Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2020 Results
January 21, 2021
Forward-Looking Statement
Certain statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking in nature. These include all statements about People's United Financial, Inc. ("People's United") plans, objectives, expectations and other statements that are not historical facts, and usually use words such as "expect," "anticipate," "believe," "should" and similar expressions. Such statements represent management's current beliefs, based upon information available at the time the statements are made, with regard to the matters addressed. All forward- looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause People's United's actual results or financial condition to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such statements. Factors of particular importance to People's United include, but are not limited to: (1) changes in general, international, national or regional economic conditions; (2) changes in interest rates;
- changes in loan default and charge-off rates; (4) changes in deposit levels; (5) changes in levels of income and expense in non- interest income and expense related activities; (6) changes in accounting and regulatory guidance applicable to banks; (7) price levels and conditions in the public securities markets generally; (8) competition and its effect on pricing, spending, third-party relationships and revenues; (9) the successful integration of acquisitions; (10) changes in regulation resulting from or relating to financial reform legislation; (11) the outcome of the ongoing goodwill impairment analysis; and (12) the COVID-19 pandemic and its effect on the economic and business environments in which we operate. People's United does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
1
Full Year 2020 Overview
(Comparisons versus full year 2019)
Net Income of $573 Million, or $1.32 per Common Share
Operating Earnings of $1.27 per Common Share
- Net interest margin: 2.99%, a decrease of 15 basis points
- Net interest income1: $1.58 billion, an increase of $164 million or 12%
- Non-interestincome (operating): $417 million, a decrease of $7 million or 2%
- Non-interestexpense (operating): $1.17 billion, an increase of $68 million or 6%
- Pre-provisionnet revenue (operating): $827 million, an increase of $89 million or 12%
- Efficiency ratio: 54.2%, an improvement of 160 basis points
- Seventh consecutive year of improvement
- Average loans: $44.4 billion, an increase of $6.0 billion or 16%
- Period-endloans: $43.9 billion, an increase of $273 million or 1%
- Includes $2.3 billion of Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans
- Planned reduction of residential mortgages lowered balances by $1.8 billion
- Runoff of the transactional portion of New York multifamily portfolio and certain acquired portfolios collectively lowered balances by $493 million
- Average deposits: $48.2 billion, an increase of $9.1 billion or 23%
- Period-enddeposits: $52.1 billion, an increase of $8.5 billion or 20%
- Non-interestbearing balances increased $6.1 billion
- Net loan charge-offs to average total loans: 0.11%, an increase of 5 basis points
- Provision for credit losses on loans: $156 million, an increase of $128 million
- Reflects the application of CECL and the impact of COVID-19
1 Net interest income on a fully taxable equivalent basis was $1.61 billion, an increase of $164 million or 11%. | 2 |
In-Store Branch Relationship With Stop & Shop
- People's United has decided not to renew its existing in-store branch contracts with Stop & Shop in Connecticut and New York upon expiration in 2022
- Connecticut
- 84 Stop & Shop branches (Total Branches: 172)
- Contract expiration: January 31, 2022
- New York
- 56 Stop & Shop branches (Total Branches: 101)
- Contract expiration: June 30, 2022
- Discussions with Stop & Shop on non-renewal terms are ongoing
PBCT Branch Footprint (CT & NY)
Traditional Branch
In-Store Branch
Rationale for Decision
- Customers are increasingly utilizing our online and mobile platforms
