Hubert Spechtenhauser, Chairman of the Management Board Christian Dagrosa, CFO and member of the Management Board
Q1 2024 results
Frankfurt am Main, May 2024
- Highlights and business update
B.
C.
D.
Group results
Regional performance
Outlook
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024
Highlights Q1 2024
Strong start into the year after announcement of new medium-term ambitions
Good loan and deposit growth in Q1-24 underline potential of new group business strategy
- Loans grow strongly by 3.0%, growth momentum across all segments and all banks outside Ukraine
- Deposit growth by 2.8% resulting in deposit-to-loan ratio of 116%; private clients as major driver
- Comfortable capitalisation with CET1 ratio at 14.3%; stable level as good B/S growth absorbed by strong earnings generation and increased RWA efficiency; TCR increased by ~2 pp to pro-forma17.7% following successful EUR 125m Green Tier 2 issuance
Strong Q1 result of 13.4% return on equity as all group banks in SEE/EE contribute with good performance
- Profit of EUR 33.5m, up 14% yoy, driven by good development of income and loss allowance
- Net interest margin of 3.7% (up 25 bps yoy) and good loan growth drive 19% yoy increase in NII
- Low level of risk cost of 2 basis points reflecting stable loan portfolio quality and conservative risk profile; Stage-3 loans at 2.6%
- C/I ratio at 61.7%, increased yoy as result of higher staff and dedicated investments in IT and marketing in line with updated business strategy; strict underlying cost discipline amid substantial investments
- Continued good result contribution from PCB Ukraine; further portfolio reduction in Q1 to now 7.1% of group loans
On track to deliver on the group's short- and medium-term ambitions
- Management Board proposal to AGM on 4 June for dividend of EUR 0.64 per share for FY 2023 (1/3 of consolidated result)
- FY-24outlook of 10-12%RoE, based on a cautious estimate for the cost of risk of up to 40 basis points
- Medium-termoutlook of 13-14%RoE reflecting ambitious growth targets towards a > €10bn loan portfolio and measures to consolidate margins and leverage scaling effects
3.0%
loan growth (EUR 187m)
2.8%
deposit growth
(EUR 200m)
13.4%
return on equity (on Q1-23 level)
3.7%
net interest margin (+25 bps vs. Q1-23)
14.3%
CET1 ratio (fully-loaded),
(on Q1-23 level)
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024 | 2 |
Q1 2024 results versus guidance
- Growth of the loan portfolio
- Return on equity (RoE)
- Cost-incomeratio (CIR)
- CET1 ratio and leverage ratio
Dividend payout:
Guidance
FY 2024
Around 10%
(FX adjusted)
10% - 12%
(based on up to 40bps cost of risk)
Around 63%
(with margin of +/- 1 ppt)
> 13.0% CET1 ratio, c. 9% leverage ratio
Actual
Q1 2024
3.0%
(2.7% FX adjusted)
13.4%
(with cost of risk of 2bps)
61.7%
14.3% and 9.0%
Proposal to AGM on 04 June 2024 foresees dividend payout for FY 2023 profits in line with dividend policy (payout ratio of 1/3 of profits) and corresponds to EUR 0.64 dividend per share, or EUR 37.7m dividend in total.
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024 | 3 |
STUDY
Successful Tier 2 placement in Apr-24 supporting the group's medium-term growth ambitions
ProCredit Holding AG successfully placed EUR 125m Green Tier 2 Bonds
CASE
Summary of transaction:
- On 25-Apr-24, ProCredit Holding successfully placed green Tier 2 subordinated bonds
- Strong demand enabled ProCredit Holding to increase the originally expected placement volume from EUR 100m to EUR 125m
- The bonds were placed with >20 international and domestic institutional investors
- Investor demand for the bonds was geographically diverse, with Luxembourg (28%), the UK (28%), France (12%) and the US (12%) accounting for the largest volumes
- The transaction was concluded under the ProCredit Group Green Bond Framework, on which Sustainalytics has provided a second party opinion
- As a result of the transaction, the group's total capital ratio increased by ~2pp to a level of 17.7% (pro-forma as of Mar-24)
Main statistics:
ISIN | DE000A383C84 |
Issue date | 25.04.2024 |
Rating issuer / issue | BBB / BB- (Fitch) |
Volume | EUR 125m |
Coupon / spread | 9.5% / 6.63% |
Tenor | 10.25NC5.25 |
Listing | Euro MTF, Luxembourg Stock Exchange |
Pro-forma total capital ratio (TCR):
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024 | 4 |
Good portfolio growth driven by all customers segments
Loan portfolio growth
► Customer loans increase strongly by EUR 187m or 3.0% |
(in EUR m)
5.8% YoY
3.0% QoQ | ||||||||||
6,108 | 6,061 | 6,226 | ||||||||
548 | 115 | 552 | 113 | 612 | 149 | |||||
1,728 | 1,724 | 1,825 | ||||||||
3,717 | 3,672 | 3,639 | ||||||||
FY-22 | Q1-23 | FY-23 | ||||||||
Medium | Small | Micro | Private clients | |||||||
6,414
653 168
1,844
3,749
Q1-24
Growth driven by all segments, with particularly strong |
relative growth in Micro (12.8%) and Private clients (6.7%) |
Strong growth in most markets as customer loans excl. |
Ukraine grow by 4.0% |
Loan portfolio in Ukraine reduces by EUR 42m amid higher- |
than-expected repayments and early repayments |
► Green loan portfolio steady at EUR 1.3bn, representing 20% of |
total loan portfolio |
Loan portfolio by loan type | Green loan portfolio | ||
High portfolio quality as default rate of green loan portfolio at |
1.9% (0.7pp lower than for total loan portfolio) |
20%
45%
35%
(in EUR m)
1,268
218
462
588
FY-23
1.0% QoQ
1,281
236
462
584
Q1-24
Investment loans | Working capital loans | Energy efficiency | Renewable energy |
