Business Employment Dynamics - Second Quarter 2016


For release 10:00 a.m. (EST), Wednesday, January 27, 2016 USDL-16-0157


Technical Information: (202) 691-6553 • BDMInfo@bls.gov • www.bls.gov/bdm Media Contact: (202) 691-5902 • PressOffice@bls.gov


BUSINESS EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS - SECOND QUARTER 2015

From March 2015 to June 2015, gross job gains from opening and expanding private sector establishments were 7.6 million, an increase of 607,000 jobs from the previous quarter, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over this period, gross job losses from closing and contracting private sector establishments were 6.7 million, an increase of 4,000 jobs from the previous quarter. (See tables A, 1, and 3.)


The difference between the number of gross job gains and the number of gross job losses yielded a net employment gain of 829,000 jobs in the private sector during the second quarter of 2015. (See tables A, 1, and 3.)


The change in the number of jobs over time is the net result of increases and decreases in employment that occur at all businesses in the economy. Business Employment Dynamics (BED) statistics track these changes in employment at private business units from the third month of one quarter to the third month of the next. Gross job gains are the sum of increases in employment from expansions at existing units and the addition of new jobs at opening units. Gross job losses are the result of contractions in employment at existing units and the loss of jobs at closing units. The difference between the number of gross job gains and the number of gross job losses is the net change in employment. (See the Technical Note for more information.)


The BED data series include gross job gains and gross job losses at the establishment level by industry subsector and for the 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands, as well as gross job gains and gross job losses at the firm level by employer size class.


Gross job gains at expanding establishments totaled 6.2 million in the second quarter of 2015, an increase of 554,000 jobs from the previous quarter. (See tables A, 1, and 3.)


Opening establishments accounted for 1.3 million jobs gained in the second quarter of 2015, an increase of 53,000 jobs from the previous quarter. (See tables A, 1, and 3.)


Contracting establishments lost 5.5 million jobs in the second quarter of 2015. This was a decrease of 17,000 jobs from the prior quarter. (See tables A, 1, and 3.)


In the second quarter of 2015, closing establishments lost 1.2 million jobs, an increase of 21,000 jobs from the previous quarter. (See tables A, 1, and 3.)


Gross job gains represented 6.4 percent of private sector employment in the second quarter of 2015, while gross job losses represented 5.7 percent of private sector employment. (See tables A, 2, and 3.)


In the second quarter of 2015, the number of establishment births (a subset of the openings data, see the Technical Note for more information) decreased by 1,000 to 232,000 establishments. These new establishments accounted for 831,000 jobs, an increase of 25,000 jobs from the previous quarter. (See table 8.)


Data for establishment deaths (a subset of the closings data) are available through the third quarter of 2014, when 705,000 jobs were lost at 200,000 establishments. In the prior quarter, 717,000 jobs were lost at 205,000 establishments. (See table 8.)


During the second quarter of 2015, gross job gains exceeded gross job losses in all industry sectors except the natural resources and mining sector. The service-providing sector, with 6.2 million gross job gains and 5.4 million gross job losses, experienced a net increase of 773,000 jobs. The goods-producing sector experienced a net increase of 56,000 jobs, the result of 1.4 million gross job gains and 1.3 million gross job losses. The natural resources and mining sector, a subset of the goods-producing sector, experienced a net decrease of 69,000 jobs, the result of 263,000 gross job gains and 332,000 gross job losses. (See table 3.)


- 2 -

Table A. Three-month private sector gross job gains and losses, seasonally adjusted



Category

3 months ended

June

2014

Sept.

2014

Dec.

2014

Mar.

2015

June

2015


Gross job gains…………........................ At expanding establishments…........ At opening establishments.…...........


Gross job losses…………....................... At contracting establishments........... At closing establishments….............


Net employment change1..…...................


Gross job gains……………................. At expanding establishments……. At opening establishments.…........


Gross job losses……………................ At contracting establishments........ At closing establishments…..........


Net employment change1.....….............

Levels (in thousands)

7,467

7,235

7,658

6,947

7,554

6,128

5,905

6,279

5,666

6,220

1,339

1,330

1,379

1,281

1,334

6,584

6,710

6,563

6,721

6,725

5,362

5,523

5,322

5,558

5,541

1,222

1,187

1,241

1,163

1,184

883

525

1,095

226

829

Rates (percent)

6.5

6.3

6.6

5.9

6.4

5.3

5.1

5.4

4.8

5.3

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.1

5.8

5.8

5.7

5.7

5.7

4.7

4.8

4.6

4.7

4.7

1.1

1.0

1.1

1.0

1.0

.7

.5

.9

.2

.7

1The net employment change is the difference between total gross job gains and total gross job losses. See the Technical Note for further information.

In the second quarter of 2015, firms with 1-49 employees had a net employment gain of 311,000. Firms with 50-249 employees had a net employment gain of 192,000. Firms with 250 or more employees had a net employment gain of 323,000. (See table 4 and 5.)

Of the 2.6 million net jobs created over the last year, firms with 1-49 employees contributed 34 percent of net job growth, while firms with 50-249 employees contributed 21 percent, and firms with 250 or more employees contributed 45 percent. (See table 4 and 5.)