- Year-overyear increases: mobile logins: +40%, digital enrollments: +25%, mobile wallet transactions: +162%, active mobile deposit customers: +66%
- In-storebranch customers are 13% more digitally active than traditional branch customers
- Recent acquisitions have expanded and better optimized traditional branch footprint as well as provided customers more convenient drive-up facilities
- Strength of our "hub & spoke" model created high branch overlap
- 75% of our Stop & Shop branches and 77% of Stop & Shop branch deposits are within 5 miles of a traditional branch
- Cost savings over time will enable further investment in digital capabilities and traditional branch network
- Changing retail shopping behavior by consumers
- Home delivery and curbside pick-up options impacting foot traffic inside stores
- Discount stores / wholesale clubs and convenience stores have increased share of grocery spend
3
Fourth Quarter 2020 Overview
(Comparisons versus third quarter 2020, unless noted otherwise)
Net Income of $207.7 Million, or $0.49 per Common Share
Operating Earnings of $0.35 per Common Share
- Sale of People's United Insurance Agency: completed Nov. 2; realized a pre-tax gain, net of expense, of $75.9 million or $0.14 per common share
- Net interest margin: 2.84%, a decrease of 13 basis points - (increased excess liquidity unfavorably impacted the margin by 9 basis points)
- Net interest income1: $382.8 million, a decrease of $8.6 million or 2%
- Non-interestincome (operating): $102.3 million, an increase of $1.2 million or 1%
- Non-interestexpense (operating): $288.5 million, a decrease of $500,000 or 0.2%
- Pre-provisionnet revenue (operating): $196.6 million, a decrease of $6.9 million or 3%
- Efficiency ratio: 55.5%, an increase of 170 basis points
- Average loans: $44.1 billion, a decrease of $792 million or 2%
- Period-endloans: $43.9 billion, a decrease of $1.4 billion or 3%
- Planned reduction of residential mortgages lowered balances by $577 million
- Forgiveness of PPP loans lowered balances by $289 million
- Runoff of the transactional portion of New York multifamily portfolio and certain acquired portfolios collectively lowered balances by $107 million
- Average deposits: $50.7 billion, an increase of $1.1 billion or 2%
- Period-enddeposits: $52.1 billion, an increase of $2.5 billion or 5%
- Net loan charge-offs to average total loans: 0.12%, a decrease of 3 basis points
- Provision for credit losses on loans: $14.7 million, a decrease of $12.1 million
- Allowance for credit losses to total loans: 0.97%, increase of 3 basis points - (ex. PPP loans: 1.02%)
1 Net interest income on a fully taxable equivalent basis was $390.2 million, a decrease of $8.5 million or 2%. | 4 |
Net Interest Income1
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
($8.6) or (2%)
$6.4 | $0.3 | $0.2 |
($15.5)
$391.4 | $382.8 |
3Q 2020 | Deposits | Borrowings | Investments | Loans | 4Q 2020 |
1 Net interest income on a fully taxable equivalent basis for 3Q 2020 and 4Q 2020 was $398.7 million and $390.2 million, respectively.
5
Net Interest Margin
Linked-Quarter Change
(13) bps
5 bps
(9) bps | (7) bps | (2) bps |
2.97%
2.84%
3Q 2020 | Deposits | Excess Liquidity | Loans | Investments1 | 4Q 2020 |
1 Excludes short-term investments, which is mostly comprised of deposits at the Federal Reserve Bank. | 6 |
Loans: Average Balances
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
Commercial & Industrial | Commercial Real Estate | Equipment Finance | Residential Mortgage | Home Equity & Other Consumer |
$44,853 | $202 | $44,061 | |||
$2,296 | ($587) | ($279) | ($119) | $2,177 | |
($9) | |||||
$9,408 | $8,821 | ||||
$4,876 | $4,867 | ||||
$13,853 | $13,574 |
14,420 | $14,622 | |||||||
3Q 2020 | Commercial | Residential | Commercial | Home Equity | Equipment | 4Q 2020 | ||
& Industrial | Mortgage | Real Estate | & Other Consumer | Finance |
Linked-quarterchange($792) million or (2%)
7
Deposits: Average Balances
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