Green loans | Other green investments |
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024
5
Strong deposit development through digital banking channels
(in EUR m)
Deposit growth
17.9% YoY | ||||||||||||
2.8% QoQ | ||||||||||||
6,290 | 6,324 | 7,254 | 7,455 | |||||||||
2,490 | 2,664 | |||||||||||
1,872 | 2,054 | |||||||||||
1,740 | ||||||||||||
1,604 | 1,550 | 1,721 | ||||||||||
2,814 | 2,720 | 3,043 | 3,051 | |||||||||
FY-22 | Q1-23 | FY-23 | Q1-24 | |||||||||
Current accounts | Savings accounts | Term deposit accounts | ||||||||||
- Customer deposits increase by EUR 200m or 2.8%
- Private client deposits grow strongly by more than 5% (~80% of deposit growth in Q1), signaling good progress of the planned acceleration of ProCredit's direct banking strategy
- Growth continues to be driven by term deposit accounts, as appetite for interest-bearing accounts remains high in high- margin environment
- Strategic management of deposit/loan ratio and deposit base
Deposits by client and key metrics
8% | >45% | ||||||||
26% | share of retail | ||||||||
deposits | |||||||||
42% | (private clients | ||||||||
and micro) | |||||||||
21% | |||||||||
4% | 116.2% | ||||||||
deposit / loan ratio, | |||||||||
Medium | Small | Micro | Private clients | Institutional | up 11.9 ppt yoy | ||||
- Deposit-to-loanratio up 11.9 percentage points yoy with positive developments across almost all banks
- Result of good positioning: increased and diversified deposit base as strategic priority to further support margin development in the coming years
- Strong deposit growth enabling YOY reduction of EUR 185m in non-customer funds
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024 | 6 |
Strategic group positioning on SEE/EE, with positive expected GDP development and increased international focus on the region
GDP outlook for SEE/EE remains intact, well above Euro area
Macroeconomic environment / key current themes
SEE/EE | Euro area | ||||
2024 | 2025 | 2026 - 29 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 - 29 |
3.9 3.8
%) | 2.9 | %) | |||||||||||
(in | (in | 1.5 | 1.3 | ||||||||||
0.8 | |||||||||||||
Median real GDP growth | Real GDP growth | ||||||||||||
Inflation expected to decrease in 2024 and thereafter | |||||||||||||
SEE/EE | Euro area | ||||||||||||
2024 | 2025 | 2026 - 29 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 - 29 | ||||||||
3.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | |||||||||||
(in %) | (in %) | 2.4 | |||||||||||
2.1 | 1.9 | ||||||||||||
Median consumer price inflation | Consumer price inflation | ||||||||||||
Note: Inflation figures based on average period consumer prices; Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Apr-24
Expected
GDP growth
Regional focus on
SEE/EE
War on
Ukraine
Inflation outlook
Interest rate
policies
- Recent update of GDP growth estimates by IMF with further decreased outlook for Eurozone, 2024 at 0.8% vs 1.2% before
- 2024e median GDP growth in SEE/EE at 2.9%; resilience of the region demonstrated by intact mid-term GDP growth outlook of around 4% p.a.
- Risk factors to macro environment incl. middle east conflict
- Increased momentum regarding EU accession; currently 8 countries in SEE/EE status as candidates for EU membership
- High level of investment appetite and FDI inflows
- Ongoing, intensified discussions Serbia, Kosovo and EU
- Still ongoing with significant human and economic losses
- Ukraine GDP outlook of 3.2% in 2024e and 6.5% in 2025e, however, still subject to high risks as war continues
- Strong decrease in inflation observable
- Reversion to a ~3% level expected to start in 2024, depending on country; lack of labor key constraint in many industries
- Many policy rates have stabilized at high levels, with some reductions particularly in EE segment
- ECB decision to keep interest rates constant; potential divergence between ECB and FED on rates development
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024 | 7 |
- Highlights and business update
- Group results
C.
D.
Regional performance
Outlook
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024 | 8 |
Operating income and expense overview
Operating income
► Strong increase in operating income yoy by EUR 13m or 14%, |
21.4% |
14.3% |
to EUR 107m |
(in EUR m)
412.5
339.8
93.7
(in EUR m)
107.2
| Continued positive trajectory of net interest income with yoy |
increase of 19% | |
| Net fee income and income from fx transactions with |
marginal yoy improvement |
FY-22 | FY-23 | Q1-23 | Q1-24 | |||||
Net interest income | Net fee income | Other operating income (net) | ||||||
Other operating income down EUR 1.4m, due to less |
material non-recurring effects in both periods |
Personnel and administrative expenses
CIR 64.0%
Adj. CIR | 60.8% |
217.4
13.6% |
59.9%
59.4%
247.0
59.7%61.7%
59.5%61.7%
18.3% |
66.1 |
► Cost-income ratio at 61.7%, as strategic investments result in | |
the anticipated short-term reduction of cost-efficiency | |
| Strategic investments reflected in higher costs for personnel, |
IT, marketing and depreciation | |
| Continued strict underlying cost discipline |
(in EUR m)
(in EUR m)
55.9 |
No material extraordinary items recorded in Q1-24 |
FY-22 | FY-23 | Q1-23 | Q1-24 | ||
Administrative expenses | Personnel expenses | ||||
ProCredit Group | Q1 2024 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 May 2024
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ProCredit Holding AG & Co. KGaA published this content on 13 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 13 May 2024 08:31:06 UTC.