In the second quarter of 2015, gross job gains exceeded gross job losses in 41 states and the District of Columbia. Florida experienced 479,423 gross job gains and 410,152 gross job losses resulting in a net employment gain of 69,271. This is the largest net employment gain of any state this quarter. New York had the second largest net employment gain this quarter with 68,004 net jobs, the result of 510,517 gross job gains and 442,513 gross job losses. (See table 6.) Alaska had the highest rate of gross job gains as a percent of employment at 10.6 percent, above the U.S. rate of 6.4 percent. North Dakota had the highest rate of gross job losses as a percent of employment at 11.3 percent, above the U.S. rate of 5.7 percent. (See table 7.)

More Information

Additional information on gross job gains and gross job losses is available online at www.bls.gov/bdm.

This information includes data on the levels and rates of gross job gains and gross job losses by firm size, not seasonally adjusted data and other seasonally adjusted time series not presented in this release, charts of gross job gains and gross job losses by industry and firm size, and frequently asked questions on firm size data.

Additional information about the Business Employment Dynamics data can be found in the Technical Note of this release or may be obtained by e-mailing BDMinfo@bls.gov.


The Business Employment Dynamics for Third Quarter 2015 are scheduled to be released on Wednesday, April 27, 2016 at 10:00 a.m. (EDT). Technical Note

The Business Employment Dynamics (BED) data are a product of a federal-state cooperative program known as Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW). The BED data are compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) from existing QCEW records. Most employers in the U.S. are required to file quarterly reports on the employment and wages of workers covered by unemployment insurance (UI) laws, and to pay quarterly UI taxes. The QCEW is based largely on quarterly UI reports which are sent by businesses to the State Employment Security Agencies (SESAs). These UI reports are supplemented by two additional BLS data collections to render administrative data into economic statistics. Together these data comprise the QCEW and form the basis of the Bureau's establishment universe sampling frame.

These reports are used to produce the quarterly QCEW data on total employment and wages and the longitudinal BED data on gross job gains and losses. The QCEW is also the employment benchmark for the Current Employment Statistics (CES), Occupational Employment Statistics (OES), and Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) programs and is a major input to the Bureau of Economic Analysis's Personal Income Accounts.

In the BED program, the quarterly QCEW records are linked across quarters to provide a longitudinal history for


each establishment. The linkage process allows the tracking of net employment changes at the establishment level, which in turn allows the estimation of jobs gained at opening and expanding units and jobs lost at closing and contracting units.


Differences between QCEW, BED, and CES employment measures

The Bureau publishes three different establishment- based employment measures for any given quarter. Each of these measures - QCEW, BED, and CES - makes use of the quarterly UI employment reports in producing data; however, each measure has a somewhat different universe coverage, estimation procedure, and publication product.

Differences in coverage and estimation methods can result in somewhat different measures of over-the-quarter employment change. It is important to understand program differences and the intended uses of the program products. (See table below.)

Additional information on each program can be obtained from the program web sites shown in the table below.


Summary of Major Differences between QCEW, BED, and CES Employment Measures


QCEW

BED

CES

Source

  • Count of UI administrative records submitted by 9.5 million employers

  • Count of longitudinally-linked UI administrative records submitted by

7.6 million private sector employers

  • Sample Survey: 588,000 establishments

Coverage

  • UI and UCFE coverage: all employers subject to State and federal UI Laws

  • UI Coverage, excluding: government, private households, and establishments with zero employment

Non-farm wage and salary jobs:

  • UI Coverage, excluding: agriculture, private households, and self- employed; including: railroads, religious organizations, and other non-UI-covered jobs

Publication frequency

  • Quarterly

- 6 Months after the end of each quarter

  • Quarterly

- 7 Months after the end of each quarter

  • Monthly

- First Friday of following month

Use of UI file

  • Directly summarizes and publishes each new quarter of UI data

  • Links each new UI quarter to longitudinal database and directly summarizes gross job gains and losses

  • Uses UI file as a sampling frame and annually realigns (benchmarks) sample estimates to first quarter UI levels

Principal products

  • Provides a quarterly and annual universe count of establishments, employment, and wages at the county, MSA, State, and national levels by detailed industry

  • Provides quarterly employer dynamics data on establishment openings, closings, expansions, and contractions at the national level by NAICS super-sectors, 3- digit NAICS, and by size of firm, and at the state private-sector total level

  • Future expansions will include data at the county and MSA level

  • Provides current monthly estimates of employment, hours, and earnings at the MSA, State, and national level by industry

Principal uses

  • Major uses include:

    • Detailed locality data

    • Periodic universe counts for benchmarking sample survey estimates

    • Sample frame for BLS establishment surveys

  • Major uses include:

    • Business cycle analysis

    • Analysis of employer dynamics underlying economic expansions and contractions

    • Analysis of employment expansion and contraction by size of firm

  • Major uses include:

    • Principal national economic indicator

    • Official time series for employment change measures

    • Input into other major economic indicators

Program Websites

  • www.bls.gov/cew/

  • www.bls.gov/bdm/

  • www.bls.gov/ces/

BLS - U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics issued this content on 27 January 2016 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 27 January 2016 15:10:30 UTC

Original Document: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/cewbd.pdf