Interest-Bearing Checking & Money Market | Non-Interest-Bearing | Savings | Time |
$49,542 | $989 | $799 | $209 | $50,674 |
$6,818 | ($865) | $5,953 | ||
$5,974
$5,765 | |
$13,754 | $14,743 |
$23,205 | $24,004 |
3Q 2020 | Non-Interest | Interest-Bearing | Savings | Time | 4Q 2020 |
Bearing | Checking & | ||||
Money Market |
Linked-quarter change
+$1.1 billion or 2%
8
Non-Interest Income
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
+$77.1 or 76%
Ex. Non-OperatingNon-Interest Income: $1.2 or 1% | |||||
$75.9 | $2.8 | $1.0 | $0.5 | $0.3 | $2.2 |
($5.6) |
$178.2
$101.1
3Q 2020 | Non-Operating1 | Commercial | Customer | Operating | Cash | Insurance | Other | 4Q 2020 |
Banking | Interest Rate | Lease | Management | Revenue | ||||
Lending Fees | Swap Income | Income | Fees |
1 Non-operating represents a 4Q 2020 gain, net of expenses, on the sale of People's United Insurance Agency (completed Nov. 2, 2020). | 9 |
Non-Interest Expense
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
($0.2) or (0.1%)
Ex. Merger-Related Expenses: ($0.5) or (0.2%)
$0.3 | $2.4 | $1.4 | $0.4 | ||
($1.5) | ($0.8) | ($0.5) | ($1.9) |
$293.6
$293.4
3Q 2020 | Non-Operating | Regulatory | Operating | Amortization of | Occupancy | Professional & | Compensation | Other | 4Q 2020 |
Assessments | Lease | Other Acquisition- | & Equipment | Outside Services | & Benefits | ||||
Expense | Related Intangible | ||||||||
Assets |
10
Efficiency Ratio
Quarterly Trend
55.5%
53.7% | 54.0% | 53.5% | 53.8% |
4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 | 4Q 2020 |
11
Asset Quality
Non-Performing Assets / Loans & REO (%)1
1.5 | Peer Group (Median) | Top 50 Banks (Median) | |||
PBCT | |||||
1.0 | 1.01 | 1.04 | |||
0.91 | |||||
0.75 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.88 | ||
0.78 | |||||
0.73 | 0.71 | ||||
0.69 | |||||
0.5 | |||||
0.57 | 0.59 | ||||
0.0 | |||||
4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 | 4Q 2020 |
1 PBCT ratios for periods prior to January 1, 2020 have been restated to reflect the total loan portfolio (originated & acquired)
Net Charge-offs / Average Loans
0.4 | Peer Group (Median) | ||||
PBCT | Top 50 Banks (Median) | ||||
0.3 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.28 | ||
0.24 | 0.26 | ||||
0.2 | 0.18 | ||||
0.13 | 0.15 | ||||
0.12 | 0.12 | ||||
0.10 | |||||
0.1 | 0.08 | ||||
0.06 | |||||
0.0 | |||||
4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 | 4Q 2020 |
Notes:
Source: SNL Financial12 Top 50 Banks represents the largest 50 banks by total assets in each respective quarter.
Returns
Quarterly Trend
1.33% | ||||
1.13% | ||||
0.98% | 0.96% | 0.94% | 0.94% | 0.95% |
0.89% |
0.65%
0.58%
4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 | 4Q 2020 |
Return on Average Assets
Operating Return on Average Assets
18.4% | ||
15.2% | ||
13.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% |
12.8% | 13.1% | |
11.8% |
9.5%
8.1%
4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 | 4Q 2020 |
Return on Average Tangible Common Equity Operating Return on Average Tangible Common Equity
13
Capital Ratios
Dec. 31, 2019 | Mar. 31, 2020 | Jun. 30, 2020 | Sep. 30, 2020 | Dec. 31, 2020 | |||
People's United Financial, Inc. | |||||||
Tang. Com. Equity/Tang. Assets | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% (2) | 7.5% (2) | 7.5% (2) | ||
Tier 1 Leverage | 9.1% (1) | 8.4% | 8.0% (3) | 8.2% (3) | 8.4% (3) | ||
Common Equity Tier 1 | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | ||
Tier 1 Risk-Based | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | ||
Total Risk-Based | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | ||
People's United Bank, N.A. | |||||||
Tier 1 Leverage | 9.3% (1) | 8.9% | 8.5% (3) | 8.7% (3) | 8.7% (3) | ||
Common Equity Tier 1 | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | ||
Tier 1 Risk-Based | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | ||
Total Risk-Based | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | ||
- Adjusting for a full quarter of United assets, the pro forma Tier 1 Leverage Ratio at Dec. 31, 2019 is 8.9%.
