | 10,262 | - | - |
| Net margin | -4.05% | -8.24% | -8.64% | -20.91% | -18.67% | -19.76% | -17.29% | -20.38% | -17.36% | -11.55% | -14.39% | -13.21% | -22.59% | -8.25% | -4.24% | - | -2.35% | 1.56% | - | - |
| EPS 2 | -20.24 | -44.40 | -26.49 | -57.76 | -53.72 | -111.5 | -51.30 | -72.23 | -51.88 | -32.27 | -83.04 | -30.33 | -63.90 | -19.78 | -9.623 | - | -10.05 | 6.212 | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | 4.500 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4.500 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/08/20 | 11/08/21 | 14/02/22 | 13/05/22 | 10/08/22 | 10/08/22 | 11/11/22 | 14/02/23 | 12/05/23 | 10/08/23 | 10/08/23 | 09/11/23 | 14/02/24 | 14/05/24 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,48,539 | - | - | 57,319 | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | 5,33,849 | 10,07,389 | - | 5,14,708 | 10,98,015 | 12,49,721 | 21,91,780 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.388 x | - | - | -0.5862 x | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 32,030 | 7,38,044 | -29,123 | - | 1,26,776 | -66,822 | 4,01,912 | 5,51,396 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | -4.2% | -17% | -15.7% | -39.1% | -41.7% | -9.29% | -1.05% | 7.29% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | -0.54% | -1.39% | -1.45% | -2.19% | -1.01% | -0.37% | -0.08% | 0.22% |
| Assets 1 | 59,07,920 | 82,01,064 | 92,38,118 | 1,70,34,834 | 3,35,68,978 | 2,31,26,834 | 86,30,662 | 1,57,85,868 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 542.0 | 447.0 | 691.0 | 512.0 | 391.0 | 382.0 | 385.0 | 398.0 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 55.00 | 27.40 | 41.60 | -67.30 | -20.70 | 109.0 | 167.0 | 202.0 |
| Capex 1 | 2,07,238 | 3,85,074 | 4,10,641 | 5,88,219 | 3,85,874 | 2,61,293 | 2,47,478 | 2,56,396 |
| Capex / Sales | 16.4% | 26.46% | 24.42% | 30.51% | 18.63% | 11.55% | 10.05% | 9.71% |
| Announcement Date | 13/02/20 | 12/02/21 | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 14/02/24 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
848
JPY
Average target price
851.2
JPY
Spread / Average Target
+0.38%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -4.80% | 181B | |
| +41.76% | 91.27B | |
| -16.84% | 82.91B | |
| +4.50% | 80.25B | |
| +12.80% | 52.83B | |
| +23.68% | 27.35B | |
| -22.75% | 7.67B | |
| -17.46% | 5.36B | |
| -5.43% | 3.92B |
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- Financials Rakuten Group, Inc.
