Eurosystem staff macroeconomic projections for the euro area countries1)

December 2021

Real GDP2)

HICP

Unemployment rate

(annual percentage changes)

(annual percentage changes)

(percentage of labour force)

2021

2023

2024

2021

2022

2023

2024

2021

2022

2023

2024

2022

euro area

5.1

4.2

2.9

1.6

2.6

3.2

1.8

1.8

7.7

7.3

6.9

6.6

Belgium

6.1

2.6

2.4

1.6

3.2

4.9

1.2

1.2

6.3

6.1

5.8

5.7

Germany

2.5

4.2

3.2

0.9

3.2

3.6

2.2

2.2

3.6

3.2

2.9

2.8

Estonia

8.0

2.8

3.9

2.9

4.2

6.9

3.2

2.6

6.2

5.5

5.3

4.7

Ireland

15.8

7.0

5.6

5.1

2.4

3.9

2.2

1.9

6.7

6.5

5.7

5.2

Greece

7.2

5.0

3.9

2.9

0.6

3.0

0.9

0.9

15.7

14.3

12.8

11.6

Spain

4.5

5.4

3.9

1.8

3.0

3.7

1.2

1.5

15.0

14.2

12.9

12.4

France

6.7

3.6

2.2

1.4

2.1

2.5

1.5

1.6

8.0

7.9

7.8

7.7

Italy

6.2

4.0

2.5

1.7

1.9

2.8

1.5

1.7

9.5

9.0

8.9

8.7

Cyprus

5.6

3.6

3.7

3.8

2.2

2.5

1.2

1.5

7.5

6.8

6.2

5.6

Latvia

4.6

4.2

4.0

3.3

3.2

6.1

2.9

2.1

7.8

7.5

6.8

6.6

Lithuania

5.1

3.6

3.8

3.3

4.5

5.0

2.3

2.0

7.1

6.7

6.4

6.2

Luxembourg

6.0

3.7

3.2

2.9

3.5

3.2

1.6

1.6

5.8

5.5

5.3

5.0

Malta

6.0

6.5

5.3

3.8

0.7

2.1

1.9

1.8

3.4

3.4

3.6

3.6

The Netherlands

4.5

3.6

1.7

1.1

2.7

3.0

2.9

1.9

3.3

3.4

3.5

3.2

Austria

4.9

4.3

2.6

1.8

2.7

3.2

2.3

2.0

6.3

5.4

5.0

4.7

Portugal

4.8

5.8

3.1

2.0

0.9

1.8

1.1

1.3

6.6

6.0

5.7

5.6

Slovenia

6.7

4.0

3.3

2.6

2.0

3.8

1.8

2.0

4.8

4.2

3.9

3.7

Slovakia

3.1

5.8

5.6

2.7

2.8

5.7

2.4

1.9

6.9

6.4

5.6

5.4

Finland

3.5

2.6

1.5

1.3

2.1

2.0

1.6

1.8

7.7

7.1

6.6

6.6

  1. Individual countries' projections underling the Eurosystem staff macroeconomic projections for the euro area. The cut-off date for including the latest information in the projections was 1 December 2021. The cut-off date for the technical assumptions was 25 November 2021.
  2. Working day-adjusted data for the euro area and for most euro area countries.

Eurosystem staff macroeconomic projections for the euro area countries, December 2021

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ECB - European Central Bank published this content on 03 January 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 04 January 2022 13:08:03 UTC.