-
Adjusting for the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans, the pro forma TCE/TA ratio at Dec. 31, 2020: 7.8% , at Sep. 30, 2020: 7.9%, at Jun.
30, 2020: 7.6%.
3 Adjusting for PPP loans, the pro forma Tier 1 Leverage Ratio at Dec. 31, 2020: 8.7% for the Holding Co. & 9.1% for the Bank, at Sep. 30, 2020: | 14 |
8.6% for the Holding Co. & 9.1% for the Bank, and at Jun, 30, 2020: 8.3% for the Holding Co. & 8.7% for the Bank. |
Full Year 2021 Outlook1
Loans
(End of Period)
Deposits
(End of Period)
Net Interest Income
Net Interest Margin
Non-Interest Income
(Operating)
Non-Interest Expense
(Operating)
Credit
Effective Tax Rate
Capital
-
Growth range of 0% - 3%
- Excludes PPP loans (December 31, 2020 balance: $2.3 billion) - Growth range of (2%) - 2%
- Growth range: (2%) - (4%)
-
2.85% - 2.95%
‒ Assumes no change in the fed funds rate - Growth range of 1% - 3%
- Adjusted 2020 operating base: $372 million
- Excludes $28 million of revenue from People's United Insurance Agency (sold Nov. 2020) o Excludes $17 million gain related to sale of loans acquired in the United transaction
- $1.150 billion - $1.180 billion
- Maintain excellent credit quality
- Provision: $60 million - $80 million
- 20% - 22%
- Maintain strong capital levels
- Common equity tier 1 capital ratio: 10.0% - 10.5%
15
1Outlook reflects impact of the sale of People's United Insurance Agency, which was completed November 2, 2020.
Appendix
Allowance for Credit Losses (ACL)
- 4Q 2020 ACL reflects consideration of a baseline economic forecast and a more adverse scenario, each prepared as of late December.
- Baseline scenario reflects general improvement in most key economic variables and recently approved government stimulus measures.
- More adverse scenario includes the U.S. economy contracting again in 1Q 2021 with only a moderate recovery thereafter.
- Cumulative, full year ACL build is approximately $179 million, which increased the ACL/Total Loans ratio by 40 basis points since year-end 2019 (or 45 basis points, ex. PPP balances).
- Total loan deferrals were $271 million or 0.6% of total loans at December 31, down from $1.6 billion or 3.5% of total loans at the end of September.
($ in millions) | At December 31, 2020 | At Sept. 30, 2020 | At June 30, 2020 | At March 30, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||
ACL/ | ACL/ | ACL/ | ACL/ | ACL/ | ACL/ | ACL/ | ACL/ | |||||||||||||||||
Loan Portfolio Segment | Balance | % | ACL | Loans | NPLs | NPLs | Loans | NPLs | Loans | NPLs | Loans | NPLs | ||||||||||||
CRE | $ | 13,337 | 30% | $ | 122.9 | 0.92% | $ | 60.4 | 203% | 0.72% | 115% | 0.68% | 129% | 0.59% | 162% | |||||||||
C&I | 10,764 | 25% | 79.0 | 0.73% | 75.4 | 105% | 0.80% | 105% | 0.70% | 91% | 0.81% | 135% | ||||||||||||
Equipment Finance | 4,930 | 11% | 97.9 | 1.99% | 109.3 | 90% | 2.01% | 200% | 2.01% | 201% | 0.98% | 115% | ||||||||||||
MW / ABL 1 | 4,218 | 10% | 3.8 | 0.09% | 1.0 | 380% | 0.11% | 460% | 0.16% | 510% | 0.08% | 218% | ||||||||||||
Total Commercial | $ | 33,249 | 76% | $ | 303.6 | 0.91% | $ | 246.1 | 123% | 0.86% | 132% | 0.83% | 131% | 0.67% | 140% | |||||||||
Residential Mortgage | $ | 8,519 | 19% | $ | 66.2 | 0.78% | $ | 62.3 | 106% | 0.86% | 124% | 0.87% | 134% | 0.83% | 126% | |||||||||
Home Equity | 1,997 | 5% | 52.4 | 2.62% | 20.5 | 256% | 2.39% | 230% | 2.13% | 211% | 1.75% | 186% | ||||||||||||
Other Consumer | 104 | 0% | 2.9 | 2.79% | 0.2 | 1450% | 2.98% | 1700% | 4.21% | 5300% | 3.59% | 5100% | ||||||||||||
Total Retail | $ | 10,620 | 24% | $ | 121.5 | 1.14% | $ | 83.0 | 146% | 1.17% | 156% | 1.14% | 160% | 1.03% | 146% | |||||||||
Total | $ | 43,869 | 100% | $ | 425.1 | 0.97% | $ | 329.1 | 129% | 0.94% | 138% | 0.91% | 140% | 0.77% | 142% | |||||||||
1 Excluding PPP loans, 4Q 2020 C&I ACL/Loans = 0.93% and Total ACL/Loans = 1.02% | 17 |
2 MW / ABL = Mortgage Warehouse / Asset Based Lending |
Loan Risk Profile
($ in millions)
At December 31, 2020 | |||||||||||
Balance | Total Delinquency | 2 | Non-Accruals | YTD Net-Charge-Offs | Deferrals | ||||||
Loan Portfolio Segment | Balance | (% of Portfolio) | (% of Loans) | (% of Loans) | (Annual % of Average Loans) | (% of Loans) | |||||
CRE | $ | 13,337 | 30% | 0.65% | 0.45% | 0.07% | 1.1% | ||||
C&I | 10,764 | 25% | 0.86% | 0.70% | 0.14% | 0.2% | |||||
Equipment Finance | 4,930 | 11% | 3.40% | 2.22% | 0.45% | 0.7% | |||||
MW / ABL | 1 | 4,218 | 10% | 0.03% | 0.02% | - | - | ||||
Total Commercial | $ | 33,249 | 76% | 1.05% | 0.74% | 0.14% | 0.6% | ||||
Residential Mortgage | $ | 8,519 | 19% | 1.08% | 0.73% | - | 0.7% | ||||
Home Equity | 1,997 | 5% | 1.43% | 1.03% | 0.03% | 0.3% | |||||
Other Consumer | 104 | 0% | 0.77% | 0.15% | 2.21% | - | |||||
Total Retail | $ | 10,620 | 24% | 1.14% | 0.78% | 0.03% | 0.6% | ||||
Total | $ | 43,869 | 100% | 1.07% | 0.75% | 0.11% | 0.6% | ||||
1 MW / ABL = Mortgage Warehouse / Asset Based Lending | 18 |
2 Includes loans 30-89 days past due and non-performing loans
Interest Rate Risk Profile
Dec. 31, 2020 Sep. 30, 2020
Net Interest Income (NII) Sensitivity
Immediate Parallel Shock | 22.6% | ||||||||||
Est. Change in NII | |||||||||||
16.0% | 13.4% | ||||||||||
8.2% | 9.6% | ||||||||||
4.8% | |||||||||||
-1.7% | -1.0% | ||||||||||
Down 25 | Up 100 | Up 200 | Up 300 | ||||||||
Yield Curve Twist1 | |||||||||||
Est. Change in NII | |||||||||||
6.1% | |||||||||||
2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | |||||||||
-1.0% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -0.7% | ||||||||
Short End -25 | Short End +100 | Long End -25 | Long End +100 |
1Yield curve twist pivot point is 18 month point on yield curve. Short End defined as overnight to 18 months. | 19 |
Long End defined as terms greater than 18 months. |
Loans By State
($ in millions, end of period balances)
Breakdown
Connecticut | Massachusetts | New York | Northern New England | New Jersey | Other |
$32,575
$28,411 | $29,745 | ||
$26,592 | $5,988 | ||
$5,171 | |||
$5,014 | $1,649 | ||
$4,486 | |||
$1,155 | $1,503 | $4,163 | |
$904 | |||
$4,164 | $4,167 | ||
$4,123 | |||
$5,762 | $7,378 | ||
$5,146 | $5,578 | ||
$4,728 | $4,954 | $5,363 | $5,616 |
$7,205 | $7,546 | $7,779 | $7,781 |
$35,241
$6,558
$1,921 $4,160
$7,168
$6,212
$9,222
$43,596
$8,861
$2,187 $4,228
$7,788
$9,622
$10,910
$43,869
$10,365
$1,925 $4,368
$7,736
$8,729
$10,746
Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2017 | Dec. 31, 2018 | Dec. 31, 2019 | Dec. 31, 2020 |
20
Deposits By State
($ in millions, end of period balances)
Breakdown
Connecticut Massachusetts New York Northern New England
$52,138
$7,607
$43,590 | ||||||||
$5,893 | $6,257 | |||||||
$36,159 | ||||||||
$33,056 | $6,107 | $5,493 | $8,888 | |||||
$29,861 | ||||||||
$28,417 | ||||||||
$26,138 | $6,208 | $5,936 | ||||||
$5,371 | ||||||||
$5,905 | ||||||||
$5,569 | ||||||||
$5,195 | ||||||||
$5,098 | $4,451 | |||||||
$3,527 | ||||||||
$3,456 | ||||||||
$3,205 | $4,013 | |||||||
$3,299 | $3,357 | |||||||
$3,067 | ||||||||
$29,386 | ||||||||
$26,268 | ||||||||
$17,072 | $17,640 | $20,230 | ||||||
$14,768 | $16,093 | |||||||
Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2017 | Dec. 31, 2018 | Dec. 31, 2019 | Dec. 31, 2020 |
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Peer Group
Firm | Ticker | City | State | |||
1 | Citizens Financial Group, Inc. | CFG | Providence | RI | ||
2 | Comerica Inc. | CMA | Dallas | TX | ||
3 | First Horizon National Corp. | FHN | Memphis | TN | ||
4 | F.N.B. Corp. | FNB | Pittsburgh | PA | ||
5 | Huntington Bancshares, Inc. | HBAN | Columbus | OH | ||
6 | KeyCorp | KEY | Cleveland | OH | ||
7 | M&T Bank Corp. | MTB | Buffalo | NY | ||
8 | New York Community Bancorp | NYCB | Westbury | NY | ||
9 | Signature Bank | SBNY | New York | NY | ||
10 | Sterling Bancorp | STL | Montebello | NY | ||
11 | Synovus Financial Corp. | SNV | Columbus | GA | ||
12 | TCF Financial Corp. | TCF | Detroit | MI | ||
13 | Valley National Bancorp | VLY | Wayne | NJ | ||
14 | Webster Financial Corp. | WBS | Waterbury | CT | ||
15 | Zions Bancorp. | ZION | Salt Lake City | UT | ||
22
For more information, investors may contact:
Andrew S. Hersom
-
338-4581
andrew.hersom@peoples.com
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Disclaimer
People's United Financial Inc. published this content on 21 January 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 21 January 2021 21:43:02 UTC